Boston College -6 v. Syracuse ^ Dirtiest line of the week. Public will be lining up to back Cuse (and we know how it usually works out when the public backs a road underdog) after their huge win against VT and Babers emotional post game locker room speech. Last time everyone saw Boston College they got drilled by Clemson on national tv. Eagles are off a bye + an extra day. Line says the Eagles win this and public is sucked in. Favorite play this week is VT. They were in a terrible spot last week coming off that UNC win and Miami on deck. They will look a lot better this week at home in front of a big Thursday night crowd. Wheels have fallen off for Miami. Anything under a TD would be a play for me. Lean to Penn State early as well. Nice bye week for them finally starting to play better football. Back to back road games for Ohio State coming off that big road win in Madison. Obviously don't expect Penn State to win this, but getting 21 at home? All day. I like Arizona State getting 7 as well. Arizona State is a different team at home than on the road. Tough spot for Washington State with a long trip off that huge UCLA win. Like Lville a lot too, but just too many points (will wait to see if that number comes down). NC State isn't going to have much left in the tank coming off that devastating loss to my Tigers.
Couldn't agree more, going to snag VA Tech at -4 first thing this morning. Not only do they matchup well it is a Thursday game at home.
So should I bite on BC -6 when it finally shows up on my site, or will public bets bring it down even more?
bc opened at 4. agree with you on that one. ville line has jumped too. my book hasn't released lines yet but it looks like it is already up to 18.5. i bet by saturday it is up to 21.
Terrible spot for the Razorbacks. Lots of people underestimate the effect of emotional highs and lows on college players. Back to back tough home games for them going on the road against an Auburn team off a bye and a team that's finally getting it going. Anything under 7 should be a play on Auburn.
Agreed. However +9 is tempting. Especially with how this series has been in the past. I think it is at 7.5 now. Just saying if you do like Arkansas now is the time to get it. I am personally not touching it.
Jumped on BC -5.5 probably could have waited for it to go down, but if it opened -4 screw it. Did it small but have no problem taking the opposite of a possible sucker bet.
Some early leans I like for Week 8. Memphis at Navy +3 Wisconsin -3 at Iowa Miami at VT -5 Tulane +11.5 (ML and Spread) at Tulsa UNC -8 at UVA NC St +20 at Louisville Wyoming -4 at Nevada Indiana -2 at Northwestern UCF at UCONN +3.5 Colorado +2 at Stanford
i am on memphis and ville against you. indiana with you, but at +3. i think you just wrote the wrong line down.
My thought process on that one is both teams have one win, both teams have an FCS loss, NIU has hung close their last two MAC matchups. Blindly I would say no one should be giving 21.5 in a matchup of 1-win teams, but what do I know?
Obviously if you're just messing around this post can be ignored, also if you really have a system you dont need to give me a huge detail. Do you just plug in certain stats or what? Just wondering because I started tweaking with something for March Madness last year and my 'projections' were almost always within 0-2pts of the Vegas spread using just actual statistics, was wondering if you use any other factors. (Yes I know mine was for bball, but as a math dork I wonder). Thanks
pickem picks for the week. they put out lines on tuesday so some are different than current VT -6.5 mia - with the rest of you on miami wheels falling off OSU -23.5 ku - kansas is bad. that tcu game was more tcu sucking dick than jayhawks being able to keep it close with a half decent team BC -5.5 cuse - purely because of this thread WV -5.5 tcu - been riding WV and fading TCU for most of the season. A&M +16.5 bama - if A&M doesn't turn the ball over it could be a close game. may throw a small hail mary play on A&M +650 Utah +5.5 UCLA - ucla has only beaten one team with a pulse this year in byu and barely beat them. i'll take a decent team getting 5.5 Auburn -9.5 Arky - bad matchup for Arky. our strength on D is stopping the run and their D sucks horribly vs the run game PSU +19.5 OSU - again mostly because of this thread OU -13.5 TT - might be my least favorite out of these picks but still like it bc fade TTech
gonna be at a sportsbar tonight with all the games on might as well get some action on all of them ML Parlay: Packers -360 / VT -250 / Cubs -153 pays almost 2-1
Agree 100%. All of these have that too good to be true smell to them. I am laying off all of them. CFB Wis -3 v Iowa Syracuse +5.5 at BC NFL Min -2.5 at Phi Balt +0.5 at NYJ
Have VA Tech -3 got it early in the week and bought 1/2. Northwestern -2 Kansas State -1 aTm +18 Wisconsin -3 Eyeing several others but this is what I have already locked in.
I bit the BC -5.5 line, considering biting on Iowa +3 and hoping one hits, haha will probably just go 0-1 with BC and kick myself when Iowa wins
yep, joined on VT. nice pick. i bet ville at 19. added wyoming -4 max bet. they should put up 300 yds rushing alone. coming off a bye? yep.
Finalized plays for the week. (Was on VT -5) Char +12.5 at Marsh Buf +21.5 at NIU Tulane +11.5 at Tulsa UCF at UCONN +3.5 Col +2 at Stanford Mem at Navy +2.5 Wash St -7.5 at Arz St MTSU +6.5 at Missouri Wyom -4.5 at Nev
Tonight I have: Oregon +3 and ML +140 San Jose State +23 Just saw where Oregon is now a point favorite so that's nice.
He has been. The only update I could find was from last week and they were expecting him to be back this week, but it was a throwing hand injury and he couldn't grip the ball so who knows.
The rest of my stuff: Virginia Tech -3.5 (Lock of the Week) BC -5.5 (LOTW) Auburn -9.5 (LOTW) Lville -19.5 Kansas State -2.5 Iowa +3 (hook) Stanford -2.5 UVA +7.5 Kentucky +3 (hook) Texas Tech +13.5 Penn State +19.5 LSU -5.5 Arizona State +7
Here is what I got, had a great Thursday. VA Tech (W) South Alabama (W) BYU (W) Northwestern -1 EMAW -1 Wisconsin -3 TCU +6 aTm +18 Louisville -19.5 Will probably lock in tomorrow Ole Miss +7.5 Ohio State -19 Arizona State +8
Love your confidence. I think Auburn wins but 10 points is a lot to give Arkansas. I am not touching it and pray for an Auburn beat down for fan purposes. BOL
A wise man once told me to always take Iowa as a home dog. I don't always like it, or better it, but I always keep it in mind