depends on how fast it’s moving. Looks like it’s going to speed way up once it turns. Would likely be able to hold onto a lot of its energy over 1-2 days
Hurricanes are also rated on sustained wind speed. There would likely still be stronger gusts scattered throughout some cells than what it’s rated at landfall
I know it was a long time ago and the ocean is a lot warmer, but super storm sandy went from a cat 2 to not even a tropical depression overnight before finally making landfall. I would hope/expect the same happens this time.
While that's true strictly speaking, it's more complicated than that. It went extra tropical (lost its warm core) before landfall. So it had lost much of its convection and wasn't characterized as a tropical anything. Still, it was an intense, extremely wide, record breaking low pressure system (940 mb or something) at landfall with 80 mph sustained winds (with powerful gusts far inland as the storm interacted with a cold front pressing from the W), and just based on its shear size and the immense amount of water it pushed was one of the most destructive storms in the history of the US.
well yeah. It also hit an area that was in no way shape or form prepared for a hurricane while also being one of the most densely populated areas in the country.
the same low pressure system that flooded Greece, Turkey and Bulgaria moved into the Mediterranean and developed into a "Medicane" (a Mediterranean cyclone) and made landfall in Libya. Two large dams burst, towns were washed away, bridges collapsed, and it sounds like thousands have died or are dying and tens of thousands are missing. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...-in-derna-how-floods-ravaged-libyan-port-city
Sheesh More than 5,000 people are presumed dead and 10,000 missing after heavy rains in northeastern Libya caused two dams to collapse, surging more water into already inundated areas. https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/11/africa/libya-flooding-storm-daniel-climate-intl/index.html
yeah i was looking at the models this morning, GFS keeps it ever farther out east at the turn than Lee was, thankfully...
Old front possibly spinning up a system next week off Florida. Likely to be very weak if it does form.
The bar survived and was open a week after the storm. The guy that made the glass bottle walls no longer lives there but a local flew him in and he made the walls again.
This survived too. The very end at the top by the boat launch had some structural damage and hasn't reopened but the rest was open a week or so after the storm. I for sure thought the entire strip would be washed into the gulf.
that kind of rapid intensification definitely isn't normal but the rapid weakening is for sure, also depends on the forward speed but I haven't looked to see what it is
it's pretty common for storms to get ripped to shreds (and rapidly weaken) once they get over mountainous land. Same thing happens in the Atlantic when storms cross the mountainous part of Cuba (or Hispaniola)
Pretty insane to see this thing end to end from TS to Cat 5 to landfall and now back to TS all within 24 hours.
Of course social media is filled with people upset that they got forced to sleep in the basement of the hotel rather than their room.
This is very good https://arstechnica.com/science/202...otis-exploded-en-route-to-acapulco-this-week/