I have bet 5 games that seem pretty obvious to me, which is making me nervous. Iowa -5 vs. Wisky Nebraska -6 vs. Okie St. ND - 7 vs. Navy Mich State -5 vs. Northwestern Auburn -6 vs. LSU
I don't necessarily think you are wrong on Notre Dame but with Rudolph, Riddick, and possibly Floyd out for the Notre Dame offense I think it will be more uncomfortable than you expect. Crist has struggled with consistency as it is and who knows how he's going to play without his 3 best weapons in the passing game. I'd expect us to grind it out on the ground which hasn't been our strong suit so I wouldn't be at all surprised with a 2 close for comfort kind of game.
Think you are relying on a Wisconsin hangover. Team is much better than they were earlier in the year when both Gilreath and Toon were hurt. It also looks like they are praying for money on Wisky. Think Iowa has a very good chance of covering. Nothing would surprise me with that game. It's a very good offense vs very good defense and an ok Iowa offense vs mediocre Wisky defense. In 10 under Tressel no OL has dominated our DL like Wisky did last week. Auburn's pass defense is atrocious. LSU will score points. It's on Cam Newton to cover that vs a pretty good LSU defense. Love the Nebraska play as Blackmon is gonna be shut down. I think Sparty cover but their defense has always been hit or miss. No clue with Notre Dame.
Thoughts on the other games: Michigan State -5 at Northwestern 12:00 kickoffs can be rough and Michigan State was certainly sluggish in an early game against Illinois last week. I think Michigan State isn't as good as people think and Northwestern is better than people think. I'm not saying I think Northwestern will win or cover but I've been burned many times over the years by 12:00 Big 10 games where it looked like a no brainer. Nebraska -6 at Okie State I think I'm with you on this one although I might have suggested to hold off because it wouldn't surprise me to see the # come down even lower. I'm not impressed with Okie Lite at all but gamblers like to bet on home dogs so I could easily see money coming in on Okie State this week to drive the # down a bit. Iowa -5 vs. Wisconsin I think you are on the right side here also but again I might have waited to see how the line reacts. 5 isn't really a key number so it wouldn't have hurt to hold off and see which way it's going to go before pulling the trigger. Whatever # you get it at I would probably say I like this bet the most out of the 5 you listed. Auburn -6 vs. LSU This is one where I think you might be off base. Don't underestimate just how good the LSU defense is and just how bad Auburn's is. Auburn has made a living out of winning shootouts but what will they do if the LSU defense bottles up Cam? Auburn has also made some pretty mediocre offenses look good so I'd worry about whether or not the LSU defense will break out in this game. If LSU can score in the high 20's on the weak Auburn defense I'd question whether or not Auburn will be able to keep up against the stellar LSU D.
Think I'm with you. I see Nebraska as 1 of my bigger plays. Iowa as a small play if anything. Sparty as a no play and LSU as a play for me.