i'm surprised that the denver-buffalo game has the second-highest o/u given what i assume will be bad weather and the large spread
I won't bet it but I am so tired of people (on here, on podcasts, etc.) saying -8.5 or -9.5 is too much for Baltimore over Pittsburgh!! 2024 Baltimore is one of the best teams since they've been tracking DVOA. Pittsburgh is crumbling and was never very good to begin with. it is very possible that Ravens win by 10+. In fact, it will almost certainly happen. Tomlin / Steelers magic doesn't work in the playoffs.
The Bills have set many DVOA records and not won jack shit, so I get it. But the Bills also beat the Steelers by 14 in the playoffs last year, so my point stands.
so are the Steelers, have to be impressed by their last playoff win in 2016 where they beat AJ McCarron
Last 12 meetings Ravens were favorite 9 times. 2-7 ATS in that span but this year is special! and the Ravens are going to win by 50! Ah yes Bills laying 12.5 vs the Steelers and Mason Rudolph. Bills scored a TD with 6:28 left to get the cover. If only the Bills would have had a tougher test in the first round maybe they would have been ready to beat the Chiefs as road favorites in the divisional round!
you seem to be lashing out for some reason. I didn't say the Ravens were going to coast to a super bowl. I don't think covering a double digit spread is that meaningful for winning the SB, but the Steelers stink and Russ might as well be playing at a Mason Rudolph level right now. Deep breaths, pal.
Just because I'm pointing out some flaws in what you said doesn't mean I'm angry! It is funny to me that people repeat the same tired narratives about certain teams year after year; the Steelers are going to take a step back, the Browns are going to turn the corner, the Bears will compete for the North!
I'm not sure what preseason narratives have to do with the Steelers losing 4 straight heading into the playoffs and being prime for a blowout against the Ravens in Baltimore with the potential MVP at QB, an elite RB, solid weapons, and an improved defense.
For his career Lamar Jackson is 58% with 8 TD passes and 9 INTs vs the Steelers Overall he is 2-5 straight up and 1-6 ATS in this match up. I'm not even pretending the Ravens aren't capable of the blow out cover, given what we've seen in the last month that would make sense, but it also reeks of recency bias and also ignores the situation last time they played.
were those stats helpful in winning your bet the last time they played? I really don't give a shit what happened in 2021 when these teams were vastly different, but go off king. We will find out on Saturday.
Now you seem mad. Were the teams vastly different in November than December? Were the Steelers in the middle of 3 games in 11 days vs the Eagles, Ravens, and Chiefs with a playoff spot already locked up? Was George Pickens playing? I can’t answer these tough questions so let’s just roll with the facts, Ravens gonna roll!
You are being such a dweeb. Start thread on playoffs>someone disagrees about one of your playoff takes>Comment on use of punctuation!
as a Ravens fan, my only critique is Lamar is 2-4 not 2-5 vs Pittsburgh. but they have absolutely had his number throughout his career
Yeah, people are touting the Browns as a good team constantly. That definitely is an annual occurrence. No one gets high expectations set for them by people like the Cleveland Browns.
weather forecast states that the weather in baltimore will be pretty normal saturday night. mid 30s, no precipitation or major wind. I wouldn't be betting on weather 4 days out either.