The SEC Championship: Georgia vs Alabama

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by Owsley, Nov 13, 2023.

  1. Owsley

    Owsley My friends call me Bear
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    There will 100% be a borderline targeting call that will make people lose their heads, no pun intended.
     
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  2. Owsley

    Owsley My friends call me Bear
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    They’ll also either call everything a hold or not call holding all game.
     
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  3. London Humphreys

    London Humphreys The next Julian Edelman, obviously.
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    Alabama does the same thing.

    Fun fact. Clarence Thomas spoke at our law school in 2007 before UGA played in Tuscaloosa. He was trying to make a bullshit point about judges being neutral and apolitical (lol) and called on a volunteer. He called on me and asked who my favorite team was and I said UGA. He then asked what type of referees I would want to officiate the game and I responded that I wanted officials that would be stricter calling pass interference. He really didn't have a response.
     
  4. Redav

    Redav One big ocean
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    There have been so many hits I thought were targeting that weren't called for it after review and vice versa that I have no idea what refs will decide on it.
     
  5. London Humphreys

    London Humphreys The next Julian Edelman, obviously.
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    Shockingly subjective calls vary from crew to crew.
     
    #255 London Humphreys, Nov 30, 2023
    Last edited: Nov 30, 2023
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  6. Owsley

    Owsley My friends call me Bear
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    They don’t either, and therein lies the fun!
     
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  7. Owsley

    Owsley My friends call me Bear
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    Who’s crew is it Saturday?
     
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  8. London Humphreys

    London Humphreys The next Julian Edelman, obviously.
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    Penn wagers I think
     
  9. Owsley

    Owsley My friends call me Bear
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    Better than Hubert Owens I reckon
     
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  10. Redav

    Redav One big ocean
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    It always seems like it's on a routine special teams change of possession or unsuccessful 3rd down where the refs are like "alright, lets fuck the game up."
     
  11. Owsley

    Owsley My friends call me Bear
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    Or a player clearly catching a pass in bounds, with definitive replay review, and just deciding to stick with the call on field, because why admit you were wrong?
     
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  12. Redav

    Redav One big ocean
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    It's always a long review where Gary makes the situation worse by not understanding the situation and throwing out a hottake
     
  13. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
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    Groundbreaking keys to the game for Georgia

    Offense
    1. Running well enough to keep Bama honest. Doesn't need to be 250 yards but just staying ahead of the chains and converting short yardage.

    2. Beck doesn't make a critical mistake. I expect Bama to get to him a few times. Incomplete passes and punts are fine - turnovers are not.

    Defense:
    Limiting designed runs and deep passes. I'm not expecting Georgia to stop Milroe from scrambling or completing intermediate passes, but they can't let em hit the big ones.
     
  14. Owsley

    Owsley My friends call me Bear
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    I expect us to have minimal success on designed runs unless y’all blow some assignments. Nothing about our ground game is particularly dynamic, we kinda just stick with it because we have to. Jam miller is our most dynamic back, so maybe that changes based on his increased workload.
     
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  15. London Humphreys

    London Humphreys The next Julian Edelman, obviously.
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    I thought intermediate passes were his Achilles heal
     
  16. Tiffin

    Tiffin ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    He's checkdown Jalen now.
     
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  17. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
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    I don't even really know. Maybe I pay too much attention to highlights, but when I've watched he seems pretty good throwing across the middle and come back routes.
     
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  18. Tiffin

    Tiffin ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    He's improved significantly as the season went on with those throws. Unsurprisingly, not splitting reps in practice helps you form a report with your wrs.
     
  19. Owsley

    Owsley My friends call me Bear
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    Throwing it after crossing the LOS is his new Achilles heel
     
  20. London Humphreys

    London Humphreys The next Julian Edelman, obviously.
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    I don't know, he looked pretty accurate throwing from the wrong side of the LOS
     
  21. Owsley

    Owsley My friends call me Bear
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    Fwiw, he’s the 3rd most efficient passer in the country from behind the LOS. 1st when across the LOS.
     
  22. The Blackfish

    The Blackfish The Fish in Black
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    Milroe isn’t going to juke anyone either. He’s got elite straight line speed but he’s a terrible scrambler
     
  23. Snakes

    Snakes clumsy interloper
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    His scrambling has improved significantly.
     
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  24. pockets

    pockets Lesser-Known Member
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    I think both teams will move the ball throughout the game, maybe uga more consistently. Red zone td’s probably decides it.
     
