CFB Week 3

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by TLAU, Sep 11, 2017.

  1. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Initial Leans:

    USCe -7 over Kentucky
    Clemson -155 over UL
    Tennessee +5.5 over UF
    LSU -6.5 over MSU
     
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  2. Ndirish123

    Ndirish123 Active Member

    Recap for the ESPN Chalk guys...brutal week for Phil Steele. Let me know if you see any errors.

    Week 1

    Steele 2-6 YTD 2-6
    Stanford Steve 3-1-1 YTD 3-1-1
    Bear 7-3 YTD 7-3

    Week 2
    Steele 0-6 (woof) YTD 2-12
    Stanford Steve 1-3 YTD 4-4-1
    Bear 3-3 YTD 10-6


    Week 2

    Steele (0-6)
    Ohio St -7 (L)
    Stanford +6.5 (L)
    FSU -32 (No play)
    Az St -3.5 (L)
    Nevada +10 (L)
    BC -1.5 (L)
    Syracuse -9.5 (L)

    Stanford Steve (1-3)
    Ohio St -7 (L)
    Stanford +6.5 (L)
    UCF -2.5 (No play)
    Northwestern -3 (L)
    TCU -3 (W)

    Bear (3-3)
    Oklahoma +7 (W)
    USC -6.5 (W)
    Ohio +4 (L)
    Fresno St +43.5 (W)
    UAB +14.5 (L)
    Iowa St +2.5 (L)
     
    #2 Ndirish123, Sep 11, 2017
    Last edited: Sep 12, 2017
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  3. triple-r

    triple-r Not the mama!
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    Am I missing something in the UCLA -3 @ Memphis line?

    Defensive injuries the reason?
     
  4. DuffandMuff

    DuffandMuff Well-Known Member
    Tampa Bay Lightning

    Another successful week for me as I continue to follow David. Whenever he starts to falter I can probably fade Phil Steele and become a millionaire.

     
  5. TheGodfather

    TheGodfather Half man, half amazing
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    How about you post his plays in here ahead of time next time?
     
  6. Room 15

    Room 15 Mi equipo esta Los Tigres
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    Didn't update Steele's week 2 total.
     
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  7. Ndirish123

    Ndirish123 Active Member

    Leans for this week.
    Updated.
     
  8. The Fuck Lion

    The Fuck Lion Well-Known Member
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    Not a lot of games I like this week, a few ...

    UCLA -3* @ Memphis
    SMU @ TCU -19*
    Kansas St -3.5* @ Vandy
    Purdue -7* @ Missouri
     
  9. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Tiger Woods

    UCLA line seems too good to be true
     
  10. TheGodfather

    TheGodfather Half man, half amazing
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    Yeah, that line is fishy as hell. Gonna watch this week for some RLM and possibly play Memphis. Either that or just stay away completely.
     
  11. UKupNorth

    UKupNorth Well-Known Member

    Only thing I can think of is that it will essentially be a 9 AM kickoff for UCLA (12PM kickoff in Memphis). They are traveling to Memphis Thursday to try and get acclimated to the time change.
     
  12. Ndirish123

    Ndirish123 Active Member

    Agree. That has to be a Memphis or no play for me.

    Same thing with Stanford +pnts last week v USC. But I'm an idiot so I was on Stanford.
     
  13. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Tiger Woods

    I'll go against my better judgement and play UCLA and then kick myself when they lose straight up
     
  14. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Love it or leave it!
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    One time I tracked those plays without actually playing them, I would have lost like 80% of the "line is too good to be true, but I'll play it anyways". So hard to go the opposite way though, it's like fading yourself, but you're really fading the public too, which is why it's so successful.
     
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  15. mb711

    mb711 West Coast Barner
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    Game is at 11 Memphis time, point still stands although it's only 2 hrs ahead
     
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  16. allothersnsused

    allothersnsused Wow that’s crazy
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    I've been listening and following along with the Behind the Bets guys. Usually pick one or two of theirs that I like and throw it on there.

