Gambling Thread

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by bro, Nov 25, 2020.

  1. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Rich Bisaccia said he failed out of math class when the tie scenario was brought up, but sure he is going to enlist game theory in this spot!
     
  2. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    No coach would be blacklisted for doing something that gets their team to the playoffs

    The realistic tie scenario is if it's close in the 4th quarter or goes to OT neither team has an incentive to win so it will be naturally conservative. Not collusion, just two teams that have no reason to try hard to win.

    Basically any game that has a tie score it's really like each team can act like they have a 1 point lead. That'll lead to some weird shit
     
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  3. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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    I don't think they'll set out to try for a tie all game but if it's remotely close late then I think they will. And they should. The goal is to make the playoffs, not win this game.
     
  4. Vinegar Strokes

    Vinegar Strokes Tuck Comin
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    blacklisted because they are doing what they need to do to make the playoffs, and win a super bowl?
     
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  5. —

    Well-Known Member
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    Fair enough, more annoyed by all the "kneel every possession" takes
     
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  6. bro

    bro Hey Hermano
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    Everything coming up SF
     
  7. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
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    No serious person is really suggesting that I don't think. We all want it but they'd both get kicked out of the playoffs. Same thing happened in the Olympics about 10 years ago
     
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  8. —

    Well-Known Member
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    Diminishing the NFL's product won't exactly be a good look.
     
  9. seanofthedead86

    seanofthedead86 Well-Known Member
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    Tennessee VolunteersAtlanta BravesAtlanta FalconsAtlanta UnitedNavy Midshipmen

    It's going to be a boring and conservative game tonight.
     
  10. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
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    I want to go back to 17-0
     
  11. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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    I don't think they'd get kicked out but I don't think there's any way they just kneel it out either. I think we'll see a lot of runs and QB's with instructions to take zero chances of turning the ball over in their own territory.
     
  12. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor


     
  13. —

    Well-Known Member
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    Cut to Derek Carr throwing into double coverage on first down
     
  14. bro

    bro Hey Hermano
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    We can always find random Twitter accounts saying dumb shit
     
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  15. —

    Well-Known Member
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    True, but he is a pro bettor with over 10,000 followers so its not just egg pic guy
     
  16. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
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    If they kneeled out the entire game they would 100% be kicked out
     
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  17. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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    No way. Goodell would say he was disappointed and they'd look to make changes but no way do they get replaced by 2 teams that didn't qualify.

    This is dumb though, they aren't going to do it.
     
  18. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    Rule 17.1.10 of the NFL’s official rulebook regards “Commissioner Authority,” and it states: “The Commissioner has the sole authority to investigate and take appropriate disciplinary and/or corrective measures if any club action, non-participant interference, or calamity occurs in an NFL game which the Commissioner deems so extraordinarily unfair or outside the accepted tactics encountered in professional football that such action has a major effect on the result of the game.”

    They literally have a rule for it.
     
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  19. seanofthedead86

    seanofthedead86 Well-Known Member
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    Tennessee VolunteersAtlanta BravesAtlanta FalconsAtlanta UnitedNavy Midshipmen

    Going into this week, knowing this could have been a potential outcome, why didn't they flex the game out of the night spot and have both games take place at the same time?
     
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  20. —

    Well-Known Member
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    Because the least likely variable was the Jaguars beating the colts so they thought they were going to end the season on a de facto playoff game.

    they still are despite many dreamers thinking otherwise.
     
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  21. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
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    They flexed it into the flex spot knowing that the Colts would roll Jacksonville
     
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  22. seanofthedead86

    seanofthedead86 Well-Known Member
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    I didn't realize it was the flexed game.
     
  23. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
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    Slightly related, I worked for a college lacrosse team 10 years ago where they had to win or lose by 6+ to make the conference championship game. They faced a team that could only win by 1-5 to make it.

    They spent an entire day practicing scoring on themselves (I assume the other team did too) before the conference emailed both teams and threatened double elimination if they did it
     
  24. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    Every game was flexed. There was no schedule this time last week
     
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  25. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    If anyone has Bookmaker, they have a clear line error with Anett Kontaveit. She was -800 prematch. On serve at 2-1 shes -103
     
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  26. bro

    bro Hey Hermano
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    Doubling down for OT
     
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  27. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Just no Stafford INT please. Have a 2 cigar bet with a buddy whose a San Fran friend that Stafford would have under 3.5 INT against the 49ers this season
     
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  28. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    If anyone has the Kontaveit match it went to rain delay
     
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  29. bro

    bro Hey Hermano
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  30. —

    Well-Known Member
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  31. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    3 fucking OPUS X $40 cigars on that
     
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  32. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
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    Rams did not respond well to the 49ers punching them in the mouth.
     
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  33. —

    Well-Known Member
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    So a buddy parlayed jags ml + Chargers/Raiders tie. $10 to win $2650. I am telling him that he needs to bet on both teams and lock a profit right now but he is in fairytale land about the intentional tie scenario.
     
  34. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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    He 7 catches for 137 yards so those both hit
     
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  35. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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    I'd definitely be hedging that one.
     
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  36. seanofthedead86

    seanofthedead86 Well-Known Member
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    Tennessee VolunteersAtlanta BravesAtlanta FalconsAtlanta UnitedNavy Midshipmen

    I looked earlier and the total was 48.5, and now it's 49. This game has to go under, right?
     
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  37. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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    I'd be shocked if it doesn't so it'll probably hit 80.
     
  38. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    Vegas is going to make a killing off of tie bets today. Everyone bad bettor is betting it
     
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  39. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
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    I’d die if somehow this ends up being like 24-24 where there’s a few missed FGs in OT or something. All these people would act like THAT is what they expected when they bet it.
     
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  40. bro

    bro Hey Hermano
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    Hey!
     
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  41. Willpépé

    Willpépé Well-Known Member
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    Philadelphia 76'ersArsenal

    So what does the game tonight mean in terms of implications?
     
  42. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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    If either team wins, they are in and the other is out.

    If they tie, both are in the playoffs.
     
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  43. seanofthedead86

    seanofthedead86 Well-Known Member
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    Winner makes the playoffs along with Steelers. Loser is out.
     
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  44. bro

    bro Hey Hermano
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    Diggs hit today as well
     
  45. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
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    Total up to 51 lol
     
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  46. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
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    Wouldn’t mind a quick score and then take the live under at like 56
     
  47. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    When oddsmakers are tweeting about their “liability” on this prop you know the public about to get killed

    Its like the "big bet alert!" during UFC cards, i'm pretty sure they are like 10% lifetime
     
    #7447 , Jan 9, 2022
    Last edited: Jan 9, 2022
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  48. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    That Kontaveit line was silly. Shes up 6-3 2-0. Got 5k riding on her
     
  49. bro

    bro Hey Hermano
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    Use that money to buy some cigars
     
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  50. Willpépé

    Willpépé Well-Known Member
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    Philadelphia 76'ersArsenal

    I thought the game was a nothing event. Well I need to pay more attention.
     
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