World Cup 2010 Betting

Discussion in 'Soccer Board' started by Debose4Heisman, Jun 11, 2010.

  1. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Time for the World Cup. This will be my 1st year EVER betting on the World Cup so I am really interested to see how this goes. I have been betting Soccer for 2 years now so I think I understand how to bet it. I am not saying that I know all the players and know all the teams but I find out Soccer is a good sport to bet on with the right research. I usually try to start betting on soccer around January because that way I can see how the teams are doing that season because I probably know 60-65% of what most of you guys know. So betting the World Cup is going to be very interesting because I basically have information about how the teams are. But the few little stats that I do have, I feel like I can get a good feeling how it will turn out.

    South Africa vs. Mexico

    Well these odds seem very odd. Mexico is CLEARLY the better team here. Mexico being ranked #17 in the FIFA World Rankings & South Africa being ranked #83 in the FIFA World Rankings. That is a major difference but I think the factor that South Africa is hosting the tournament is helping in the Odds department. These 2 countries have played each 3 times in their lifetime. In 1993, Mexico beat South Africa 4-0 in a Friendly game in Los Angeles. In 2000, they beat them again 4-2 in a Friendly this time being in Dallas. Close to 5 years ago South Africa changed the tides and beat Mexico 2-1 in Los Angeles in the Continetal Finals.

    This Calendar year though, South Africa has not lost. They are 6-0-2 since January 1st. 6 Days ago they had a nice win against a #36 Denmark Team and a little over a week before that, they tied the #39 Bulgaria team. Mexicos record this Calendar year is 8-2-0. Now those records there might lead you to believe that South Africa might be the better team but when you look at who Mexico has played you would understand. 8 Days ago they beat the #5 team in Italy in a Friendly and their two loses have come to the #4 Netherlands & #8 England teams.

    I like this Mexico team to come out and especially getting a PICK would make it a PUSH/Tie/Cancel Bet. So the play for me is

    Mexico PICK -114 $228 to win $200

    Will have an analysis of the France/Uruguay game later
     
  2. ChileanNole

    ChileanNole Soccer Expert
    Staff Donor
    Real MadridFlorida State SeminolesMiami MarlinsMiami DolphinsLeeds United

    Like the pick, I think Mexico wins (unfortunately)
     
  3. Weedlord420

    Weedlord420 Well-Known Member
    TMB OG
    Florida State SeminolesWashington NationalsWashington CapitalsOlympics

    keep this shit on the betting board
     
  4. Andy Reocho

    Andy Reocho Please don't get lost in the sauce
    Staff Donor TMB OG
    Kansas JayhawksKansas City RoyalsKansas City ChiefsNewcastle UnitedBig 8 ConferenceFormula 1

    Just don't open the thread cas
     
  5. PAHokie

    PAHokie Can't a bitch living say I bought her Michael Kors
    Donor
    Virginia Tech HokiesPittsburgh PenguinsAtlanta Braves

    You should look at using Matchbook. Right now they have Mexico to win +166
     
  6. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Well I feel like I was shafted there. One of the all time worse calls in sports by calling it offsides. But then I was lucky because South Africa looked good.

    Theres a difference tho. If you would have bet that, a tie would lose. I bet the spread so I got a PUSH on it.
     
  7. ChileanNole

    ChileanNole Soccer Expert
    Staff Donor
    Real MadridFlorida State SeminolesMiami MarlinsMiami DolphinsLeeds United

    He was offsides. He was behind the keeper.
     
  8. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    So it doesnt matter that there was still a guy there behind him?
     
  9. ChileanNole

    ChileanNole Soccer Expert
    Staff Donor
    Real MadridFlorida State SeminolesMiami MarlinsMiami DolphinsLeeds United

    Nope.. has to be 2 for him to be onside. Normally the keeper is the 2nd defender.
     
  10. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Oh Ok. Thanks for the clarification.
     
  11. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    France vs. Uruguay

    When I first saw the odds. I loved France. Mostly because I know more about France than Uruguay. Then reading up on this game I noticed this game was ALOT closer than I first thought. France ranked #9 in the Current FIFA Rankings & Uruguay being ranked #16 in the Current Rankings. Looking at how France has done so far this year, it is pretty bad. A 1-2-1 record tying the #55 Tunisia team, losing to the #2 Spain team & #84 China team. They beat the #40 Costa Rica team less than 2 weeks ago. Uruguay has only played twice this year which could be a problem. They beat Israel & Switzerland for a 2-0-0 record so far this calendar year. The last 2 times these 2 countries have played each other (2008 & 2002) they tied 0-0.

