Separate names with a comma.
Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by Juan, Oct 4, 2016.
Love Auburn -2.5 against MSU. Took it for big, still looking around for some other lines.
I don't want to derail the thread but I think Hillary -280 is about to leave the station. Sounds like A LOT of value to me.
I for one prefer you stick to your MAC picks.
at this point I'd probably take Donald + just because -280 with this shit show of a race seems like you're just throwing a very expensive dart
but I have absolutely zero intentions of engaging in an actual conversation about politics. just that I believe + would be more valuable from what I've seen.
I also like Auburn but hate posting picks on my team just bc of the homer factor. But I think it's a solid bet
others i'm looking at:
UT +10 OU. like DD dogs in rivalry games.
Miami -3 FSU
Want to tease A&M/UGA or parlay the MLs. I think both of those teams win but don't want to lay a TD
Bama/Ark Under 49 - would probably buy the hook
Liking this as well.
Arkansas +14 seems like a no brainer to me.
Miami -3 seems like a sucker bet, the public doesn't like FSU.
Cal -13 vs Oregon St seems like a great pick
Lots of good stuff on the board this week:
Texas A&M -6.5 (favorite play. 5 star FOJT lock). This is a terrible situational spot for the Vols. They beat their rival Florida two weeks ago (after 11 straight losses), then beat UGA in Athens on a last second hail mary. Now they go on the road again to College Station against a non-division team with no rivalry history, and oh yea they have Bama on tap at home. Garrett, Seals-Jones, and Noil all didn't make the trip to Scar last weekend and they still got the job done. Would imagine at least 2 of them will be back for this game. If Tennessee they get down in this game it's going to be a cakewalk for the Aggies.
Texas +10.5. A team getting double digit points in a rivalry game on a neutral field. Betting is all about finding value week to week, and there's a ton of value on the Longhorns. If they beat Ok State and TCU finds a way to beat Oklahoma I think this line is easily inside a touchdown. Now Texas (the exact same situation last year) has it's back against the wall, the D/C was demoted, Strong is squarely on the hot seat. I think they will play inspired for their coach and against their hated rival. This will be a shootout with both teams trading punch. Give me the points.
Miss State +3. What on earth has Auburn done to warrant laying points on the road? They beat LSU at home (and it took a Les Miles clock management fail to do so), and tore up ULM and and Arkansas State. Miss State off a bye week following that struggle against UMass and I think they will be rested and ready to go. Going to be a low scoring game (so points will be at a premium), and no way I could back an Auburn team that hasn't shown an ability to score points against a defense with a pulse (13, 16, 18 scored against Clemson, A&M, and LSU respectively).
Florida +2. This is similar to MSU. Give me the home team getting points against a team that has no business laying them at this point in the season. LSU a lined favorite because they beat up on a bad Mizzou team. With Luke Del Rio expected back this is a no brainer. Anytime Florida is getting points in the Swamp I would back them. This is textbook week to week overreaction with LSU beating Mizzou and UF struggling with Vandy.
Stanford -7 (hook). They got blasted in Seattle last week and everyone in the world is ready to abandon ship on them. Wazzou coming off maybe Mike Leach's arguably biggest win in his WSU tenure going on the road on the farm. David Shaw has lost back to back games only once at Stanford. I expect an inspired, focused effort at home.
Oregon +9. This is a hold your nose kind of play. Washington is arguably the hottest team in CFB, Oregon has been completely inept on defense. How often do you get the chance to back Oregon as a larger than a TD underdog at home (they’ve covered 7 straight as an underdog dating back to 2009)?
USC -4. Colorado is the ranked team, but is more than a field goal underdog to a 2-3 USC team? This might be this weeks dirty line. Expect the public to back the ranked Buffs, and when they back a road underdog it doesn't usually end well.
i agree with your overall themes.
i disagree on stanford. stanford's 2 DBs are still out for this weekend. teams have figured how to defend stanford now that they don't have a QB. they have really struggled against several average defenses.
7 points is a lot considering the offense of which wazzu is capable.
also on TAMU. if it gets to 7.5 i think there is more value on tennessee. knight is not a great passer, and tenn strength is its pass rush. i agree that it is a horrible spot for tenn, but i don't think a&m offense is good enough to warrant that many pts. add in a&m's improved D, and i may have just talked myself into the under.
