Week 8 College Football

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by Debose4Heisman, Oct 14, 2012.

  1. comrade static

    comrade static i love french fries
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    Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma Sooners

    i got ASU +10.5 on betUS yesterday. feel like i did with taking Tech +6 last week. either they cover(maybe win) or they get taken to the murder shed and the public rolls around in their money.
     
  2. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Think I'm going to lay off. I really want to take ASU, but I have this sick feeling that Oregon is going to beat the brakes off of them. Arizona State has a solid defense, but Oregon has only been held under 30 points one time in the last two seasons and that was against a top 5 defense in the country (LSU).
     
  3. 20/20/20/20

    20/20/20/20 running thru the house with a pickle in my mouth
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    I know that Oregon hasn't played a great schedule and that this is their first true test on the road, but Arizona State hasn't really faced a murderer's row either (Northern Arizona, Illinois, Colorado, lost to Missouri with their backup QB, @ Cal, Utah).
     
  4. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
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    Spurrier could be play mind games (which he probably is) but:

    There are a lot of injuries and illnesses. Spurrier had them written down on a sheet of paper. Take it for what it's worth. Under doubtful, he had Jadeveon Clowney (foot) and Marcus Lattimore (hip). Listed as "Out" he had Kelcy Quarles, J.T. Surratt, and Byron Jerideau. He had players listed under "Sick" as Bruce Ellington, Ace Sanders missed yesterday, Mike Matulis, Jimmy Legree, and Cody Gibson. Gibson has been out for about 10 days

    If that is the case, without bias, Florida wins this game by 2 TDs
     
  5. chuckles

    chuckles Well-Known Member
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    Thoughts on the Oregon-ASU O/U? The total is at 68.5 now. The public is all about the over for obvious reasons. Makes me lean toward the under but 68.5 really isn't much.
     
  6. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
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    Huge misconception about Arizona State's D. The average offense they've faced is ranked 98th in the country.
     
  7. Swt

    Swt Well-Known Member
    TMB OG

    If you're thinking about Bama this morning, might want to lay off until atleast after lunch today.
     
  8. DarthFader

    DarthFader New Member

    Does this have anything to do with the Mccaron rumor?
     
  9. DarthFader

    DarthFader New Member

    FriendsofJtyler


    Right now the ASU/Ore spread is 8 at Pinnacle and 9 at Bovada
     
  10. Irish226

    Irish226 Well-Known Member
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    -8. 69 at CRIS right now
     
  11. Pac_Lion

    Pac_Lion Mr. Rubber Burnerr
    Penn State Nittany LionsNew York MetsNew York KnicksNew York JetsNew York RangersChelsea

    Locked in Oregon for a unit just now. I'm on tilt from a horrendous last wknd and world cup qualifying this week. Fuck it
     
  12. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
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    AZ State it is. So many indicators pointing that way.
     
  13. wes tegg

    wes tegg I'm a Guy's guy, guys.
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    I took Arizona State, too. Ride them until their wheels fall off.
     
  14. wes tegg

    wes tegg I'm a Guy's guy, guys.
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    Atlanta BravesDenver BroncosChicago BlackhawksMississippi Rebels

    In Tennessee's games this season, their TT compared to their opponent's average points allowed per game have been the following:

    NCST: 35/20.5 (+14.5) = +70.7%
    Georgia State: 51/34.7 (+16.3) = +46.9%
    Florida: 20/12.3 (+7.7) = +62.6%
    Akron: 47/37.7 (+9.3) = +24.6%
    UGA: 44/24.2 (+19.7) = +81.4%
    MSST: 31/16.3 (+14.7) = +90.1%

    Averaged out, Tennessee averages an increase of 62.7% of their opponent's average points allowed per game. Pretty impressive.

    ***Edit: the numbers I used are teams averages after they played Tennessee, so the values aren't very good for extrapolating to future match-ups. I just looked into this after seeing that UT has hit the over in every game.
     
  15. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    well we're either gonna be a happy group or a bunch of losers tonight.

    also looking at SMU and the Oregon/ASU Over tonight.
     
  16. 20/20/20/20

    20/20/20/20 running thru the house with a pickle in my mouth
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    I have Oregon at -9.5 and -7
     
  17. Swt

    Swt Well-Known Member
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    If Asu/Oregon goes how I hope/expect. I'd bet the under. low scoring for an oregon game. something in the high 50's.

    I don't bet totals though but if Oregon/over hits, public is gonna get paaaid.
     
