Official Investing Thread

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by Joe Louis, Jul 12, 2010.

  1. NothingIsOT

    NothingIsOT Prom pic
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    The Liberation Day puts were the only thing that was obvious to the common man. I kick myself for being too busy at work to pay attention to it.

    But no way was today obvious to anyone other than to say that time in the market still holds true.

    We probably have support still at short dated $500 SPY, $450 if you want to stay conservative. I’ll probably sell puts with this elevated volatility and make some nice premium. But don’t listen to me, I like gambling.

    You’re still discounted today compared to sleepy Joes highs, so if you’re retiring in 2035+, buy back in now at the discount and make a quick buck.
     
    Ralph likes this.
  2. AptosDuck

    AptosDuck Pedantic Hausfrau
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    I'm up 20% on the money I threw in on Friday but it could all go poof because President Tantrum
     
  3. Lyrtch

    Lyrtch My second favorite meat is hamburger
    Staff Donor

    Liberation day expectations were like 10 to 20 percent tariffs. Relatively targeted.

    You'd have to have known they were going above worst case scenario to really make much
     
  4. The Blackfish

    The Blackfish The Fish in Black
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    :roll: read the last few pages of this thread. No one had any idea what to do
     
  5. Frankie Carbone

    Frankie Carbone eh che se dice
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    The rhetoric of “reciprocal tariffs” was broadcasted a good amount leading up. 10-20 expectations is too conservative to not think it could get crazy
     
  6. Lyrtch

    Lyrtch My second favorite meat is hamburger
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    Would be curious what his finance team had presented before he threw it away for trade deficit fake algorithm
     
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  7. Bert Handsome

    Bert Handsome I'm sorry I'm late, I didn't want to come
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    The way to have made a killing is if you had bought puts ahead of time not unlike throwing out a parlay on a gambling app.

    If you are just doing that all of the time you are probably getting similar results to someone throwing out parlays all the time.
     
  8. Frankie Carbone

    Frankie Carbone eh che se dice
    Florida State SeminolesNew York YankeesNew York KnicksOrlando CityLazioUnited States Men's National Soccer Team

    When was liberation day announced? 2 weeks prior? I remember it being a talking point of his for a while claiming “I don’t want to do it on April 1st because people will think it’s April fools.”
     
  9. kinghill

    kinghill Cool American Flavour
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    TD Bank new checking account bonus hit today. Now to transfer money and close the account and hunt for the next bonus.
     
    BudKilmer likes this.
  10. fish

    fish Impossible, Germany
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    Life hack!
     
  11. soulfly

    soulfly Well-Known Member
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    Think he’s referring specifically to investing after the pause announcement.
     
  12. The Blackfish

    The Blackfish The Fish in Black
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    I know what he’s referring to. Sure it’s possible but even with that knowing when to push the button and how much and having the gumption to do it is its own thing. Much like the consternation this thread has gone through the past few days.
     
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  13. soulfly

    soulfly Well-Known Member
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    :respek:
     
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  14. kinghill

    kinghill Cool American Flavour
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    Just cashing in on some small gains throughout the year. Doesn’t take too much work.
     
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  15. fish

    fish Impossible, Germany
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    Get 'em where you can, brother.
     
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  16. Baseballman86

    Baseballman86 Well-Known Member
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    So now after Trump essentially tried to get the entire country to engage in insider trading yesterday, I assume we'll get to watch even wilder swings than normal from here on out every time he tweets or mentions the market as all the crazies try to read into signals and deeper meaning?
     
  17. Sportfan

    Sportfan From Six to Dumptime
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    Make sure you read the fine print and don’t have to hold it there for a period of time.

    Chase is running a large checking and savings bonus, I think up to $900.
     
    kinghill likes this.
  18. texasraider

    texasraider thanks
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    IMG_1460.jpeg

    Everyone remembering there are still a bunch of tariffs and it was only a pause for the extra dumb tariffs
     
    Lip, Duck70, Josey Wales and 6 others like this.
  19. Lyrtch

    Lyrtch My second favorite meat is hamburger
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    The article last night where it came out trump was cool with causing a recession but didn't want a depression was a good reminder
     
  20. Chumbolone

    Chumbolone Wigglin’ my toes on a mink rug…
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    Did anyone else watch the Steve Eisman podcast? (think Bert Handsome posted the other day)

    I watched the two episodes he has out and is it me or did they all seem to be pretty indifferent if not approving of Trump’s tactics?
     
  21. Frankie Carbone

    Frankie Carbone eh che se dice
    Florida State SeminolesNew York YankeesNew York KnicksOrlando CityLazioUnited States Men's National Soccer Team

    What are his tactics?
     
    FelipeG likes this.
  22. skiedfrillet

    skiedfrillet It's not a lie if you believe it.
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    I watched it and it seemed all of them were shitting on trumps tactics, except eisman who was taking a wait and see approach. They did all agree the blanket tariffs were idiotic though
     
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  23. Bo Pelinis

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    Watched the whole thing and this was my exact takeaway, as well.
     
