Week 5 College Football

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FriendsofJtyler, Sep 23, 2012.

  1. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    Other RLMs copy pasta'd from another site. No idea about the legitimacy of the %s, but I assume it's a good source :idk:

    Penn State opened at -4, now Illinois is favored by -1.5, with 62% on PSU

    Iowa opened at -6 and it has gone to -6.5, with 84% on Minnesota

    Clemson opened at -11 and it has dropped to -9.5 with 83% on Clemson

    TCU opened at -17.5 and it has dropped to -16.5 with 85% on TCU
     
  2. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    also a very high % on FSU. bad spot for them. might have already been mentioned ITT. just a line to watch

    I can't bet on USF though
     
  3. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    got on that one early
     
  4. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
    Donor TMB OG

    Me too
     
  5. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member

    Haven't fired on any of these yet but here are some stronger RLMs I've noted:

    Washington+6.5
    Iowa-7
    UCF+2.5
    Indiana+10.5
    NC St.+2.5
    UVA+2.5
    Tennessee+13
    SMU+16
     
  6. texasraider

    texasraider thanks
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    PLAYBOOK picks (3-0 last week, 5-1 last two weeks, 7-2 last three weeks)

    5* Washington
    4* NC State
    3* Iowa
     
  7. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Yes. Yes. Yes.

    RLM is strong in this playbook you speak of
     
  8. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    by the way is this the sports insights that was mentioned last page. i know I've never done the free trial so if need be until we collect money i can do 7 days worth and share with the class
     
  9. texasraider

    texasraider thanks
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    No this is a pick service me and a few friends bought.
     
  10. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    ah 10 4 :respek:

    well I think I saw someone maybe rockport said he got the free trial this week for sports insight. if need be I can get it for next week while we coordinate operation :rain:
     
  11. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
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    Stanford, Boston College, and LA Tech will be my big plays for the week. Looking at a few others to add
     
  12. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    I have the entire regular NFL season. I will post their Best Bets, Square plays, and the best Steam and Square plays each Saturday. If they have one for a weeknight game, i will post it as well.
     
  13. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    I will make a new thread for it as well...to make it easier to find.
     
  14. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member

    I do have the free trial. Have it until next Wednesday, so I guess this week is my show and tell. What information do you or anyone else want? I've got some time today so don't worry about asking for too much.
     
  15. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Hey guys I need some opinions for a work contest

    [​IMG]

    Thanks
     
  16. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    Cincy, BC, Tenn, Mich St, NC St, Bama, Ok St, Zona, Neb, USF
     
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  17. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Does anyone else besides me really like Cincy this weekend?
     
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  18. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    I have them **
     
  19. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Word! I know they haven't played any tough games, but they're at home and off a bye. They've been preparing for this game for a while. Va Tech doesn't have an offensive identity, and Logan Thomas has an injured throwing hand.
     
  20. The Guglia

    The Guglia I Work in the City, and I Work Long Hours.
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    And Logan Thomas is, well, Logan Thomas.

    Thinking of playing Washington +7 tonight. Maybe throw some on the moneyline.
     
  21. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    I was just looking for any "official plays" but it sounds like capt bunch is all over it
     
  22. GuyOnA_Buffalo

    GuyOnA_Buffalo Orphans, Cougars & What Not
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  23. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    I did the free trial last year and it was 14 days. Best 2 weeks of betting I had last year. Maybe I was just on a good run, but I felt like the info helped make some of my decisions easier.
     
  24. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    i briefly looked at the SI website and didn't have time to really look through all the sections. what kind of info does the trial give you? gonna hold off on the trial until next week when rockport's is up
     
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  25. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    The free trial I did gave me access to everything. It was a trial of their best package that is now $250/month. Don't know if its the same now though.
     
  26. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member

    I'm pretty sure the free trial gives everything you'd get in the pro package ($250/month). Live up to date streaming numbers - number of bets, % bets on spread, ML, O/U, and parlays. The CRIS opening line then all the current lines at all popular books both vegas and offshore. They also have this value meter near games they think offer value(low, med, high) which it says they use a number of criteria to determine value such as public betting %, steam moves, smart money plays, injuries, referee trends, and betting systems used by their analysts. For example the current high value plays they are showing are:

    Wash State
    UNLV
    Oklahoma State
    USF
    SMU
    Kentucky
    FAU
    Idaho
    Tulane
    UVA
    UMass
    BC
    Iowa
    UCF

    I don't know how much to trust these, so far I've been using it mainly for RLM which I would think should be the most accurate out there. They also give their expert picks using different systems and their records to date of each. It keeps asking me to personalize my page but I haven't because I don't want to fuck anything up. pretty sure you can set it up to send texts alerts(definitely e-mail alerts) when certain things happen like RLM or any line movements among other things on games you select to add to your watch list. I'll post some screenshots to give an idea of what it looks like if someone can tell me how to do that on a mac. I'm pretty illiterate with this thing considering I've had it for over 3 years. captbunch could probably explain it a lot better I think he's had it a couple years.
     
