Elon / Twitter Thread

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by Whammy, Apr 14, 2022.

  1. JGator1

    JGator1 I'm the Michael Jordan of the industry
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    Website running very slow

    Concerning!
     
  2. Lyrtch

    Lyrtch My second favorite meat is hamburger
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  3. slogan119

    slogan119 Her?
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    Biznuss Jenus
     
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  4. steamengine

    steamengine I don’t want to press one for English!
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    They just practice the same ways of doing business as any other “billionaire”, but have both decided that notoriety is priority number one.
     
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  5. Where Eagles Dare

    Where Eagles Dare The Specialist Show On Earth
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    M&A 101
     
  6. BudKilmer

    BudKilmer Well-Known Member
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    Things going great in The Valley
     
  7. Where Eagles Dare

    Where Eagles Dare The Specialist Show On Earth
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    :laugh: just over estimating it by probably 2-3x

    Their grants are essentially worthless

     
  8. Drown ‘Em

    Drown ‘Em The Candy Man
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    Someone please correct me if I am wrong, but is that saying that Musk seemingly used an 11x factor of the ~$3B in revenue to get the $33B number before subtracting the $13B in debt Twitter now has to arrive at his $20B valuation number, but that the industry average 4.5x factor of revenue is more appropriate to have been used? And if so, someone again please correct me if I am wrong, is that also saying the math really is closer to (~$3B x 4.5) - $13B = valuation, meaning he and his other investors paid $31B (Musk $23B alone) of their own fortunes ($44B purchase-$13B debt) for a company that five months later now could appropriately be valued at $500M? If so, he'd be overestimating its value by closer to 40x. Also, if so, HAHAHAHAHAHAHA.
     
  9. Bruce Wayne

    Bruce Wayne Billionaire Playboy
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    How isn't the company essentially worthless at this point? Their biggest asset would be the IP/platform so surely they wouldn't have enough assets they could liquidate to cover their debts and equity
     
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  10. EdmondDantes

    EdmondDantes Both winner in league and apparently at life, haha
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    I'm not a business genius so someone please correct....is it considered good to pay 44b for a company and then (generously) value it at 20b approximately 6 months later?
     
  11. rulethirty

    rulethirty UCF and Alabama are basically peers.
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    Their biggest asset is, and has always been, its network effects (ie people use twitter because that’s where everyone already is)

    No one knows how much it’d cost to replicate that, but it’s a lot.

    $20b-ish doesn’t sound too crazy to me.
     
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  12. Drew Swinney Esq

    Drew Swinney Esq Successful Attorney in Atlanta
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    Well you see he foundlinged some other big companies without anybody’s help but his own, just like all the other people that have foundlinged their own small busynesses. In the minds of the small busyness foundligers they have basically the same level of busyness acumen, so all the moves he made was exactly what they would have done if they hostilely took over another foundligers small busyness as a play toy. Once you ignore things like purchase price and current valuation and just look at all the correct busyness 101 decisions made along the way then yes, this is actually good busyness.
     
    #13612 Drew Swinney Esq, Mar 26, 2023
    Last edited: Mar 26, 2023
  13. Daddy Rabbit

    Daddy Rabbit obviously silly and not productive
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    [​IMG]
     
  14. Where Eagles Dare

    Where Eagles Dare The Specialist Show On Earth
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    Especially not after they already had an office yard sale
     
  15. ~ taylor ~

    ~ taylor ~ Well-Known Member
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    I would think their biggest asset is their user data, but I'm not sure how valuable that is without the network.
     
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  16. BudKilmer

    BudKilmer Well-Known Member
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  17. SD_Irish

    SD_Irish El Mas Chingon
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    Pretty much. That 11x multiple is a head scratcher given Twitter comps appear to be 4.5x. There is no rationale behind the figure he is using, and worse yet, when doing so his valuation is still coming in at half of what he paid just a short time ago.

    Why anyone continues to work for this guy is beyond me. Why anyone entrusts him with making decisions using their money or believing anything he says regarding financial valuations is an even bigger mystery.
     
  18. TAS

    TAS 20_ _ TMB Poster of the Year
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    I know Elon is tanking twitter's value with his terrible business acumen, but usually when some rich guy is getting laughed at because he claimed an asset is worth a fraction of what it previously was, I assume it's (at least partially) some sort of tax avoidance scam.

    I haven't bothered to read the latest articles, am I wrong here?
     
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  19. Bricktop the white

    Bricktop the white Well-Known Member

    Gotta spend money to make money
     
  20. BWC

    BWC It was the BOAT times, it was the WOAT times
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    Lighting it on fire, also an option
     
  21. NineteenNine

    NineteenNine Divers are, in fact, wankers. It's science.
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    Shit burns well.
     