    The more and more I look at this game to end in a tie.

    France/Uruguay - DRAW +220 $100 to win $220
     
  12. Det. Frank Bullitt

    Det. Frank Bullitt God Bless Texas
    Donor TMB OG
    Texas LonghornsManchester United

    Tough luck. I took the tie this morning (no money) keep us posted with updates and how you are doing. I might put some money on some down
     
  13. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Day 1 Record 1-0-1 +$220
     
  14. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Well it was a good day yesterday with a nice win with the Draw between France/Uruguay.

    South Korea vs. Greece

    Greece is ranked #13 and South Korea is ranked #47.
    South Korea is 1-0-1 against Greece with both matchups coming in the past 4 years.
    Greece is 0-2-1 this calendar year. Losses against #75 Senegal & #31 Paraguay. Tying #105 Korea DPR.
    South Korea is 7-4-0 this calendar Wins against #52 Finland, #46 Latvia, #140 Hong Kong, #45 Japan (TWICE), #27 Ivory Coast, #44 Ecuador. Losses to #71 Zambia, #84 China, #82 Belarus & #1 Spain.

    Well Greece has been on a downslide this year. Whereas South Korea looks to be going up then they lose to Lower Ranked teams. I give the slight edge in this game to South Korea just for their simple recent success. I think this game ends in a Draw but with the odds only being +180, I really don't think its worth that. If a team were to win I like South Korea and the odds are Pick with South Korea being an underdog. I like those odds.

    South Korea PICK +104 $100 to win $104


    Argentina vs. Nigeria

    Argentina is ranked #7 and Nigeria is ranked #21
    Argentina is 2-0-1 against Nigeria.
    Argentina is 5-0-0 this calendar year. Wins against #40 Costa Rica, #81 Jamaica, #6 Germany, #91 Haiti & #63 Canada.
    Nigeria is 6-2-2 this calendar year. Wins against #60 Benin, #85 Mozambique, #71 Zambia, #30 Algeria, #121 Congo DR & #105 Korea DPR. Losses against #12 Egypt & #32 Ghana. Ties against #66 Saudi Arabia & #35 Columbia.

    First off my pick to win the entire tournament is Argentina. Maybe it has to do that a chick I used to fuck was from Argentina and she made me cheer for them in 2006 Tournament. But that story is for another day. I think we can all say that Argentina is clearly the better team. Another small play.

    Argentina TO WIN -250 $250 to win $100


    England vs. USA

    England is ranked #8 and USA is ranked #14
    England is 7-2-0 against USA.
    England is 3-0-0 this calendar year. Wins against #12 Egypt, #17 Mexico & #45 Japan.
    USA is 3-3-0 this calendar year. Wins #72 El Savador, #29 Turkey & #20 Australia. Losses against #38 Honduras, #4 Netherlands & #33 Czech Republic.

    Well here is the game all you Americans have been dreaming of when the Schedule came out. My gut of course says England easily but with the stats it shouldn't be that easy. The way the odds are showing is that they believe England should easily win this. Odds are close to what Argentina vs. Nigeria is and I think thats 10x the mismatch. I like England to win this game but I think USA has a chance for a Draw and Maybe the win. For that I will take the spread

    USA +1 +103 $100 to win $103
     
  15. clemsonvianj

    clemsonvianj Well-Known Member
    Donor

    betting on a sport that you don't know the rules to?

    solid strategy.
     
  16. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Umm even the announcers said he wasn't offsides and even soccer friends told me. So thank you come again
     
  17. clemsonvianj

    clemsonvianj Well-Known Member
    Donor

    yes, so because the announcers and your soccer friends don't know what they're talking about, that makes it okay that you do not either?

    glad to know.
     
  18. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Its an honest mistake. I always thought it was just 1 person. Never knew it was 2. It sure hurt me betting the games yesterday.
     
  19. clemsonvianj

    clemsonvianj Well-Known Member
    Donor

  20. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Nice start to the day
     
  21. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Easy win there. Great start so far to the world cup
     
  22. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

  23. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Day 1 Record 1-0-1 +$220
    Day 2 Record 3-0-0 +$307
    Overall Record 4-0-1 +$527

    While I would love to cap tomorrows games, I am just way to hammered to try it.
     
