Week 6 CFB

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by Juan, Oct 4, 2016.

  1. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Love Auburn -2.5 against MSU. Took it for big, still looking around for some other lines.
     
  2. LeVar Burton

    LeVar Burton Knee deep in a dynasty, ROLL TIDE!
    Kansas JayhawksAlabama Crimson Tide

    I don't want to derail the thread but I think Hillary -280 is about to leave the station. Sounds like A LOT of value to me.
     
  3. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    I for one prefer you stick to your MAC picks.
     
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  4. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    at this point I'd probably take Donald + just because -280 with this shit show of a race seems like you're just throwing a very expensive dart

    but I have absolutely zero intentions of engaging in an actual conversation about politics. just that I believe + would be more valuable from what I've seen.

    I also like Auburn but hate posting picks on my team just bc of the homer factor. But I think it's a solid bet :twocents:
    others i'm looking at:

    UT +10 OU. like DD dogs in rivalry games.
    Miami -3 FSU
    Want to tease A&M/UGA or parlay the MLs. I think both of those teams win but don't want to lay a TD
    Bama/Ark Under 49 - would probably buy the hook
     
  5. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Liking this as well.
     
  6. Corch

    Corch Hmm surprised you didn't know that
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    Ohio State BuckeyesDenver NuggetsCleveland BrownsColorado State RamsCleveland CavaliersCleveland Indians

    Arkansas +14 seems like a no brainer to me.
    Miami -3 seems like a sucker bet, the public doesn't like FSU.
    Cal -13 vs Oregon St seems like a great pick
     
  7. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    Lots of good stuff on the board this week:

    Texas A&M -6.5 (favorite play. 5 star FOJT lock). This is a terrible situational spot for the Vols. They beat their rival Florida two weeks ago (after 11 straight losses), then beat UGA in Athens on a last second hail mary. Now they go on the road again to College Station against a non-division team with no rivalry history, and oh yea they have Bama on tap at home. Garrett, Seals-Jones, and Noil all didn't make the trip to Scar last weekend and they still got the job done. Would imagine at least 2 of them will be back for this game. If Tennessee they get down in this game it's going to be a cakewalk for the Aggies.

    Texas +10.5. A team getting double digit points in a rivalry game on a neutral field. Betting is all about finding value week to week, and there's a ton of value on the Longhorns. If they beat Ok State and TCU finds a way to beat Oklahoma I think this line is easily inside a touchdown. Now Texas (the exact same situation last year) has it's back against the wall, the D/C was demoted, Strong is squarely on the hot seat. I think they will play inspired for their coach and against their hated rival. This will be a shootout with both teams trading punch. Give me the points.

    Miss State +3. What on earth has Auburn done to warrant laying points on the road? They beat LSU at home (and it took a Les Miles clock management fail to do so), and tore up ULM and and Arkansas State. Miss State off a bye week following that struggle against UMass and I think they will be rested and ready to go. Going to be a low scoring game (so points will be at a premium), and no way I could back an Auburn team that hasn't shown an ability to score points against a defense with a pulse (13, 16, 18 scored against Clemson, A&M, and LSU respectively).

    Florida +2. This is similar to MSU. Give me the home team getting points against a team that has no business laying them at this point in the season. LSU a lined favorite because they beat up on a bad Mizzou team. With Luke Del Rio expected back this is a no brainer. Anytime Florida is getting points in the Swamp I would back them. This is textbook week to week overreaction with LSU beating Mizzou and UF struggling with Vandy.

    Stanford -7 (hook). They got blasted in Seattle last week and everyone in the world is ready to abandon ship on them. Wazzou coming off maybe Mike Leach's arguably biggest win in his WSU tenure going on the road on the farm. David Shaw has lost back to back games only once at Stanford. I expect an inspired, focused effort at home.