    Fresno State O 5 and Clemson -4.5 last week were fun, though Fresno had me sweating in that 4th quarter.
     
  17. snowfx2

    snowfx2 Well-Known Member
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    Our defense blows and we're likely missing 4 of our starters (DT, LB, and both Safeties) to injuries and another LB is suspended for the 1st Half. Should be a lot of points in this one.
     
  18. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Love it or leave it!
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    Thoughts on Oregon?
     
  19. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    I would still expect you guys to beat Memphis by more than a FG
     
  20. allothersnsused

    allothersnsused Wow that’s crazy
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    Listened to Behind the Bets on the way in today. Like UF -4.5 vs. Tenn and Ohio State -30 vs. Army. It's a must-win for Florida at home and they've had traditional success against Tennessee, but it makes me nervous that all three guys (including Steele) are on the same page. On the Ohio State - Army game, their tidbit about the big victories over Kent State and Cincy hooked me. I generally try and avoid those huge line games because once we're in the 4th quarter, anything can happen, but it looks like Urban likes to use them as "get-right" games and pound an inferior opponent into submission.

    UF - Tenn

    No. 23 Tennessee Volunteers at No. 24 Florida Gators (-4.5)

    Steele: Florida started a backup quarterback last season but still led 21-3 at halftime. However, Tennessee roared back and won 38-28, ending their 11-game losing streak to Florida. This time, Florida is at home in "The Swamp." The Gators were without 10 suspended players against Michigan and should get a bunch of them back here. They have a large edge on defense, come in off a loss playing with revenge at home and have the stronger team. I like the Gators to bounce back here, and hopefully, they will be closer to full strength than they were against Michigan.

    ATS pick: Florida
    Score: Florida 31, Tennessee 23


    Coughlin: It is make-up or break-up time for the Gators and me. I have backed this team and believed in head coach Jim McElwain and offensive coordinator Doug Nussmeier too many times, and too many times, they have burned me. So this is my last stand. I think the Gators come out roaring with energy and do enough offensively against a defense that Georgia Tech dragged around in Week 1. I also expect a classic atmosphere in "The Swamp," and the blue-and-orange sea will be as passionate and loud as possible.

    ATS pick: Florida
    Score: Florida 24 Tennessee 14


    Fallica: You never really want to call the second game of the season a must-win, but this is about as must-win as it gets for the Gators, who were dominated by Michigan in the opener. Florida will get help at wide receiver in the form of James Robinson, but it appears that other suspended players will remain out. Having seen the Tennessee defense gutted by Georgia Tech in the opener, this could be just what the doctor ordered for a sluggish Gators offense. Dating back to last season, the Vols have allowed 514.6 YPG and 34.9 PPG versus Power 5 teams. I'll side toward the hosts.

    ATS pick: Florida
    Score: Florida 27, Tennessee 20

    Ohio State - Army

    Steele: Ohio State lost to Virginia Tech in 2014 by 14 points and did not look good doing it. It dropped to No. 22 in the polls, but the next two weeks, it beat Kent State 66-0 and Cincinnati 50-28. Last year, Notre Dame was off an upset loss to Navy and dominated Army 44-6, leading 38-6 at the half. You get the point. Ohio State needs to get its offense some confidence. Army has a solid defense statistically, but it rarely faces skill players and offensive lines of Ohio State's caliber. Defensive coordinator Greg Schiano is under some fire, as his defense has allowed 464 yards per game. The Buckeyes have a great front seven, but an inexperienced secondary will be tested by the Army option. When at Rutgers, Schiano always did a great stopping the option, and Ohio State spent some time in August working on that.

    ATS pick: Ohio State
    Score: Ohio State 48, Army 10
     
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  21. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    Best CFB Week 3 bets
    play




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    9:39 AM ET
    • CFB Vegas ExpertsSpecial to ESPN.com

    Our experts are back with their Week 3 college football picks. Every Thursday, Phil Steele, "Stanford Steve" Coughlin and Chris Fallica will pick two common games and as many wild-card games as they choose. It's all here in one file for your perusing pleasure.

