No where did that game open with Cal -1. It opened -2 almost everywhere. It got pounded down then pounded back up. I'm guessing early money came in on ASU, the line moved down at some books, then since the money has come in on Cal and moved the line back up to 2 or 2.5. With the betting percentages at different sites, I would imagine the public took ASU at +2, the line was then moved, then sharps hit Cal, and the line moved back up to where it opened.
Cris opened the line at -2 and now line bet to 2.5. 65% of bets being placed on ASU. Not the side I want to be on.
Yea I may lay off this game even though ASU has been a covering machine. Think Vegas doesn't trust them on the road yet. At home they are money. Think there are just better games out there this week.
Anyone like Washington covering against Stanford? Cris is one of the sharpest books and they opened at 7.5 and its down to 6. Let down spot after beating USC? Washington a very good home team (8-1 over the last 2 years).
“@ToddFuhrman: Wave of steam hits Washington (+7), now +6.5 across @DonBestSports screen. Sarkisian 6-0 ATS with 7+ days to prepare, avg cover by 11 PPG”
Didn't realize UCF is also coming off a bye Where the line is, second straight road trip for Missouri, early kickoff, non conference foe for Missouri, public backing a road dog. Think this is definitely my favorite play on the board this weekend.
I like Arizona a tad more simply because I feel like they're a better team than UCF .. but, UCF is very solid here.
Isn't Central Florida not a good team. I haven't exactly been paying attention but they are the favorite everywhere I look. Someone help me with this.
Don't have the trend's numbers handy but I see it brought up almost every year on other gambling boards. "Unranked home team favored over Ranked Road team" = Arizona -3 over Oregon State It has a pretty high winning % IIRC. Will see if I can find it at another site
I think they are solid. Presnapread which is the most thorough football blog I've found had them preseason #37 (7 spots ahead of Missouri). Return 16 starters (8 on both sides). They are a very good home team and a bad road team. Last year went 5-1 at home and 0-6 on the road. Completely different team depending on where the game is being played. Missouri has all kinds of problems at QB, their running game is almost as bad, and their defense is arguably worse. Two long road games in two weeks, another 1100 mile trip to Orando this week, against a team off a bye.
May not be earth shattering, but this tweet got me thinking Obviously in this case, Pinny was right and needed the Vikings the dog who won straight up. Decided to go back and compare closing lines at Pinny vs. Bovada. When the closing line was one point or more difference between Pinny and Bovada: NFL week 3: Pinny was correct on Minny, Tampa Bay, Oakland. Bovada was correct on Houston. So you would've gone 3-1 in the NFL this week if you followed Pinny. In CFB week 4: Pinny was correct on MD, FIU, Troy, Akron, Bovada was correct on TCU. Would've gone 4-1 this week if you followed Pinny.
CFB week 3: Pinny was correct on Kansas, Pitt, ULM, North Texas, Notre Dame. Bovada was correct on Ok Lite. Would've gone 5-1 this week if you followed Pinny. CFB week 2: Pinny was correct on Ball State, WKU, Cuse, Oregon State, Akron, Fresno State, UCLA, Texas. Bovada was correct on Mich State, CMU, LSU, UK. Would've gone 8-4 this week if you followed Pinny.
1) Go here (http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-odds/college-football/) on gamedays 2) Compare lines at Pinnacle and Bovada. If the line is 1 point difference btw the 2 books circle that game. 3) If the favorite is -6 at Pinnacle but -7 at Bovada on a game (just an example) take the underdog and So say on Thursday close to kickoff Stanford is -6 at Pinnacle but -7 at Bovada, Washington is very very likely the correct side (because Pinnacle wants you to take Stanford at -6 --> and trap you)
captbunch Just signed up for sportsinsights 7 day free trial. How do their highest "value" sides do overall would you guess?
I wish it wasn't so damn expensive. I want it so bad, but don't have the cash. :Brokelawschoolstudentproblems:
I did a while ago and it made me want the real thing. You could make money just by following their smart money and best bets plays.
Could we all pitch in and share a membership? I don't have enough action running each weekend to warrant it.
Or we could do it the way and share 7 day free trials from week to week. Spoiler Kidding Spoiler maybe Spoiler
The problem I would say with everyone getting it is that a lot of the great information on the website you really need to use your own computer to look at. If you are just looking for the plays thats one thing but to get the live odds and stuff like that you really need to watch line movements.
Agree with this as well. But I'll still chip in if it is decided to be a good idea. Their plays are doing pretty well so far this year.
I have no problem posting their best bets, square plays, and most profitable steam/smart money plays each Sat.
In Need someone that has a lot of time on their hands to relay pertinent information in a group PM throughout each week
Top Sharp Lines Sportsbooks Rank Sportsbook Description #1 CRIS Originate their own line and take up to $50,000 on a single bet #2 Pinnacle Unique lines and take up to $30,000 on NFL sides #3 Olympic (Greek) Originate their line, welcome professional action #4 5Dimes.com Can find lines a ½ pt. off the market #5 BetMania Maintain their opinion and don’t follow the crowd #6 ABC Islands Under the radar but still up there #7 Grande Unique lines and they maintain their own opinion
Cris and pinnacle are the two I pay attention to the most with regards to lines and %. Greek has been killin it with smart money moves and bet macho with steam.
I would love to have their plays. Their steam moves and smart money plays have been ridiculous so far this year.