    Oregon +9. This is a hold your nose kind of play. Washington is arguably the hottest team in CFB, Oregon has been completely inept on defense. How often do you get the chance to back Oregon as a larger than a TD underdog at home (they’ve covered 7 straight as an underdog dating back to 2009)?

    USC -4. Colorado is the ranked team, but is more than a field goal underdog to a 2-3 USC team? This might be this weeks dirty line. Expect the public to back the ranked Buffs, and when they back a road underdog it doesn't usually end well.
     
  8. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    i agree with your overall themes.

    i disagree on stanford. stanford's 2 DBs are still out for this weekend. teams have figured how to defend stanford now that they don't have a QB. they have really struggled against several average defenses.

    7 points is a lot considering the offense of which wazzu is capable.

    also on TAMU. if it gets to 7.5 i think there is more value on tennessee. knight is not a great passer, and tenn strength is its pass rush. i agree that it is a horrible spot for tenn, but i don't think a&m offense is good enough to warrant that many pts. add in a&m's improved D, and i may have just talked myself into the under.

    BC getting 17 hosting clemson is the only play i've made so far.
     
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  9. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Auburn is clearly trending upward against solid P5 foes. Plus points are at premium, take Auburn.

    Seriously though, I am not a fan on betting on Auburn and especially going big on them as I am a fan, but I am confident that this will be one of the more complete games by this Auburn squad. Auburn is far from elite, but their roster is more talented than MSU's at virtually every position, especially on defense. I am with you on a low scoring game but I do not think MSU does all that much on offense, even at home. 24-13 is my prediction.
     
    #9 Juan, Oct 4, 2016
    Last edited: Oct 4, 2016
  10. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    I'm obviously a Clemson fan and I understand the situational spot backing BC, but their offense is atrocious. I think the under is the sharper play. Think this is a 27-7, 27-10 type game.
     
  11. RoyG

    RoyG Well-Known Member
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    North Carolina TarheelsOakland A'sPGALiverpool

    Have my eye on this 4 team parlay

    Alabama -14 at Arkansas
    Notre Dame
    at NC St -2
    Washington -8.5 at Oregon
    LSU -3 at Florida

    Also intrigued in Texas getting 10, Clemson giving 16.5 and Toledo giving 17.
     
  12. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    UF is bad, really bad with Appleby at the helm. I am personally fading them.
     
  13. RoyG

    RoyG Well-Known Member
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    North Carolina TarheelsOakland A'sPGALiverpool

    Is Appleby starting this week?
     
  14. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    added PSU +1.
     
  15. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    I just looked and UF said that Del Rio is looking probable. Not sure how healed his knee is, pretty sure he isn't 100%. Either way a 80% Del Rio is better than a 100% Appleby.
     
    #15 Juan, Oct 5, 2016
    Last edited: Oct 5, 2016
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  16. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    Early leans..

    Ga So -7.5 at Ark St
    Ball St at Cent Mich -12.5
    Toledo -17.5 at EMU
    UNLV at SD St -13.5
    NIU at West MIch -18.5
    Col at USC -5.5
    (Way too many favorites)

    Temple +10.5 at Memphis
    Miami (OH) at Akron -7.5 (if the starting qb plays)
    Texas Tech +7.5 at Kn State
    Syrcause +2.5 at Wake
    UGA at SCAR +7.5
    AF at Wyom +10.5
     
  17. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Got on GA Southern -7 last minute. Took WKU tomorrow at -2.5 as well.
     
  18. KNOTT

    KNOTT Well-Known Member
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    I think i played every game saturday. Lol. Will post parlays and teasers later. Took Georgia Southern -8/-2 in at least one parlay/teaser combo.
     
  19. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    a 5-0 TO ratio and GA Southern still can't even pull out a win, wow.
     
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  20. KNOTT

    KNOTT Well-Known Member
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    I hate coaches that play to not lose. GS coach was trying to run clock out with a six point lead. You need points. Arky State had five turnovers and GS was up only 9 with 5 mins to go.
     