    Here are the best bets for Week 3 of the college football season.

    ATS record:

    Phil Steele: 1-6 in Week 2 (3-12 season)
    "Stanford Steve" Coughlin: 3-1 in Week 2 (6-2-1 season)
    Chris Fallica: 1-5 in Week 2 (8-8 season)

    Note: Lines from Westgate SuperBook as of Wednesday morning.

    Common games
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    No. 3 Clemson Tigers (-3) at No. 14 Louisville Cardinals

    Steele: Louisville took Clemson down to the wire on the road last season, and the Tigers must now play a second consecutive big game, as they come in off an A+ performance at home against Auburn last week. Louisville has the edge on offense and special teams and will have home-field advantage. Still, Clemson rates a large defensive edge, even though Louisville is allowing just 34 yards per game rushing (1.5 yards per rush). I expect both teams to throw a ton, and I really don't expect anyone to run on the Clemson defense all season. Look for a much higher-scoring game from Clemson than last week and for the Tigers to grab the road win. The biggest matchup edge here is a questionable Louisville offensive line trying to contain the best defensive line in the country.

    ATS pick: Clemson
    Score: Clemson 34, Louisville 27




    [​IMG]
    CFB betting look for Week 3: Buy or sell ASU Sun Devils?
    Will Harris identifies games to watch for Week 3 of the college football season, including whether you should believe in Arizona State against Texas Tech.

    • [​IMG]
      How Vegas ranks top 25 CFB teams
      Which college football teams are strongest in the eyes of Vegas experts? Phil Steele provides his updated ratings for the top 25 teams, including a big move for Oklahoma following its win over Ohio State.


    Coughlin: This game feels a lot like the last time College GameDay went to "The Ville." Last season, the Florida State Seminoles came to town, and the world was introduced to Lamar Jackson and the Cardinals' offense. You also think of last season's Clemson-Louisville game that ended at 42-36 after being scoreless after the first quarter. In that game, Jackson rushed for 155 yards in the last three quarters, leading an unbelievable comeback that ultimately fell just short to the national champions. This season, Kelly Bryant is the Tigers quarterback, and after watching him for the first two weeks of the season, I just don't see him making enough plays in the passing game on the road in this kind of spot. Don't get me wrong: He has shown absolute fearlessness in the running game, rushing for more than 120 yards and three touchdowns, but the thought here is the Cardinals will force him into throwing situations. He has thrown for only one touchdown this season, so I like the home team to win and cover.

    ATS pick: Louisville
    Score: Louisville 27, Clemson 23


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    Fallica: This is a game that I would not play. All games are not meant to be bet on. Sit back and enjoy the brilliance of Lamar Jackson, as well as the dominance of the Clemson defensive line. If you're asking for a lean -- and obviously, if you're reading this column, you are -- I'd take the points (58.5). I think Lamar Jackson's ability to run will help him avoid a few sacks and create something out of nothing. I also wonder if Kelly Bryant is ready for this type of environment. It was very apparent that Auburn could have played eight quarters against Clemson and wouldn't have scored a touchdown. In two games, Bryant has thrown five passes that traveled at least 15 yards in the air. He's going to have to open it up a little more here. Jackson and the Cards had huge success in the second half of last year's game, and if they can avoid penalties, sacks and turnovers -- things that have plagued them in recent years -- they can certainly win the game.

    ATS pick: Louisville
    Score: Louisville 27, Clemson 26


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    No. 23 Tennessee Volunteers at No. 24 Florida Gators (-4.5)

    Steele: Florida started a backup quarterback last season but still led 21-3 at halftime. However, Tennessee roared back and won 38-28, ending their 11-game losing streak to Florida. This time, Florida is at home in "The Swamp." The Gators were without 10 suspended players against Michigan and should get a bunch of them back here. They have a large edge on defense, come in off a loss playing with revenge at home and have the stronger team. I like the Gators to bounce back here, and hopefully, they will be closer to full strength than they were against Michigan.