  27. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    I'm rolling with Wash +7 tonight too.
     
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  28. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    Taking Clemson in this spot is like banging the hot chick with the clap. It goes against common sense and everything I should be doing, but I may still take my boys.
     
  29. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member

    captbunch On these "value" plays on the sportsinsights main screen what does it mean if they are shading a side? On a few of them the value meter is not all the way to the top or bottom(road or home team) of the side. Does that mean it's indicating an over/under value play or the ones all the way to the top or bottom are? I'm probably reading too much into this value shit but still curious.
     
  30. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member

    Taking Washington+7 and under 48.5 tonight
     
  31. TLAU

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    RAS Totals for the week. 1st one is either 1.5 or 2U. rest are 1U

    ASU Over
    Zona Over
    WKU Over
    NTex Over
    UTEP Under
     
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  32. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    V
    Value is a new option for this year. It adds up lots of factors: fading public, smart money plays, steam plays, weather, officials, injuries etc and gives a rating for which team to play on. It is sides only, no totals. It is just a quick way to scan the board and see if anything fits the contrarian model.
     
  33. chuckles

    chuckles Well-Known Member
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    I don't post in here much (i.e. ever) but I'm surprised at all the Washington love. I'm placing bets on Stanford to cover (got it at 6.5) and on the under. I just don't see UW being able to score much, and a touchdown isn't a whole lot to cover. Why do you all feel UW is the play?
     
  34. Pac_Lion

    Pac_Lion Mr. Rubber Burner
    Penn State Nittany LionsNew York MetsNew York KnicksNew York JetsNew York Rangers

    Yes please explain the Washington love. My site has it at 6.5 too
     
  35. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Stanford hung over from USC win and being overvalued + first road game.

    Sarkisian 6-0 ATS with 7+ days to prepare, avg cover by 11 PPG.

    Public backing a road favorite on a Thursday night.
     
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  36. chuckles

    chuckles Well-Known Member
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    Does TMB like the Under (it's at 49)?
     
  37. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    “@ToddFuhrman: LETDOWN ALERT: Major money coming in on BC for Saturday's game against @CU_Athletics. Line opened -10 now sitting at 7.5 at sharper shops”

    :ohnoes:
     
  38. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    Glad I got it at 10
     
  39. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    I'm going to be there, flying up from Dallas tomorrow. I'm going to rape and pillage that city if we lose to a BC team that has no business beating us on paper.
     
  40. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
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    you talking about clemson bc? sharp money coming in on bc?
     
  41. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
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    smuggy
     
  42. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    Yea. Public on Clemson, sharps on BC. Huge steam move on BC.

    It's dropped like 2 full points in the last few hours at Pinny from 9.5 to 7.5
     
  43. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Also didn't realize Washington is 9-1 over last 10 home games.
     
  44. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    ASU @ Cal now a pickem
     
  45. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    ASU actually a one pt favorite at Pinnacle and Cris.

    Could be a steam move from Dr. Bob's release.
     
  46. longhornfan

    longhornfan Well-Known Member

    I'm so confused on the BC bet everyone is liking, I see Clemson smashing BC all game.
     
  47. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    For a few reasons I think. BC off a bye, Clemson coming off emotional loss, back to back road games, long travel (fatigue factor), Clemson notorious for underperforming on the road especially in Boston (where we lost the last 2 out of 3).

    As a die hard Clemson fan this is exactly the type of game we typically lose. On paper they don't have close to the horses that we do, but strange things happen when we got up to Boston and/or play on the road against inferior opponents. Honestly nothing would surprise me. We could lose this game or win by 30.
     
  48. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    FUCKKKKK

    @aimclemson: Just announced by Clemson: Sammy Watkins won't make trip to BC Saturday. Has an "abdominal virus".
     
  49. longhornfan

    longhornfan Well-Known Member

    fuckk me that sucks lol should have rechecked the thread before i just took clemson
     
  50. longhornfan

    longhornfan Well-Known Member

    You guys have been killing it with your picks the last few weeks. I don't know why you would pay for that website? I've been 14 of 18 the last two Saturdays. I mean I only take certain picks of each post but still you guys have been smashing it.