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  21. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Yup, exactly. Passive play and shit execution.
     
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  22. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    You knew that was going to happen. I was on GaSo as well, turns out to not have been the sharp side. Brutal loss for GaSo. HC played not to lose the last 3 possessions and that is exactly what happened.

    Brutal loss for me.
     
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  23. KNOTT

    KNOTT Well-Known Member
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    Its was
     
  24. KNOTT

    KNOTT Well-Known Member
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    Central Arkansas beat Arky State a week ago on the same field.


    :facepalm::facepalm::facepalm::facepalm::facepalm::facepalm::facepalm:
     
  25. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    At first glance I liked Miami -3 over FSU, think I am going to pass. I think it still might be a little for the U.
     
  26. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    Had over 48.5 in game
     
  27. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    haha nice.

    If I didn't have a gambling problem I really would stop.
     
  28. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    temple tonight and u60.
     
  29. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Down to 57.5 now damn
     
  30. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    So far I have locked in

    WKU -2.5
    Auburn -2.5
    ND +3
    BYU +6

    Leans
    Auburn/MSU under 54.5
    Wazzu +7.5
     
  31. RoyG

    RoyG Well-Known Member
    Donor
    North Carolina TarheelsOakland A'sPGALiverpool

    4 team parlay of:

    Clemson -17
    Notre Dame +2
    Texas +10
    Washington -8

    Feel like I have a shot.
     
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  32. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    Locked in...

    Ga So -7.5 at Ark State (Loss)
    Temple +10.5 at Memphis
    Boise St at New Mex +16.5
    Toledo -17.5 at East Mich
    Colorado at USC -5.5
    UNLV at SD St -13.5
    Tx St +10.5 at Ga State
    Northern Ill at West Mich -187.5
    IU at Ohio St o59


    Still like...

    Syracuse +2.5 at Wake
     
  33. KNOTT

    KNOTT Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Played memphis/temple both ways. Decided to play temple earlier today in a teaser. Glad i stayed away from WKU/LT.
    Im sure i played oklahoma/texas both ways too.
     
  34. KNOTT

    KNOTT Well-Known Member
    Donor

    I got the fever this week. I played a fucking soccer parlay.

    Ireland win. Check
    Wales win. Draw. ?????
    Albania. Win. Check
    Croatia. -1.5 . Check
    Canada. Win.Check
    Brazil. Win. 4-0.
    Colombia. Win. Check
    Argentina. Win. Starting

    Anyone know if that Wales match counts as a loss or push? Looking like a $350 1 leg miss.
     
  35. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    Fuckin temple
     
  36. KNOTT

    KNOTT Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Yoy had them +10 and the under right?
     
  37. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Tiger Woods

    I'm on the under of 57.5
     
  38. KNOTT

    KNOTT Well-Known Member
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    This dude missed the fg. Fuckstick.
     
  39. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    This temple game imploded.
     
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  40. KNOTT

    KNOTT Well-Known Member
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    Jesus. A pick 6 and now they have fallen apart. We need a touchdown in the worst way.
     
  41. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    Now u60 is gonna lose. Wow.
     
  42. KNOTT

    KNOTT Well-Known Member
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    what in the hell?
     
  43. KNOTT

    KNOTT Well-Known Member
    Donor

    [​IMG]

    Now everyone is getting hurt for Memphis which means more points.
     
  44. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
    Donor
    Tiger Woods

  45. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Temple +10 at least better hang on to limit losses fuck
     
  46. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    temple +10 , u60, az/sf u42.5....all winnibgat half. All suck.
     
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  47. KNOTT

    KNOTT Well-Known Member
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    That shit was covering well.
     
  48. KNOTT

    KNOTT Well-Known Member
    Donor

  49. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    Haha temple ml +325 now gone.
     
  50. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Cover or not, this WKU / La Tech game has been entertaining as hell.
     
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