    ATS pick: Florida
    Score: Florida 31, Tennessee 23


    Coughlin: It is make-up or break-up time for the Gators and me. I have backed this team and believed in head coach Jim McElwain and offensive coordinator Doug Nussmeier too many times, and too many times, they have burned me. So this is my last stand. I think the Gators come out roaring with energy and do enough offensively against a defense that Georgia Tech dragged around in Week 1. I also expect a classic atmosphere in "The Swamp," and the blue-and-orange sea will be as passionate and loud as possible.

    ATS pick: Florida
    Score: Florida 24 Tennessee 14


    Fallica: You never really want to call the second game of the season a must-win, but this is about as must-win as it gets for the Gators, who were dominated by Michigan in the opener. Florida will get help at wide receiver in the form of James Robinson, but it appears that other suspended players will remain out. Having seen the Tennessee defense gutted by Georgia Tech in the opener, this could be just what the doctor ordered for a sluggish Gators offense. Dating back to last season, the Vols have allowed 514.6 YPG and 34.9 PPG versus Power 5 teams. I'll side toward the hosts.

    ATS pick: Florida
    Score: Florida 27, Tennessee 20


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    No. 18 Kansas State Wildcats (-4) at Vanderbilt Commodores

    Steele: These teams last met in 1984. Kansas State has a slight edge on defense but large edges on offense and special teams. Both quarterbacks, Jesse Ertz and Kyle Shurmur, have opened up on fire. Vanderbilt will be ready for this home game, but Kansas State is the stronger team, and Bill Snyder knows how to win on the road. My computer has Kansas State winning this by eight points, and I agree.

    ATS pick: Kansas State
    Score: Kansas State 28, Vanderbilt 20


    Coughlin: I thought this would be a great season for the Big 12. After seeing the big out-of-conference wins by TCU and Oklahoma, I am going to ride the lightning with one of my most trusted coaches in the country, Bill Snyder. I was really impressed with the versatility of the offense that the "Purple Kats" have shown in their first two games, as they rushed for more than 300 yards last week and threw for more than 300 yards in Week 1. KSU quarterback Jesse Ertz ranks fourth in the country in passing efficiency and yards per completion. If the Commodores were facing another Big 12 team, who maybe liked to spread the field more and throw more, I would lean toward the SEC team, but I like the overall team versatility of Bill Snyder's group.

    ATS pick: Kansas State
    Score: Kansas State 27, Vanderbilt 17


    Saturday games
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    Army Black Knights at No. 8 Ohio State Buckeyes(-30)

    Steele: Ohio State lost to Virginia Tech in 2014 by 14 points and did not look good doing it. It dropped to No. 22 in the polls, but the next two weeks, it beat Kent State 66-0 and Cincinnati 50-28. Last year, Notre Dame was off an upset loss to Navy and dominated Army 44-6, leading 38-6 at the half. You get the point. Ohio State needs to get its offense some confidence. Army has a solid defense statistically, but it rarely faces skill players and offensive lines of Ohio State's caliber. Defensive coordinator Greg Schiano is under some fire, as his defense has allowed 464 yards per game. The Buckeyes have a great front seven, but an inexperienced secondary will be tested by the Army option. When at Rutgers, Schiano always did a great stopping the option, and Ohio State spent some time in August working on that.

    ATS pick: Ohio State
    Score: Ohio State 48, Army 10


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    Purdue Boilermakers at Missouri Tigers (-7.5)

    Steele: Missouri is No. 4 in the NCAA in total offense (619 yards per game) but averages 697 yards and 64 points per game versus FCS foes the past two seasons. Against Power 5 teams, the Tigers averaged just 20.5 points per game. Mizzou quarterback Drew Lock hits just 51 percent with a 12-12 ratio and 251 yards per game versus Power 5 teams. He throws for 413 yards per game at 62 percent with a 19-1 ratio versus non-Power 5 teams. I just think Purdue is the stronger team and Jeff Brohms' squad has the true firepower to pull off the upset.