  18. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    leans for the week, gonna have to trim them down to about 5-7 picks

    Clemson
    aTm
    Cal
    NCSt
    Braska
    USCe
    TCU
    WV
    Tenn - prob the 1st one that gets axed
    Toledo
    FSU
     
  19. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
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    Didn't want to start a new thread but where's the best place to bet if you're just getting started?
     
  20. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
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    Bookmaker.eu is the best banks IMO. Or 5 Dimes
     
    The Banks likes this.
  21. TexasPickEm

    TexasPickEm BOOM MOTHERF*CKER!

    Just finished my weekly write-up. I took a little bit of a whooping last week in the W/L column, but still managed to finish +2.5 units. Tonight I have the 49ers -7 and ASU +8.5. A few that I like Saturday include: VT +8, K-State +3.5, and UAB +3.

    Check out the write-up here: Week 8 Preview and Picks

    BOL!
     
  22. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    Very tempted to buy the hook and take Oregon -7. This massive line movement tells me not to, but I really don't know how ASU hangs with them.

    Hmmm...
     
  23. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    wait for a 2H play then....

    I am on SMU
    1H U 34.5 for Oregon/ASU
    TT Oregon U 38.5
     
  24. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    I like that you are on SMU (I'm a law student here). Will be out tailgating for that game in a few hours :yousoright:
     
  25. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    SMU has constantly burned me...but i keep going back, dont know why
     
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  26. GuyOnA_Buffalo

    GuyOnA_Buffalo Orphans, Cougars & What Not
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    Took ASU +10 earlier in the week

    Also: SMU +5x
     
  27. Handcuffed

    Handcuffed TMB OG
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    I don't really see the Oregon-ASU game being a close win for Oregon. We don't really win close games.

    Either Oregon blows ASU out or ASU wins, imo (and it doesn't matter if it's close or not).

    So everyone taking the points should probably consider the moneyline imo.
     
  28. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
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    You're right, in the last 2.5 seasons Oregon has only once won a regular season game by less than 11 points (2010 vs Cal). In the two Thursday night games in that time period, Oregon has won by an average of 37.5 points (43-15 vs Cal and 60-13 vs UCLA)
     
  29. steamengine

    steamengine I don’t want to press one for English!
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    Someone on SBR Forum saying DAT may be hurt...

    :idk:
     
  30. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    I just don't see the ASU love. Not even a little.
     
  31. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    I also really want to play the under tonight in Seahawks vs. 49ers at 37 1/2.
     
  32. wes tegg

    wes tegg I'm a Guy's guy, guys.
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    It's the dance with who brought you mindset. We've all made money off them all year; I'd rather lose with them than miss out on winning with them.
     
  33. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
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    Oregon's top linebacker will also be back tonight in the starting lineup after missing a couple games to injury
     
  34. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
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    Im loading up on the SMU Game. (Already posted 1st page SMU +5)

    2 Units Under 59
    SMU +4
    SMU +160
     
  35. bRamonceTaylor

    Donor

    fuck I've got him on my fantasy team
     
  36. 20/20/20/20

    20/20/20/20 running thru the house with a pickle in my mouth
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    I don't think it's true.
     
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  37. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member

    Why so confident?
     
  38. Rowdy Burns

    Rowdy Burns War Eagle Baby!

    Arizona St +10 1 unit

    Teaser 2 units
    SMU +10
    u64.5
     
  39. Rowdy Burns

    Rowdy Burns War Eagle Baby!

    I've seen a few pick services today that like houston but I just don't see them winning by 10(my tease)
     
  40. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Playing:

    ASU +8
    ASU u69
    SMU u59
     
  41. Rowdy Burns

    Rowdy Burns War Eagle Baby!

    Also just messing around and did a ML parlay with ASU and SMU. 50 to win 400... Lets go bitch!!
     
  42. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member

    I like it and am following. GL to us.
     
  43. Guns

    Guns extreme lib, antifa commando
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    Oregon is going to curb stomp ASU
     
  44. Swt

    Swt Well-Known Member
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    damn, oregon ran right at the pasty white replacement dlineman for 80yds. if that's the best replacement they can put out there I'm dead.
     
  45. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
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    Sitting on the porch, wine in 1 hand, cigar in the other watching football. Does life get any better
     
  46. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
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    Well, you could have a beer in your hand, and a girl could be sucking you off while you're watching the game
     
  47. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
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    Agree with the blowjob but no beer while cigar. Got to be classy
     
  48. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
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    Houston -3 or SMU +3.

    The over would be a good bet IMO
     
  49. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Yeah I typed that wrong. I like the over more than a side. But I like Houston -3. I don't think they are 2 TDs worse than SMU.