BC getting 17 hosting clemson is the only play i've made so far.
Auburn is clearly trending upward against solid P5 foes. Plus points are at premium, take Auburn.
Seriously though, I am not a fan on betting on Auburn and especially going big on them as I am a fan, but I am confident that this will be one of the more complete games by this Auburn squad. Auburn is far from elite, but their roster is more talented than MSU's at virtually every position, especially on defense. I am with you on a low scoring game but I do not think MSU does all that much on offense, even at home. 24-13 is my prediction.
I'm obviously a Clemson fan and I understand the situational spot backing BC, but their offense is atrocious. I think the under is the sharper play. Think this is a 27-7, 27-10 type game.
Have my eye on this 4 team parlay
Alabama -14 at Arkansas
Notre Dame at NC St -2
Washington -8.5 at Oregon
LSU -3 at Florida
Also intrigued in Texas getting 10, Clemson giving 16.5 and Toledo giving 17.
UF is bad, really bad with Appleby at the helm. I am personally fading them.
Is Appleby starting this week?
added PSU +1.
I just looked and UF said that Del Rio is looking probable. Not sure how healed his knee is, pretty sure he isn't 100%. Either way a 80% Del Rio is better than a 100% Appleby.
Ga So -7.5 at Ark St
Ball St at Cent Mich -12.5
Toledo -17.5 at EMU
UNLV at SD St -13.5
NIU at West MIch -18.5
Col at USC -5.5
(Way too many favorites)
Temple +10.5 at Memphis
Miami (OH) at Akron -7.5 (if the starting qb plays)
Texas Tech +7.5 at Kn State
Syrcause +2.5 at Wake
UGA at SCAR +7.5
AF at Wyom +10.5
Got on GA Southern -7 last minute. Took WKU tomorrow at -2.5 as well.
I think i played every game saturday. Lol. Will post parlays and teasers later. Took Georgia Southern -8/-2 in at least one parlay/teaser combo.
a 5-0 TO ratio and GA Southern still can't even pull out a win, wow.
I hate coaches that play to not lose. GS coach was trying to run clock out with a six point lead. You need points. Arky State had five turnovers and GS was up only 9 with 5 mins to go.
Yup, exactly. Passive play and shit execution.
You knew that was going to happen. I was on GaSo as well, turns out to not have been the sharp side. Brutal loss for GaSo. HC played not to lose the last 3 possessions and that is exactly what happened.
Brutal loss for me.
Central Arkansas beat Arky State a week ago on the same field.
At first glance I liked Miami -3 over FSU, think I am going to pass. I think it still might be a little for the U.
Had over 48.5 in game
If I didn't have a gambling problem I really would stop.
temple tonight and u60.
Down to 57.5 now damn
So far I have locked in
Auburn/MSU under 54.5
4 team parlay of:
Notre Dame +2
Feel like I have a shot.
Ga So -7.5 at Ark State (Loss)
Temple +10.5 at Memphis
Boise St at New Mex +16.5
Toledo -17.5 at East Mich
Colorado at USC -5.5
UNLV at SD St -13.5
Tx St +10.5 at Ga State
Northern Ill at West Mich -187.5
IU at Ohio St o59
Syracuse +2.5 at Wake
Played memphis/temple both ways. Decided to play temple earlier today in a teaser. Glad i stayed away from WKU/LT.
Im sure i played oklahoma/texas both ways too.
I got the fever this week. I played a fucking soccer parlay.
Ireland win. Check
Wales win. Draw. ?????
Albania. Win. Check
Croatia. -1.5 . Check
Brazil. Win. 4-0.
Colombia. Win. Check
Argentina. Win. Starting
Anyone know if that Wales match counts as a loss or push? Looking like a $350 1 leg miss.
Yoy had them +10 and the under right?
I'm on the under of 57.5
This dude missed the fg. Fuckstick.
This temple game imploded.
Jesus. A pick 6 and now they have fallen apart. We need a touchdown in the worst way.
Now u60 is gonna lose. Wow.
what in the hell?
Now everyone is getting hurt for Memphis which means more points.
Temple +10 at least better hang on to limit losses fuck
temple +10 , u60, az/sf u42.5....all winnibgat half. All suck.
That shit was covering well.
Haha temple ml +325 now gone.
Cover or not, this WKU / La Tech game has been entertaining as hell.