Already locked in Alabama early at -10 and Texas -7 (bought 1/2). A couple of side leans so far: ECU +3.5 Stanford -8
Went 3-7 last week and my head is still spinning. Not sure I like anything this week. Ore +3 at Neb Miami -3.5 at App State
someone convince me to not put the biggest play of the year so far on FSU -130. Petrino doesn't win the big games.
As a pessimistic Husker fan, I am so tempted to lay a max bet on Oregon. Also I took App State small just because it seems like one of those sketchy lines that ends up screwing me, so I went the opposite way.
Yea I was on Wyoming last week as well so I watched every snap. Down 7 with +24.5 going into the 4q, then 5 turnovers by Wyoming. Brutal loss. I agree some what with the Miami line, still will do some digging into that one.
Nebraska has had some strange games to start, ended up covering 24 and 28 point spreads, but games were "in doubt" in the 3rd, Nebraska has outscored opponents 50-0 in the fourth. Im nervous Oregon is too athletic on offense, Nebraska should be able to pound the rock and shorten the game though. Also, you have to imagine Riley and co have this one marked on their calendar after coming from Oregon State. It will be interesting.
Really like Cincy +8 at home on Thursday night vs Houston Also like: Baylor -30 @ Rice Arizona State -18 @ UTSA Ohio +27.5 @ Tennessee TCU -24 vs Iowa State Memphis -19 vs Kansas Eastern Michigan +3 @ Charlotte Maryland -8.5 @ UCF Tx Tech / La Tech over 81 Southern Miss -10.5 @ Troy Also interested see what the lines are on these FBS vs FCS games once they come out: James Madison @ North Carolina UC Davis @ Wyoming
Some other leans.. Col at Mich -20.5 Ore+3 at Neb Mia -3.5 at App St Fau +22 at Kan St SD St -10.5 at NIU BC at VT -6 North Texas +36.5 at UF Buf at Nev -10.5 Bay -30 at Rice
I'm interested in this as well. I feel pretty confident that FSU will be able to cover 2.5 as of now. But would like to hear if anyone disagrees.
Yea not buying into this LVille QB Heisman campaign because he smoked a D-2 school and Cuse. I know what I've got with FSU and it's a damn good, fast defense and fast and efficient offense. Buddy tried to tell me I was on the wrong side because "The QB is the truth" he may be but you sure as fuck don't know that at this point. Unless there have been numerous transfers in, I only saw ~6 4* athletes that would be on the roster currently and most are young. Talent-wise it's basically 2015 Miss St - Bama.
big play: FSU -130 normal: Texas -7 (had to buy a whole point but I hate being off key numbers and it's not a lot of extra juice bc I don't bet 1000s) Bama -9.5 (hook)
you know i am a texas homer, bet on them both games. there is something off about this line. we should win this game by 14+. we were awful on the road last year. but this team has already proven to be drastically better. san diego st just ran for 500 yards on cal. i am not sure how cal will ever stop us.
Bama -10 FSU -2.5 Texas -8.5 (wish I had gotten 7) Baylor -31 Bets so far. Prob won't make any others until the day of the game. Figured these might end up moving so might as well get on them now.
went to bet georgia o47 last night and my book does this thing where it only allows $200 max bets after 11PM until 7AM, i guess to preclude drunk gambling or something. anyways, i logged back in this AM to bet it and the line moved to 55.
nope if i bet 200 it won't let me bet anymore, even if it is separate transaction i forgot early this AM, and logged back in around 11 and it had already shot up
best bet of the weekend is oklahoma +3. that line should be at least oklahoma -3. bets also in: MTSU -4 (-115) FSU -2.5 LSU -12.5 UCLA -3 (-115) So Miss -10 UNLV/Central Mich u55 UVA/UConn o48 eastern mich -3 (-120) western mich -3 ULL -3 Fresno St +21 i know, lots of chalk.
i have it at lined at 28. tenn is in a sandwich spot between VA Tech and FLA. personally, i don't see a lot of value. Tenn played horribly against App State, so that may serve as motivation to not have a letdown.
Chalk looks to be the way to go this week. Only underdogs I even have on my radar are: Cincinnati +8 Ohio +27.5 Oregon +3 Ole Miss +10.5 ECU +3.5 Pitt +6.5 A&M +4 USC +8.5 And some of the FBS teams. Not a whole lot to like here this week.
you should add OU to that list. i am not sure if people realize how wrong this line is. OU was a 6.5 favorite this summer. after an awful performance against UH, the argument is that OU falls 9 pts in value? ohio st against toledo last weekend had zero offensive TDs in the first half. it is blowing my mind that OU is a dog.
In my mind that game looks like more of a pick em, or maybe an OU -1. But I want nothing to do with that game. I don't think either team has showed us who they really are yet.
has to do with public perception IMO. the majority of casual football fans out there still think Texas sucks (no offense obv just going off what I see/hear) and that they just beat "a standard overrated ND team" so that could be a reason for the line being low.
I like Louisville to win tbh. Lamar Jackson is legit and his spy (Derwin James) got injured last week and will miss 5-7 weeks. FSU has shown to have significant OL issues along with multiple blown coverages. If they can force LJ to beat them with his arm, they can win. But if he has success running, I don't see FSU being able to outscore them. There is an 80% of storms to take into account. Unsure which team it will affect more. Just my
Not saying you're wrong... but why is Lamar Jackson "legit"? He dominated a D-2 school and horrible Cuse squad that might as well be D-2. I'm gonna wait and see him play vs a real team with 5* talent and speed on defense before saying anything good about the guy. He did put up video game numbers against garbage teams though. But I'm still betting on the battle tested QB in a huge game. And betting against Petrino
fans from teams should hold back from commenting too much about their teams, good or bad. Lots of bias. I am almost always wrong when thinking about betting OSU, Buffalo Bills
4-5 down 1 unit on the year. This week Miami -3.5 Okie St -6 Bama -11 A&M +155 OU +2 Parlay random unders Cincy/Houston u 64.5 FSU/Ville u 65 KU/Memp u 59.5
He threw for over 300 and 3 tds on us at Doak last season. FSU was able to limit his running which allowed them to come back and pull away in the 2nd half
I guess I'm gonna have to lose my ass on Alabama against ole miss once again You would think I would learn
miss st relied on dak prescott HEAVILY. you saw the effect of his loss in game 1 in their loss to south alabama (hamsterdam special FWIW). i would be surprised if miss st scores more than 10 pts in this game. once lsu inserted etling the offense magically moved the ball. also, fournette is back after sitting last week out. this line should be at least 17. i bet it at 12.5. would not be surprised if lsu won by 24+.
Pick 10 for me every week plus some side games. This is what I have so far. Ore +3.5 at Neb MTSU -6.5 at BG SD St -10.5 at NIU Texas -7.5 at Cal UCLA -3.5 at BYU Temple +8.5 at PSU Pitt +6.5 at Okie State Ohio +27.5 at Ten (NFL) NYJ -.5 at BUF.
Are the football focus predictions worth anything? https://www.profootballfocus.com/college-football-picks-biggest-week-3-games/
like dome said LSU team/fanbase is back rejuvenated after the QB swap. Baton Rouge at night. Also wouldn't read too much into the MSU-USCe game just because USCe is horrible.