    ATS pick: Purdue
    Score: Purdue 38, Missouri 37


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    Kent State Golden Flashes at Marshall Thundering Herd (-14)

    Steele: Prior to last season's precipitous plunge to 3-9, Marshall had won its home game the prior three seasons by an amazing average of 22 points per game. Kent State was blown out by Clemson and trailed Howard in the second half. The Golden Flashes have played to an average game grade of 54.9. Marshall beat a strong MAC team in Miami (Ohio) and stood toe-to-toe with a strong North Carolina State squad last week. The Herd have played to an average game grade of 80.7, 26 points higher, and they are at home looking to regain their swagger with a bye on deck.

    ATS pick: Marshall
    Score: Marshall 41, Kent State 17


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    No. 25 UCLA Bruins (-3) at Memphis Tigers

    Steele: Memphis is just 3-7 when hosting Power 5 teams. The Bruins are traveling from one coast to the other and playing at 9:00 a.m. their time. Plus, they have Stanford on deck. UCLA was outgained by Hawaii, but that is misleading, as they led 42-7 in the third quarter. Since their 44-10 deficit to Texas A&M, Josh Rosen has led 12 consecutive touchdown drives, if you take out the kneel-down versus the Aggies and the one-play drive at the end of the half versus Hawaii. Memphis allowed 279 yards passing in the wind and rain versus UL-Monroe. UCLA continues to gain confidence, and I think it gets a solid road win.

    ATS pick: UCLA
    Score: UCLA 41, Memphis 31


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    Rice Owls at Houston Cougars (-22.5)

    Steele: I had Rice as a much-improved team this season and was taken aback when it got destroyed by a powerful Stanford team, but the Owls rebounded with a 437-229 edge in yardage at UTEP. Houston had its opener postponed and went down to the wire at Arizona. Kyle Allen hit 78 percent but with a 1-2 ratio. That Stanford national television blowout might give us value on Rice for weeks, and it could keep this much closer than expected. Houston is 3-10-1 as a home favorite versus nonconference teams and is in a Power 5 sandwich off Arizona with Texas Tech on deck.

    ATS pick: Rice
    Score: Houston 35, Rice 21


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    Cincinnati Bearcats at Miami (OH) RedHawks (-4.5)

    Coughlin: Let's start with a little history: The "Battle for the Victory Bell" between Miami and Cincinnati is the longest-lasting collegiate football rivalry west of the Allegheny Mountains, first being played in 1888. Sometimes I just have to go with my gut when I see a team play. Last week, I watched this Bearcats team go into the Big House and compete with the highly-ranked Wolverines for 60 minutes. Now, they were decimated by two pick-sixes in a game they ended up losing 36-14, but I liked what I saw. One of the things I liked was how much speed Cincy has on the defensive side of the ball. That speed, along with the experience Luke Fickell has as a defensive coordinator and interim head coach in Columbus, sets up for a better season than I think most expected. Bearcats quarterback Hayden Moore will be a lot more careful with the football after going 15-of-40 for 132 yards, a touchdown and the aforementioned two interceptions. I think Cincinnati wins a tight one.

    ATS pick: Cincinnati
    Score: Cincinnati 20, Miami 17


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    Tulane Green Wave at Oklahoma Sooners (-34)

    Coughlin: Green Wave head coach Willie Fritz is rapidly approaching my top-five favorite head coaches in college football. Last week, I gave Tulane as my "Money Line Pick of the Week" over Navy as a 13-point underdog, and it lost by two points. This week, the boys from New Orleans go to Norman to face the No. 2-ranked Sooners and Baker Mayfield. OU comes in off a great win on the road over Ohio State, its defensive line is worn down after battling the Buckeyes, and Mayfield had to leave the game a couple times with a limp, so I lean toward the enormous underdog here. The fact that the Green Wave have scored 21 or more points in three straight games also makes me like Coach Fritz's team in this spot. I think they keep it close enough.

