Fair enough. I just think this is classic overreaction. You see this every week in gambling. Looking too much what the team did the week before. Not saying you are doing it, just that the betting public is doing that in this game. They are also doing in the Duke/VT game backing Duke and the Wisconsin/Purdue game backing Wisconsin. Like last week the public was backing Washington at Oregon because Washington beat Stanford the week before and Oregon failed to cover at Washington State. Oregon then buried Washington. Same thing with Iowa/Minnesota the week before. Public backs Minnesota saying why on earth are they getting points when the week before Iowa lost to CMU and Minnesota beat Syracuse. Iowa then buries Minnesota.