  24. Fcbarcelona

    Fcbarcelona Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG

    Damn I'm gonna follow your monday picks. Good Start.
     
  25. IrishLAX2

    IrishLAX2 So you’re telling me there’s a chance
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishNew York YankeesNew York GiantsNew York RangersLiverpool

     
  26. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Netherlands vs. Denmark

    Netherlands is ranked #4 and Denmark is ranked #36
    Netherlands is 11-8-9 all time vs. Denmark
    Netherlands is 4-0-0 this calendar year. Wins against #14 USA, #17 Mexico, #32 Ghana & #57 Hungary
    Denmark is 4-3-0 this calendar year. Wins against #58 Poland, #127 Singapore, #106 Thailand & #75 Senegal. Losses against #68 Austria, #20 Australia & #83 South Africa

    As you can see, these 2 rival countires have played each a whopping 28 times. For soccer and as most of you reading this know, that is a lot of matchups especially for Countries. The Friendly Tune-Up games these 2 teams have gone in different directions. Netherlands has beat teams no matter what they were ranked but Denmark has not been playing well. They have lost 2 games in the past 2 weeks to Australia & South Africa. I feel like this Netherlands team is going to have a long run in this tournament.

    Netherlands TO WIN -225 $225 to win $100



    Cameroon vs. Japan

    Cameroon is ranked #19 and Japan is ranked #45
    Cameroon and Japan have NEVER played
    Cameroon is 2-4-4 this calendar year. Wins against #113 Kenya & #71 Zambia. Losses against #42 Gabon, #12 Egypt, #3 Portugal & #15 Serbia. Ties against #55 Tunisia, #5 Italy, #120 Georgia & #34 Slovakia.
    Japan is 3-5-2 this calendar year. Wins against #112 Yemen, #140 Hong Kong & #69 Bahrain. Losses against #47 Korea Republic (Twice), #15 Serbia, #8 England & #27 Ivory Coast. Ties against #49 Venezuela & #84 China

    Neither team puts themselves in front more than the other. But I still don't think Japan is good enough to win this game. I don't think Cameroon can easily win this game either. I like this game to end in a draw.

    Cameroon/Japan - DRAW +220 $100 to win $220



    Italy vs. Paraguay

    Italy is ranked #5 and Paraguay is ranked #31
    Italy is 2-0-0 all time vs. Paraguay (1950 & 1998)
    Italy is 0-1-2 this calendar year. Losses against #17 Mexico. Ties against #19 Cameroon & #24 Switzerland
    Paraguay is 2-1-1 this calendar year. Wins against #105 Korea DPR & #13 Greece. Losses against #41 Ireland. Ties against #27 Ivory Coast.

    Everyone knows this is the exact same Italy team that won it all 4 years ago. The only change is that you have add 4 years to everyones age. Only time will tell if that makes a big difference or not. It's not like they have had easy Tune-Ups but being a high ranked team they still should get at least 1 win. That scares me a bit for Italy. I am leaning towards Paraguay pulling off an upset or getting the tie.

    Paraguay +.5 -135 $270 to win $200
     
  27. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Day 1 Record 1-0-1 +$220
    Day 2 Record 3-0-0 +$307
    Day 3 Record 0-0-0 +$0
    Day 4 Record 2-1-0 +$200
    Overall Record 6-1-1 +$727
     
  28. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    Hard to knock your results, but they really only have like 4 of the same players. :|
     
  29. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Really? I heard it was their entire team again. Don't remember where I heard it but guess it was really really wrong
     
  30. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Slovakia vs. New Zealand

    Slovakia is ranked #34 and New Zealand is ranked #78
    Sovakia & New Zealand have NEVER played
    Slovakia is 1-1-1 this calendar year. Wins against #40 Costa Rica. Losses to #22 Norway. Ties against #19 Cameroon
    New Zealand is 1-3-0 this calendar year. Wins against #15 Serbia. Losses against #17 Mexico, #20 Australia & #25 Slovenia.

    In the betting odds, people love Slovakia. Looking at this I am not sure why. I think Slovakia wins this but its also very close to being a tie. Especially with Spread being 1 and New Zealand is + money.