  25. The Blackfish

    The Blackfish The Fish in Black
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    Ehhh
     
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  26. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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    We all know you were referring to this clean hit.

    [​IMG]
     
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  27. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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    UPDATE 3 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Knowing this matchup was set even before Week 13, BetMGM put Georgia-Alabama on the board Nov. 20 at Bulldogs -3.5 (-115). The line spent most of last week at Georgia -4.5.

    On Monday morning, Georgia climbed to -5/-5.5, then on Tuesday got to -5.5 (-115). This morning, the Bulldogs briefly touched -6, and they're now at -5.5.

    "It's one-way traffic on the Bulldogs. Lot of money coming in for Georgia," Magee said. "Sharps pushed this from 4.5 to 5.5 this week. Bama winning the game would be good for the book, but I am still wary of our huge liability on the Tide to win it all.

    "The dream scenario right now for BetMGM is a Bama cover and loss, to take the Georgia game money and Alabama futures money."

    The total opened at 55.5, fell to 54.5 and 53.5 Wednesday, then rebounded by this morning to 54.5 (Over -115).

    UPDATE 2 P.M. ET MONDAY: Alabama (11-1 SU/8-4 ATS) dodged disaster by snatching victory from the jaws of defeat at Auburn. In the final minute, 'Bama trailed 24-20 and faced fourth-and-goal from the 31-yard line – yes, the 31-yard line.

    But Jalen Milroe connected with Isaiah Bond in the corner of the end zone for a TD. That gave the Crimson Tide a 27-24 victory, though they fell well short of covering as 13.5-point favorites. Still, 'Bama kept its CFP hopes alive heading into the SEC championship game.

    Georgia (12-0 SU/5-7 ATS) is not only seeking the SEC title, but a third straight national championship. The Bulldogs didn't exactly look great in Week 13 either, but got the job done. Kirby Smart's troops fended off Georgia Tech 31-23 laying a hefty 24.5 points on the road.

    TwinSpires has moved Georgia-Alabama around a bit in the early going for this matchup in Atlanta. The Bulldogs opened -5, went to -5.5, then returned to -5. Alabama is netting 56% of spread tickets/58% of spread money.

    "Early money is on the 'dog," Lucas said.

    The total is down a point to 55, with 67% of tickets on the Over/59% of money on the Under.

    "Sharp play on Under 56," Lucas said.
     
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  28. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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    Point SpreadAlabama +5.5 -110
    Unit1.0
    [​IMG]
    Kenny WhiteWizard of Odds


    Kenny's Analysis:

    Wow! This is definetly a heavyweight title fight. Bama survived the Iron Bowl last week with a last second touchdown pass by Jalen Milroe. Georgia is undefeated once again headed in the SEC Title game but it has been Nick Saban's game going 3-0 versus Kirby Smart. Saban's only loss to Smart was the 2021 season National Championship Game. Both teams have big strong offensive and defensive fronts. The QB's have very similar stats. Give me the points in what looks like a coin flip game to me.

    Pick Made:2:47 pm CST


    Point SpreadAlabama +6.5 -115
    Unit2.0
    [​IMG]
    Jeff HochmanWest Coast Wiseguy
    Profile →

    Jeff's Analysis:
    Although the Georgia Bulldogs have a better offense and defense, the Alabama Crimson Tide has a great chance to keep this within the number. Alabama has faced more formidable teams, and a win in this game is crucial for them to make the playoff bracket. My model shows that the Bulldogs will win by five points, so I am happy to take the extra 1.5 and bet on Alabama with the 6.5-point spread.

    Pick Made:1:16 pm CST


    Over / UnderOVER 54 -110
    Unit1.0
    [​IMG]
    Eric CohenEC


    Eric's Analysis:
    The SEC Championship Game generally produces high-scoring games as 12 of the last 14 have gone over, including the last three where an average of 81 points per game have been scored. Alabama is 8-0 to the Over in these title games and is 7-0-1 to the Over in their last eight games in 2023. Let's ride the wave, though I think Georgia finds a way to remain unbeaten. Georgia 34, Alabama 27.