    ATS pick: Tulane
    Score: Oklahoma 48, Tulane 20


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    Oregon Ducks (-14.5) at Wyoming Cowboys

    Fallica: Oregon's offense looked great last week against Nebraska, but the Ducks' defense still showed that it is a work in progress. After a good first half, Nebraska was able to pop a few big pass plays and make a game out of what was a 42-14 hole. After laying an egg offensively at Iowa, Wyoming has a chance to get Josh Allen back on a national stage with a big offensive effort here. Since Marcus Mariota left Eugene, Oregon is 1-9 ATS as a double-digit favorite. I don't know if Wyoming can keep Justin Herbert and the Ducks' offense out of the end zone enough to win the game, but I do think they will score enough to stay within the number.

    ATS pick: Wyoming
    Score: Oregon 45, Wyoming 35


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    Troy Trojans (-7) at New Mexico State Aggies

    Fallica: Don't look now, but Doug Martin's team might have turned a bit of a corner, winning its rivalry game over New Mexico last week and outgaining Arizona State by 149 yards in a 37-31 loss in Tempe. Running back Larry Rose III is now healthy, and quarterback Tyler Rogers has thrown for 799 yards in two games. Troy put up big numbers against Alabama State last week, but in Boise, the Trojans had just 215 yards and turned the ball over three times. It is the home opener in Las Cruces, and with a bunch of experience and momentum from last week, look for New Mexico State to make amends for a couple of bad losses at Troy's hands the past two seasons (52-7 and 52-6).

    ATS pick: New Mexico State
    Score: New Mexico State 38, Troy 34


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    Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (-6) at Louisiana Monroe Warhawks

    Fallica: Monroe's offense showed some life in its only game, a bad weather trip to Memphis in which the Warhawks outgained Memphis but were done in by four costly turnovers in a game in which they covered as huge underdogs. Matt Viator had Monroe playing much better by season's end in 2016, winning a couple games as big underdogs and covering in another. Southern Miss put forth a scrappy effort against Kentucky in the season opener, allowing just 254 yards, but I don't know if I'm ready to lay points on the road with the Golden Eagles just yet.

    ATS pick: UL Monroe
    Score: UL Monroe 30, Southern Miss 27


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    LSU Tigers (-7) at Mississippi State Bulldogs

    Fallica: I'll be taking the points here. This will be a good test to see if LSU's newfound offensive efficiency (eighth in FBS) is real. The same can be said for the Bulldogs, who lead the nation in defensive efficiency. Since 2014, the Bulldogs and Tigers have played three times, and Mississippi State has a win in Baton Rouge, along with two- and three-point losses. Also in that span, Dan Mullen's team has been an underdog of six or more points nine times; MSU has covered seven of the games and won four outright. If you extend that stretch to the final two instances in 2013, you have nine ATS wins in 11 games.

    ATS pick: Mississippi State
    Score: LSU 24, Mississippi State 23


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    Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-13.5) at Boston College Eagles

    Fallica: BC hasn't looked very good to start the season, but I expect Notre Dame to bring out the best in the Eagles. Traditionally, Boston College has played Notre Dame tough as a big underdog, including two years ago, when a mediocre Eagles team was a 14.5-point 'dog to a Notre Dame team that went to the New Year's Six and only lost 19-16. But BC's success in this role extends further. Going back to the Eagles' epic 1993 upset in South Bend, Boston College has been a touchdown underdog versus the Irish 14 times and is 11-3 ATS with five outright wins. That includes ATS covers in each of the past six instances, with two straight-up wins. After running at will in the opener against Temple, Notre Dame managed just 1.5 yards per carry against Georgia and had a lot of problems blocking up front. Nobody will confuse the entire BC defense with that of the Bulldogs, but defensive end Harold Landry is one of the best in the country and will make it tough on the Notre Dame offensive line. The Irish have their work cut out here.

    ATS pick: Boston College
    Score: Notre Dame 24, Boston College 17
     
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  22. Ndirish123

    Ndirish123 Active Member

    Ok so we have a bit of a mix up.