    New Zealand +1 +100 $100 to win $100



    Ivory Coast vs. Portugal

    Ivory Coast is #27 and Portugal is #3
    These two teams have NEVER played
    Ivory Coast is 4-2-2 this calendar year. Wins against #108 Tanzania, #107 Rwanda, #32 Ghana & #45 Japan. Losses against #30 Algeria & #47 Korea Republic. Ties against #48 Burkina Faso & #31 Parguay
    Portugal is 2-0-1 this calendar year. Wins against #19 Cameroon & #85 Mozambique. Ties against #114 Cape Verde Islands.

    This stars action in the toughest Group in the World Cup. My prediction for the Finals was Argentina over Portugal so I have high hopes for Portugal. With Drogba being hopeful, there is still a chance he will not play. Even if he does play, he won't be 100% and Portugal will be messing with his arm the entire game. I like Portugal to win this game.

    Portugal -.5 +130



    Brazil vs. North Korea

    Brazil is ranked #2 and North Korea is ranked #105
    These two teams have NEVER played.
    Brazil is 3-0-0 this calendar year. Wins against #41 Ireland, #110 Zimbabwe & #108 Tanzania.
    North Korea is 3-5-3 this calendar year. Wins against #168 Krygyztan, #147 Myanamar & #139 Turkmenistan. Losses against #61 Iran, #49 Venezuela, #17 Mexico, #31 Paraguay & #21 Nigeria. Ties against #139 Turkmenistan, #83 South Africa & #13 Greece.

    Well Brazil is easily the better team. They are favored by 2 goals in this game and I think they can do that.

    Brazil -2 -140 $140 to win $100
     
  31. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    Only three starters are the same from the 2006 Final:

    GK Gianluigi Buffon, RB Gianluca Zambrotta, CB Fabio Cannavaro.

    There are pieces that are still there, subs who now start, starters who now sub, but it's hardly the same team.
     
  32. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Welp. Weird Day. Got a Win instead of a push with a last minute goal. Then went from a push and got a loss with a last minute goal.

    Day 1 Record 1-0-1 +$220
    Day 2 Record 3-0-0 +$307
    Day 3 Record 0-0-0 +$0
    Day 4 Record 2-1-0 +$200
    Day 5 Record 1-2-0 -$140

    Overall Record 7-3-1 +$587
     
  33. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Chile @ Honduras

    Chile is ranked #18 and Honduras is ranked #38
    Chile is 3-2-0 all time against Honduras. (Honduras beat Chile 2-0 16 Months ago in Fort Lauderdale)
    Chile is 5-1-0 this calendar year. Wins against #74 Panama, #95 Trinidad & Tobago, #71 Zambia, #56 Northern Ireland & #26 Israel. Losses against #17 Mexico.
    Honduras is 1-3-2 this calendar year. Wins against #14 USA. Losses against #29 Turkey, #49 Venezuela, #28 Romania. Ties against #82 Belarus & #109 Azerbaijan.

    Ever since Honduras big upset win against the USA, they have been on a downslide being 0-3-2. Chile has an atrractive record so far this year but nothing jumps out with who they have beat. They have beat the teams behind them and lost to the teams in front of them. I like Chile to win this game 1-0.

    Chile TO WIN -150 $300 to win $200



    Spain vs. Switzerland

    Spain is ranked #2 and Switzerland is ranked #24
    Spain is 15-0-3 all time against Switzerland
    Spain is 4-0-0 this calendar year. Wins against #9 France, #66 Saudi Arabia, #47 Korea Republic & #58 Poland
    Switzerland is 0-2-1 this calendar year. Losses against #16 Uruguay & #40 Costa Rica. Ties against #5 Italy.

    Just look at that all time record. That is UNBELIEVEABLE. But the way the odds are, this one is tough to bet. They are -350 to win and that is just way to high to bet. A Spread of -1 is -185 and that is way to high for a spread. Spread of -1.5 is +111 but now they got to win by 2. Thats going to be the risk with this play

    Spain -1.5 +111 $100 to win $111



    South Africa vs. Uruguay

    South Africa is #83 and Uruguay is ranked #16
    Uruguay is 1-0-1 all time against South Africa
    South Africa is 6-0-4 this calendar year. Wins against #110 Zimbabwe, #81 Jamaica, #106 Thailand, #35 Columbia, #114 Guatemala & #36 Denmark. Ties against #111 Zamibia, #105 Korea DPR, #39 Bulgaria & #17 Mexico.
    Uruguay is 2-0-1 this calendar year. Wins against #24 Switzerland & #26 Israel. Ties against #9 France.