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  24. Bo Pelinis

    Donor TMB OG
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    They all shit on the nonsensical math behind it as well. Seems like all of them except Eisman think/know he’s a clown. They even shit on him bankrupting a casino multiple times
     
    Lip, The Banks, One Two and 4 others like this.
  25. Josey Wales

    Josey Wales Well-Known Member
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    I skipped around on it and didn’t know who they were so I wiki’d them. I felt Eisman sounded too open to the tactics considering he was basically the good guy in Big Short (unless I’m misremembering the movie). Maybe anti hero I guess he did make a killing on misery.
     
  26. bricktop

    bricktop Well-Known Member

    Looks like puts are back on the menu
     
    pearl, Doc Louis, Lip and 3 others like this.
  27. texasraider

    texasraider thanks
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    :blount:
     
  28. Lyrtch

    Lyrtch My second favorite meat is hamburger
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    We're dead again
     
    One Two likes this.
  29. Bar None

    Bar None Maintaining Integrity

    401K deductions hit the market yesterday. Can’t even take advantage of the lows.
    :cryingjordan:

    Edit - Also, can someone smarter than me explain why there’s such a large discrepancy between SPY, and the tickers that try to follow it like VOO, IVV, etc? I get a few hundredths of a percent, but it’s almost a full percentage point at times.
     
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  30. Chumbolone

    Chumbolone Wigglin’ my toes on a mink rug…
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  31. Nole0515

    Nole0515 Well-Known Member
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  32. Baseballman86

    Baseballman86 Well-Known Member
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Purchased a SPY put at 510 strike at 11:15 this morning for $2.77. Sold at 12:23 for $9.56

    This is my March Madness

    Need about another 20 of these to cover my bags on COOK.
     
  33. Arliden

    Arliden Well-Known Member
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    They own modestly different amounts of the same things. For example one owns 7.25% of Apple the other owns 7%, rinse and repeat that for all the things they own and they will track slightly different.

    That’s my guess, idk if it’s right.
     
    #33033 Arliden, Apr 10, 2025
    Last edited: Apr 10, 2025
  34. Baseballman86

    Baseballman86 Well-Known Member
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    Just read an article that SPY closed yesterday at 90 basis points above the value of the underlying assets. One of its highest discrepancies in forever. It's usually within a fraction of a percent. Just the chaos of shorts covering and everything else I guess
     
    Sportfan likes this.
  35. Sportfan

    Sportfan From Six to Dumptime
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    I really wish I understood bond markets to know wtf is happening right now.
     
    BudKilmer likes this.
  36. Chumbolone

    Chumbolone Wigglin’ my toes on a mink rug…
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  37. kinghill

    kinghill Cool American Flavour
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    ya'll ever have 2 or more roth IRA accounts at different brokerages? do you just leave that as-is or try to combine them?
     
  38. Chumbolone

    Chumbolone Wigglin’ my toes on a mink rug…
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    you’re going to prison, bro
     
    colonel_forbin, One Two, NFM and 7 others like this.
  39. Mr. Bean

    Mr. Bean Well-Known Member

    Retirement account fraud is typically a 30 year sentence, my cousin’s friend made that mistake. Could happen to anyone
     
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  40. kinghill

    kinghill Cool American Flavour
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    mods please i’m being bullied
     
  41. devine

    devine hi, i am user devine
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    I’m dumb and don’t know anything but if I had enough stock to retire and live off of right now I would probably sell and just move and not worry about this shit for the rest of my life
     
    One Two likes this.
  42. One Two

    One Two Hot Dog Vibes
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    No one likes a quitter
     
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  43. Goose

    Goose Hi
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    I’ve been playing the powerball and doing a lot of Zillow research of where I’ll be living after my big win.

    Also doing the math on how much I’d make a month on my 3.70% savings account. A lot of healthy thoughts here lately.
     
    BP, FelipeG, pearl and 4 others like this.
  44. soulfly

    soulfly Well-Known Member
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    Can you make sure TMB gets choice pigeons each Tuesday?
     
    Goose likes this.
  45. Sportfan

    Sportfan From Six to Dumptime
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    if you have enough capital to retire and live off of without it being in the market you have no worries either way. You can leave it invested and great generational wealth at that point.
     
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  46. Chumbolone

    Chumbolone Wigglin’ my toes on a mink rug…
    Indiana HoosiersNotre Dame Fighting IrishChicago CubsIndianapolis Colts

    What’s enough?

    In 2014 I bought a modded account for GTA V online, max skills and xp, a billion dollars in game currency, etc.

    By 2018 my character couldn’t afford a new paint job on a Buffalo STX at Los Santos Customs.
     
  47. devine

    devine hi, i am user devine
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    I’m not sure my $50 in Nike hasn’t caused me to think about it
     
  48. The Blackfish

    The Blackfish The Fish in Black
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    He addressed this with the first six words of his post
     
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  49. One Two

    One Two Hot Dog Vibes
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    Updating some figures based on the current market and I should be able to retire around 107
     
  50. fish

    fish Impossible, Germany
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    On the bright side, you'll die long before then.
     
    soulfly and One Two like this.