    This is what have the Behind the Bets guys at..

    Week 1
    Steele 2-6 YTD 2-6
    Stanford Steve 3-1-1 YTD 3-1-1
    Bear 7-3 YTD 7-3

    Week 2
    Steele 0-6 (woof) YTD 2-12
    Stanford Steve 1-3 YTD 4-4-1
    Bear 3-3 YTD 10-6

    ESPN website has them as

    Phil Steele: 1-6 in Week 2 (3-12 season)
    "Stanford Steve" Coughlin: 3-1 in Week 2 (6-2-1 season)
    Chris Fallica: 1-5 in Week 2 (8-8 season)

    So that being said... I'm just going to keep the ESPN website record as the record.
     
  23. allothersnsused

    allothersnsused Wow that’s crazy
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    Btw - Found this recently. Godsend. Spoilering it because I don't want it to come up in google searches (which is how I found it). Don't want it to get too big but I will share it with my TMB bros.

     
  24. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    memphis 3.5. for all the reasons stated above.
    texas 17. because tom herman is a huge dog, smaller bet on this one. homer alert, and ill be at the coliseum.
    louisville 3. we all saw the 2h last year. not much has changed save clemson not as good offensively, obviously, louisville revenge game at home? give me pts.
    uva -10.
    BC 14. ND...yeah.
    rice 23. still undervalued in vegas, even after last week.

    games i'm looking at:
    wyoming 14. can you really trust wyoming, ever?
    miss st +7. not buying the LSU hype. miss st underrated on O. i agree with the insider result above. miss st home game at night laying 7
    byu 17. that's a big number for this Wisconsin team that has looked like shit.
     
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  25. Ndirish123

    Ndirish123 Active Member

    Plays for me this week.

    MTSU at Minn -10.5
    AF at Mich -24.5
    Tulane +37 at OU
    Iowa St -9.5 at Akron
    Ore at Wyom +14
    Coastal Car -2.5 at UAB
    Cincy +5.5 at Miami (OH)


    Week 1: 6-4
    Week 2: 2-5
    YTD: 8-9
     
  26. wolfpck

    wolfpck haters gonna hate
    Donor
    North Carolina State Wolfpack

    Missouri -7.5 vs Purdue
    Tulane +35 @ Oklahoma
    Wyoming +14 vs Oregon
    Mississippi State +7.5 vs LSU
    Texas +16 @ USC

    Week 1: 2-5
    Week 2: 4-1
    YTD: 6-6
     
  27. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Tiger Woods

    Not seeing anything
     
  28. allothersnsused

    allothersnsused Wow that’s crazy
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    You can copy/paste insider articles and it will scrape them for you to read. If you don't see the entry box, not sure what's up. Maybe doesn't work on mobile.
     
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  29. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    UCLA -3 is the dirtiest line of the year. Pac 12 team going to the road and only getting 3 against an AAC team? Early kickoff and a nice look ahead spot with Stanford on deck for the Bruins. Oh and the line opened at -4.5 and has moved to -3 despite 80% of the bets being on UCLA? Should be an auto Memphis play.
     
  30. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Games I like this week:

    Missouri o78
    Miss St +7.5
    Oklahoma St -13.5
    Vanderbilt u50
    Bama -28.5
    Oklahoma -35
     
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  31. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    That Mizzou over caught my eye earlier too.
     
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  32. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    Missouri or nothing there. That line is dirty.
     
  33. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Those two offenses should function pretty well against those two defenses. I could easily see a 45-42 type game.
     
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  34. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    The spread or total?
     
  35. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    The spread. Purdue has looked great so far, Mizzou has looked the opposite. And Mizzou is laying a touchdown? Plus 81% of the bets are on Purdue.

    This line is similar to USC v. Stanford. Trojans laying points at home after looking terrible, public backs Stanford, Vegas cleans up.
     
