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Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by bro, Sep 6, 2016.
Really like Bills +3 at Baltimore
Steelers -3* -115
big on panthers and steelers
leaning packers, giants
Early leans no plays yet.
TB+3 at Atl
NYG v Dal PK
Det +4 at Indy
Cle +4 at Phi
Min -2.5 at Tenn
SD +7 at KC
Took TB winning heads-up at ATL. TB is my 6th seed in the NFC this year, and they swept ATL last year.
Also took SD +6.5 at +105. SD took KC to the wire there last year, and SD is healthy this time.
[email protected] is tough. Seattle winning (24-31)-10 is my guess. I could see this being spoiled by a dominating Dolphins D line performance and a special teams TD or something. The wide 9 might be able to contain the scrambling, and that Sea Oline. Woof.
Camthers or Voncos tonight?
I'm on Den +3.5. Not sure what has really changed since the super bowl. DEN will still be terrible at QB and awesome on defense. Give me the defense, the home team and the hook.
75% of the public is on Carolina -3 and 60% Carolina ML....usually i like to fade the public here but damn this one is tough to pick
Looks like sharp money is on Broncos.
Peyton Manning was a shell of his old physical self, but he was still Peyton Manning. You cannot discount his effect on game management. broncos are literally starting a QB who has never thrown a pass in the NFL.
I am not sure how at all the Broncos move the ball, although it does help that Norman is out.
cam newton was historically bad in the superbowl throwing the ball. he literally cannot be worse. panthers have motivation coming into this game.
i have panthers 20 broncos 13.
this game will be ripe for some live betting.
450 on the Broncos +3.5 for me.
Home team + great defense = recipe for success. I can't remember the last time I bet on a road favorite in the NFL.
Everyone saying that the Broncos don't have a QB this year--well guess what; they didn't have one last year either.
Broncos +3 for me. Mostly to fade the public. Small bet though bc I'm not super confident.
I bought a point. Denver +4. Too much public on Carolina for me.
lol i still cannot believe the panthers gave that game away.
ended up a push hitting the under and bet some back on broncos +9 live. soooooo yeah.
Is there a website where you can find these percentages for all games?
This is the one I use.
Like it to try and track reverse line movement.
I usually only parlay NFL to try and make up for my college football losses, probably dumb but oh well.
Charles is most likely out today for KC. My Chargers pick is looking (a little) better.
Added Texans u44
Survivor league, who are you guys talking?
I'm on titans +3
Took Texans in suicide pool
Just hit a small 5 team moneyline parlay thanks to the raiders going for 2 and getting it.
Late post but I took Detroit +3 as well
NYG -1.5 make a fucking PAT you piece of shit. I guess it evens out with SD +6.5 losing in OT and KC not doing the PAT
Had a 6 team ML parlay:
NO gives up 22 in the 4th + that 2 pointer for the L. Fuck
So I placed a small wager on an 8-team parlay just for the hell of it and I've hit the first seven legs. All I have left is the Arizona ML. NE +9.5 gives me a nice middle on a hedge.
Charge open as early favorites week 2. I like the Jags there.
Also thank god for not PATs in OT
Locked in a small Pats ML at +300 right before kick.
ended up staying away from these. Only bet was Chargers +6.5
Wash looks like a loser. No way both home dogs fail to cover, right?
I really need the 49ers to not cover.
looking at next week, I really liked Dolphins +7 vs. Pats. Also like the Titans to cover whatever it is @ Lions
Really like Jags straight up @ SD.
Raiders -4.5 at home vs ATL. This is a bad Atlanta team, and Quinn might be out of there in a few weeks.
Mia at +7 is pretty good too
dunno about Raiders, that is a huge trap game where Vegas gets everyone to bet on Oakland... thinking all Oakland needs to do is win buy a TD.
I think Oakland wins the game by multiple TDs. Carr is going to have all day to throw. Julio tweaked his ankle. I don't think Atl scores over 17.
lines like this are less about matchups and more about trends. Young team, huge win, next week is usually a slip up
Fwiw 81% of the money is on Atl right now.
new orleans fucked me. that PI call is one of the worst calls i have ever seen.
it was terrible. definition of uncatchable
Don't normally love playing Thursday night games, but what do we think of NYJ -0.5 at BUF?
I know it is a short week and on the road but I think NYJ has the better coach, defense, running game, WRs and maybe even QB.
Bills have surprisingly owned the Dolphins and Jets the past few years. I think the Jets win. Nevertheless, Thursday games are so fucky.
(I'm a Bills fan, don't listen to me)
Some NFL Leans Week 2.
Dal +2.5 at Was
TB +6.5 at AZ
KC +2.5 at Hou
Jac +3.5 at SD
NYJ -0.5 at BUF
i bet on AZ -6.5 and BUF -1.
if you like the jets or TB wait until closer to game time. both lines will move the other way.
When are these games getting put up? I've got money to lose.
Plays this week.
NYJ -0.5 at BUF
KC at HOu -2-.5
Bal at Cle +6
Tb +7 at Az
someone talk me out of GB at -1.5
lol literally came to post this. Saw 79% on GB