    Watching both games I feel like I am going to understand this game more. I think South Africa played way above their heads and most had to do with the adrenaline of playing at home. Uruguay on the other hand impressed me the way they played. They just could not get that win but that tie was huge. I think they are going to take this Group.

    Uruguay PICK -139 $278 to win $200
     
  34. Det. Frank Bullitt

    Det. Frank Bullitt God Bless Texas
    Donor TMB OG
    Texas LonghornsManchester United

    id get on the over for France SA as soon as possible.
     
  35. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    France/Mexico - DRAW +210 $100 to win $210
    Greece +.5 -118 - $118 to win $100
    Korea Republic +1 +104 $100 to win $104
     
  36. CUgator

    CUgator Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Colorado BuffaloesFlorida GatorsTampa Bay Lightning

    Would have been nice if France decided to play some defense instead of stand there with their hands in the air.
     
  37. Fcbarcelona

    Fcbarcelona Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG

    won on mexico and argentina today smug

    lost on nigeria
     
  38. CUgator

    CUgator Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Colorado BuffaloesFlorida GatorsTampa Bay Lightning

    Plays for tomorrow? :idk:
     
  39. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    France BLOWS. They couldn't score a goal on an empty net if they wanted to

    Germany -1 +101 $200 to win $202
    Slovenia +.5 $128 to win $100
    England -1.5 -114 $114 to win $100
     
  40. Det. Frank Bullitt

    Det. Frank Bullitt God Bless Texas
    Donor TMB OG
    Texas LonghornsManchester United

    betting against the US? come on
     
  41. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
    Staff Donor TMB OG
    Auburn TigersLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles RamsAnaheim DucksManchester UnitedLos Angeles Angels of Anaheim

    He's a canadian faggit, so I'm not surprised
     
  42. CUgator

    CUgator Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Colorado BuffaloesFlorida GatorsTampa Bay Lightning

    Took the Dutch -1. Why couldnt those fuckers have converted on that last goal :curses:. What's everyone think for Australia and Ghana?
     
  43. Det. Frank Bullitt

    Det. Frank Bullitt God Bless Texas
    Donor TMB OG
    Texas LonghornsManchester United

    I took ghana to win. Even with a man advantage they don't look like they will win. Muntari just added so we will see
     
  44. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Sorry guys. After the Orlando Preds game we have an after party (players, coaches, personel) and I get way to drunk everytime there and am not capable to cap any games especially since I woke up at 2 yesterday.

    BTW you have to learn to bet against your team. Don't get mad because my stats favored Slovenia.

    Paraguay +.5 +118 $100 to win $118
    Italy -1.5 +114 $100 to win $114
    Brazil -.5 -123 $246 to win $200
     
  45. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Portugal -1 -139 $139 to win $100
    Chile to WIN +130 $100 to win $130
    Spain -2 -101 $101 to win $100
     
  46. Det. Frank Bullitt

    Det. Frank Bullitt God Bless Texas
    Donor TMB OG
    Texas LonghornsManchester United

    i understand betting with your mind not your heart, but thats bad karma.
     
  47. Handcuffed

    Handcuffed A Succulent Chinese Meal
    Staff Donor
    Seattle MarinersOregon DucksPortland TimbersPortland Trail Blazers

    Portugal was really only favored by a single goal?
     
  48. Fcbarcelona

    Fcbarcelona Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG

    Yep easy money.
     
  49. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Uruguay PICK +109 $200 to win $218
    South Africa/France Under 2 +106 $100 to win $106
    South Africa PICK +127 $100 to win $127
    Korea Republic to WIN +145 $200 to win $290
    Argentina -1 +113 $200 to win $226
     
  50. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    Can't say I agree with a few of these, honestly.

    Argentina needs a draw to win the group and I can't see them risking injury and playing for a blowout if they get a lead. I'm thinking you'll push on that one but have a better chance of losing than winning.

    France and South Africa are both eliminated if they don't score at least 2-3 goals. I can see that game being very open and pretty high paced.

    The Uruguay pick is an interesting one because both teams will advance with a draw, but Mexico will be on the attack slightly more since a draw will give Uruguay the group win and avoid Argentina. I believe that has the makings of a 0-0 draw or a 1-0 win, more likely than not coming from Mexico. So that's another one more I think you'll dangerously push or lose.

    Good luck though. I'd prefer you're right as I just have words at stake while you're actually laying money.