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  36. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Mississippi State +7.5
    Ok State -13 (line is dirty, not UCLA dirty, but I'm still taking it. 70% of the money is on Ok State but it has dropped a point. High on OSU)
    Clemson -3
    Bama -28 (bought hook -119)




    Week 1: 4-2-1
    Week 2: 3-4
    YTD: 7-6-1
     
  37. allothersnsused

    allothersnsused Wow that’s crazy
    Donor
    Virginia CavaliersAtlanta BravesAtlanta HawksChelsea

    Iowa St -10.5
    Florida -4.5 (wavering here)
    Ohio St. -30

    I only bet a couple games a week but
    Week 1: 0-1 (parlay)
    Week 2: 2-0
     
  38. Tommy Callahan

    Tommy Callahan Well-Known Member
    TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta Braves

    I like Bama this weekend as well
     
  39. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    why do we like Mississippi State?
     
  40. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    At home and they've played LSU pretty well the last few years. I like them to keep it close. Don't think they will win though. Will be interesting to see that Canada offense against Grantham's pressure defense.
     
  41. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Mercer +43 might not be a bad play. Auburn is possibly going to sit a lot of starters that might have small injuries or at the very least only play them for a small amount of time.
     
  42. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Just bet on Illinois +17 tonight :blech:
     
  43. UKupNorth

    UKupNorth Well-Known Member

    Thinking about this as well.
     
  44. colonelrascals

    colonelrascals Mayonnaise-colored Benz, I push miracle whips
    Donor
    Texas Tech Red RaidersHouston AstrosHouston RocketsTennisTottenham HotspurTexas Tech Red Raiders alt

    Picks this week:

    Parlay:

    ND -13
    UVA -10.5
    Memphis +3

    Plays:

    Mich -23
    Cincy +5
    Tulane +35.5
    Wyoming +14


    Week1 - 11-2
    Week2 - 1-5
    YTD- 12-7
     
  45. UKupNorth

    UKupNorth Well-Known Member

    Any thought on ND -13 @ Boston College?
     
  46. Ndirish123

    Ndirish123 Active Member

    Since 93, Boston College has been TD dog vs Notre Dame 14 times. 11-3 ATS with 5 SU wins, including 6 straight ATS wins with 2 outright wins.

    Zero chance I put a penny on ND.
     
  47. DuffandMuff

    DuffandMuff Well-Known Member
    Tampa Bay Lightning

    He took the under on the BSU game last night. Now 16-4. Wasn't paying attention to twitter so I missed it.

    Y'all should follow him since he posts his picks throughout the day on Saturday. He doesn't do one group of picks on say Friday or whatever.
     
  48. allothersnsused

    allothersnsused Wow that’s crazy
    Donor
    Virginia CavaliersAtlanta BravesAtlanta HawksChelsea

    Ended up taking FL -4 (2U)
    Cincy +5 (2U)
    Ohio St. -30 (1U)
     
  49. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    Kentucky +7 (this number is well gone now. Huge RLM in this game moving across the key number of 7. Sharp money appears to be on the Cats)

    Old Dominion +10.5 (taking a flyer here. UNC is going to be up for a road game against a CUSA team after two draining weeks and Duke on tap? Give me the double digit home dog)

    Mizzou -7 (this is the second dirtiest line of the week. Mizzou has looked terrible, Purdue has looked good and they are a TD dog? If it looks too good to be true it usually is. The public backing a home dog doesn't usually fair well either - see Stanford/USC last week)

    Florida -5 (Gators are back at home and have had 2 weeks to get over the Michigan loss. I like the Gators to bounce back here)

    Memphis +3 (dirtiest line of the week. Pac 12 team going to the road and only getting 3 against an AAC team? Early kickoff and a nice look ahead spot with Stanford on deck for the Bruins. Line has basically sat at -3 all week despite the vast majority of bets on UCLA. They are either getting sharp money on Memphis or like their position here. I'll roll with Vegas).
     
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  50. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
    Donor
    Tiger Woods

    I don't always tail FriendsofJtyler but love the breakdown of his plays while giving me food for thought
     
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