  22. ~ taylor ~

    ~ taylor ~ Well-Known Member
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    Without reading anything but headlines...

    This valuation was tied to stock awards to employees, so without knowing what the actual awards are, a higher valuation is potentially better for existing shareholders (Musk, Fidelity, Saudi Arabia), because the employees won't participate until the proceeds of a sale are above the valuation.

    So there is a reasonable likelihood that he wanted as high a valuation as possible and that was the highest he could defend.

    Usually it is real estate that people want to pretend is worth less for tax purposes.
     
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  23. timo

    timo g'day, mate
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    This would be true if gigantic corporations paid taxes
     
  24. chuckmasterflex

    chuckmasterflex Attack and dethrone God
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  25. Daniel Ocean

    Daniel Ocean I only lied about being a thief
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    I get mad when I buy a pair of #Sneakers and they drop in price by a couple bucks
     
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  26. fattus

    fattus Well-Known Member
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    Wait…they eliminated 2-factor auth???
     
  27. kezarmyaj

    kezarmyaj eat your floor cereal
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    believe it’s only for twitter blue accts now
     
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  28. Truman

    Truman Well-Known Member
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    It’s part of the twitter blue package. You have to subscribe to get 2FA
     
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  29. Harrison Beck

    Harrison Beck Bailout Bro
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    That’ll be 8 dollars
     
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  30. BudKilmer

    BudKilmer Well-Known Member
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  31. NineteenNine

    NineteenNine Divers are, in fact, wankers. It's science.
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  32. Can I Spliff it

    Can I Spliff it Is Butterbean okay?
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  33. —

    Well-Known Member
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    Go woke go broke!
     
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  34. kezarmyaj

    kezarmyaj eat your floor cereal
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    I feel like at this point it would have been more profitable to literally set $44 billion on fire
     
  35. —

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    Make it a ppv event
     
  36. JGator1

    JGator1 I'm the Michael Jordan of the industry
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    Elon and MBS are woke!!!
     
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  37. steamengine

    steamengine I don’t want to press one for English!
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    What if I told you the blue check mark you paid for can now be hidden or that you’ll be inundated with neonazi propaganda now?

    That do anything for you toward an 11x multiple?
     
  38. slogan119

    slogan119 Her?
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    Plus he’s lost a boatload of money with Tesla stock plunging - because he chose to focus on (ruining) Twitter
     
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  39. Beeds07

    Beeds07 Bitch, it's Saturday
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    Imagine lighting $44B on fire and the overall winner is catturd?
     
  40. Redav

    Redav One big ocean
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    My read is that Tesla was overvalued by the myth that's he has a 300 IQ. And now he's clearly demonstrated the be does not.
     
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  41. Fran Tarkenton

    Fran Tarkenton Hilton Honors VIP
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    would guess there are a few boys on this website that will still defend his intellect
     
  42. Redav

    Redav One big ocean
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    Oh for sure
     
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  43. The Guglia

    The Guglia I Work in the City, and I Work Long Hours.
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    Elon has 300 IQ*

    *In boots
     
  44. —

    Well-Known Member
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    It’s really an amazing 20 or so year arc.

    has a competing company with PayPal, gets a sweet deal in a merger. Lots of money upon exit.


    Commandeers a cool new electric car company for the stars and gets all sorts of good PR.
    Rides that PR wave into starting other “cool” companies like SpaceX and Solar City. Truly a press darling, saving the world and making money along the way!

    Becomes the richest man in the world, abandons all positive PR he got for his past “achievements” and is now the dumbest and worst poster on the internet.
     
  45. Drew Swinney Esq

    Drew Swinney Esq Successful Attorney in Atlanta
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  46. NineteenNine

    NineteenNine Divers are, in fact, wankers. It's science.
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  47. Lyrtch

    Lyrtch My second favorite meat is hamburger
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    the number of people getting their accounts hacked increasing feels like it'll lead to people just leaving the platform vs paying for Blue
     
  48. BudKilmer

    BudKilmer Well-Known Member
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    Just standard blocking and tackling in the valley Whammy
     
  49. Shawn Hunter

    Shawn Hunter Vote Corey Matthews for Congress
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    I'm surprised at how many people are unaware that you can still do two factor authentication. You just can't do it via text message anymore. Which is the less secure method of two factor authentication to begin with.
     
  50. DuffandMuff

    DuffandMuff Well-Known Member
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    That’s what she said.
     
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