Went to bed after the 10pm central update with a small hope that it would go through an eye wall replacement cycle. That would have stunted the growth. It didnt happen. I fear this is the one that we have been warned about for years.
It’s gonna get rough. Live south of Jackson and have an insurance office in Brookhaven. Looks like this storm is going to cruise straight up I-55 and wreck havoc. Got family with a whole house generator so that eases some concerns with two young kids but I’m not looking forward to the coming days. Local guys are saying 50-80 mph winds in our area with 6-10 inches of rain.
Been watching most of last night and legit had to double take when I read 150mph winds this morning. Insane, hope all stay as safe as possible.
They have always talked about the worst case scenario for New Orleans is a landfalling cat 4/5 coming from the southwest towards the city. That would put the city in the northeast/east eyewall. That sector contains the highest winds. There is still scientific studies looking at micro vortices (small tornadoes) in that sector as well. The storm surge will be the highest possible as well with the path. If I was drawing up a worst case; this is basically it.
Yep. All that area this thing is going to hit hard is surrounded by marsh and water and is like 0 feet to 3 feet elevation. Going to fuck lots of areas up
I would assume. I know eastbound I-10 was packed bumper to bumper all day in MS. People leaving LA going to FL and Bama to get out of the path. Probably hard to find a hotel in any of those areas
12 people are staying on Grand Isle, per parish president. the levees in New Orleans are monsters now. That shouldn’t be an issue. And the pumps work fine. Some people in the city live in areas below sea level and that is a decision they made and have to live with it. Their homes wont be under water, but cars and stores at ground level could get water if rain is >2”/hr for an extended period. the people that have real issues are the areas outside of the metro: the River parishes, Lafitte, St. Bernard, etc. here is the Great Wall of Chalmette. One of the many new flood structures built after Katrina.
I doubt DFW will have any rooms available either. We always get filled to capacity during big Louisiana ‘canes. Many of the people never go back and are transplanted here if their place is a total loss. No cap.
I’m an idiot, so can someone explain to me how Katrina’s storm surge was worse at a lower category than what Ida is forecasted to do?
I don’t know the exact reasons, but so many factors that could contribute. Time of tides being in, rainfall amount, slower moving, where it came in at could push more water inland, etc. most likely a combination of some of those
Sally wasn’t near to this level, and while driving through central Baldwin County in the days afterward I was surprised at the number of trees snapped in half 30 feet in the air (in contrast to most trees being fallen at the roots that have become loose on the saturated soil). Seemed like tornado damage to me
This sucks Had a trip planned to delacroix in early November Going through the gate in the levy is really a crazy thing driving down there
I’m assuming for fishing. Port Sulphur a little further East and has had better fishing over the last few years. I’ve been fishing both areas for years. If you need to rebook look to Port Sulphur possibly. May fair a little better
Categories for storms are kind of stupid for the most part. Katrina was a behemoth that was the size of the gulf, and pushed water for days leading up to the storm. So, by the time it hit, it was downgraded to a 3, but the effects were that of an enormous cat 5, which it was out in the gulf in the map above it says MS will have a 6-9 foot surge. They had a 30 foot surge in Katrina.
yeah the number is really just wind speed for the most part. Katrina was twice the size of Ida and it’s pace was much slower. Fucker just stalled in the gulf at one point
South MS live news feed for anyone interested. Even though we most likely getting tropical storm, the water already coming in and going to flood lots of areas. Still have a long way to go to https://fb.watch/7HnwzFv7KO/
When these storms hit at night it's the fucking worst. You can't see anything outside. Your house is making noises you've never heard before. Literally have to wait until the sun comes up hours later to see what happened.
Had a bachelor party in Nola next weekend, don’t think that’s going to happen (least of my worries). Hope the gulf tmb contingent is somewhere safe and everyone rides this out safely
This is my first hurricane experience. Friend of mine hooked me up with a case of water in case it’s gets bad up this way.
Categories are strictly for wind speed and potential damage from said wind alone. It does not take in consideration anything else like storm surge, flash flooding, and the such. It is a good guess at what kind of damage you can expect. Most houses in the hurricane prone areas are built to a certain hurricane category or wind rating. In the last couple of years; they have started to issue separate storm surge warnings to better account for the surge.
My Midwest brain convinced me “oh it probably won’t be as bad as they say” like I did to 99% of tornado warnings my whole life.
Pine trees in Hattiesburg are always a concern when heavy storms hit. If you don’t have any big ones around that could fall your house you should be good. Power may be out for a bit too.
You are basically going to get the 3 course meal of the storm versus the whole 7 course meal that those further west of you. I would be more concerned about tornadoes versus the straight line wind. Make sure that you have at least 2 ways of getting alerts (tv, weather radio, cell phone, regular AM/FM radio, and the such) and that you know where to go when a warning is issued. If you have a helmet of any kind, strong shoes with thick soles or work boots, and flashlights; put them in the room that you would go to when a warning is issued.
your biggest threat is any pine trees near your house, other than that and possibly losing power for a little bit, you should be fine up there.
Fill your bathtub so you can use that water to flush your toilet. Doubt you'll have water supply issues, but you never know.
The last recon flight into the storm has left the storm. Now we start to wait for the ground truth to start coming.