    Pick Made:Tue 9:40 pm CST



    Money LineGeorgia -196
    Unit0.5
    [​IMG]
    Matt SeveranceSeverance Pays


    Matt's Analysis:
    Don't know about you, but I'm getting a little tired of this matchup. Georgia's defense gets all the hype, but that Carson Beck-led offense has scored at least 30 points in seven straight games. Meanwhile, Tide leading rusher Jase McClellan is questionable because of a left foot injury suffered in Saturday's miracle win at Auburn. UGA kept some key players out for Saturday's win at Georgia Tech (like Brock Bowers), but that was to simply ensure they were ready for this one.
     
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  29. BP

    BP Bout to Regulate.
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    Considering we’re playing you guys they won’t call a hold all game, on either side. Plus I can’t remember the last time we got a holding call for us. The OSU game was terrible on both sides with basically nothing called
     
  30. It'sAlwaysSunnyInAthens

    It'sAlwaysSunnyInAthens Well-Known Member
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    rat poison
     
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  31. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
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    What more formabidable teams has Alabama played, Mr. West Coast Wiseguy?
     
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  32. Tiffin

    Tiffin ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    This a joke?
     
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  33. Stagger Lee

    Stagger Lee Crazy. Sexy. Cool.
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    HIs pocket presence/mobility and ability to process his options is as good as anyone UGA has ever had.
     
  34. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
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    Other than my shitty spelling I don't think so. I guess Texas by default if Bama wins. I just think these guys who play sharps on the internet come up with the stupidest reasons to justify their picks that they probably don't feel strongly on but need to produce content.
     
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  35. i am a bammer

    i am a bammer Ben Eblen>Jamychal Green
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    My favorite is when they cite the coaching head to head when only one of those games has any players that are still on the teams' roster. Totally nonsense
     
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  36. Tiffin

    Tiffin ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    I'd say Texas and LSU since we share OM and Tenn in common. But I don't disagree with the rest of your statement
     
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  37. It'sAlwaysSunnyInAthens

    It'sAlwaysSunnyInAthens Well-Known Member
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    even with a head to head loss to LSU, Missouri is ranked right there with y'all and Texas.
     
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  38. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
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    Okay I misread that guys message. I thought he was saying Alabama has played more formidable teams than Georgia. Let's keep this thread rolling!
     
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  39. electronic

    electronic It’s satire!
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    This has been too friendly this week, so I'll go ahead and throw the first bomb.

    We should win this game. We're not head and shoulders better than Alabama or anything and they're a very good team. Games are won due to all kinds of factors like good fortune, excellent timing, untimely mistakes, etc. and I don't think we can play a C game and beat them or anything crazy like that. We've certainly played like crap at various points of the season, and if we have a performance like that we will lose.

    But I do think we have better the players, coaches, player development, and program in 2023. It's not an overwhelming margin, but I believe it's there. We've done better against common opponents. I think Alabama has looked pretty mediocre (by their lofty standards) all season. I can't think of a single game in which they looked fantastic and dominated their opponent from beginning to end.

    We should win and cover. No idea if we will.
     
    #289 electronic, Dec 1, 2023
    Last edited: Dec 1, 2023
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  40. gus_chiggins

    gus_chiggins Where you goin’ with those clubs, punk
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    P sure he’s saying we’ve played a tougher schedule
     
  41. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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    That was a bomb? I think most Bama fans would agree with almost all of this. Most of us expected 3 losses or more after the Texas game. We're just happy to be here. We're the overachieving underdog this year, kinda fun tbh.

    But you're still UGA and this is still Bama in Atlanta so you'll find a way to step on your dick.

    Roll Tide.
     
  42. Leeroy Jenkins!

    Leeroy Jenkins! Radicalized
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    Two Friendly*
     
  43. electronic

    electronic It’s satire!
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    FUCK
     
  44. Leeroy Jenkins!

    Leeroy Jenkins! Radicalized
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    IMMA STEP ON YO DICK
     
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  45. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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    Milroe certainly may as he strolls to midfield with his balls in a wheelbarrow.
     
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  46. Leeroy Jenkins!

    Leeroy Jenkins! Radicalized
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  47. i am a bammer

    i am a bammer Ben Eblen>Jamychal Green
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    Mickey Mouse-ass 29 game win streak :laugh:
     
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  48. electronic

    electronic It’s satire!
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    The problem is that it’s going to be during a play in which the LOS was the 48 and he’s getting ready to throw.
     
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  49. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
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    Hold onto your butts on the next play.
     
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  50. glimmer

    glimmer queen of tmb
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    who have they even played during that stretch? a bunch of nobodies im sure
     
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