Mississippi where the Republican said she’d be happy to show up to the front tow of a public hanging.
Yes, but there was a near sweep of statewide races for Republicans in a surge year for democrats. In contrast to 2006, Democrats won the Governor, SEC of State and AG in 2006. The margin was really close in all four state races, within 200,000 of over 4.4 million in each race, but all losses in a year a blue wave should have won. SE Ohio is gone. It isn’t coming back. It’s been pretty critical to the red vote in 2014, 2016, and 2018. Democrats did extremely well in Hamilton (Cincinnati) and Franklin (Columbus) counties. Swept county commission and open judicial seats on top of gains made in 2016. The silver lining is that the area with the fastest declining population is turning red while the two fast growing metro areas are getting very blue.
Ohio is still in the margin for error (it went Obama twice). Georgia is the next level down, which is fool’s gold. Either way, relax.
You dont give up on it. There are just other states you shift attention/resources to before Ohio. Florida, namely. Ohio is tough terrain in this environment. We talked about this last week. Not enough college-educated whites. Not enough diversity. You need one or both to be in play for Dems. If you're competitive in Ohio in this cycle then you've likely already secured enough electoral votes elsewhere (i.e. its not the tipping point state anymore).
This may surprise you but Charlie Kirk is wrong. Stephanie Murphy who is my rep here in Orlando is an Asian American woman and won 2 years ago and won re-election this year. Not sure she is the first either.
Ohio has gone to the winner of the Presidency in the last 14 straight elections. Nixon/Kennedy in 1960 was the last time it did not.
Montana turnout is not an isolated event. Turnout in Red areas were high across the board. This cant be understated....Dems just demolished the GOP by 7.5% nationally and took 35+ seats in the House....in a midterm where GOP turned out. Most midterm waves can be chalked up to depressed turnout by the losing side. Not here. The GOP showed out and still got their ass kicked. Centrist Never Trumpers were right about the Kavanaugh effect. It did boost GOP enthusiasm. It also did not matter. Now imagine turnout when the Economy turns South and people connect the dots on all the lies about Healthcare, Deficits, and Trade.
Yea he got roasted on twitter for it and inevitably took it down. Think he meant Korean. But it got circulated enough in the conservative media bubble that the Magatards all still believe it to be true.
How gross that after two years of this feckless congress and a scandal embroiled admin that a douchebag already on the SCOTUS impacted turnout.
Are y'all going to give up on Ohio being a swing state if they go red again by a somewhat large margin in 2020? I'm well aware of the statistic cited downthread that it's gone to almost every single presidential winner, but with Arizona honestly looking more flippable I don't get why it's so controversial to act as if it's not worth considering spending a huge amount strategizing over vs the other Midwestern states.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯ it's weird that people are upset that I bitched about having to hear a lot of coverage over a state that I think isn't nearly as flippable as it once was
The first Asian American female was elected to Congress in 1965. She wouldn't even be the first Republican; Pat Saiki was elected in 1987.
I am talking about College Educated-Whites that are switching to vote Democrat. This is not optimism, it just happened.
There’s also Colleen Hanabusa, Doris Matsui, Mazie Hirona, Judy Chu, Grace Meng, and Tammy Duckworth. That’s ignoring India and Samoa. These are all Asian American women that are currently serving. All Democrats.
I'm obviously incredibly bias, but of the people up for minority leader Kevin McCarthy is clearly the dumbest. Jim Jordan turned a blind eye to college wrestlers getting molested and ogled in the showers, so he is on brand as hell. I know very little about Liz Cheney other than her dad and that she is gay. I assume she is much smarter than the others and wants the No. 3 spot.
theres a lot of backwards looking when there is an active realignment happening and its been a transition since '08 and sped up in '16 old conventional wisdom shit isn't useful, even modern "lessons" can't even be considered that strong as the target is moving quickly
She’s far from the first, Mazie Hirono from Hawaii has been a Senator since 2013 and she served in the House before that.
These close races and recounts help reveal the true view of the military by a number in a certain voting bloc. I love em when they fight for me. I revere em when they die for me. Damn it you’d better stand for them! I’m too dumb to know how we take care of them when they come home. Those bastards don’t deserve a vote!
Gotta be really challenging as a foreign head of state to listen to this moron, who sounds not unlike some fucking idiots who post in this thread, complain about policies they know next to nothing about. Like listening to a GOP describe a sporting event.
Arizona is definitely flippable against Trump and Trumpism, with the right candidate. It's a weird state politically, very clearly right of center but not especially given to Trump's style of far right nationalism(he got less than 50% here in 2016). The ghost of McCain plays deeply here, both in a literal sense after his death and in the sense that his reputation as a maverick is very much alive despite its death 20 years ago. Sinema is a great politician and played it dead center the whole way and split about 200,000 tickets with Governor Ducey(another who has largely avoided the traps of Trumpism). However, much as I'd like to see a true progressive be the Dem nominee, a Warren/Sanders type has no real chance for that Indy crowd(AZ is something like 34% GOP, 33 Indy, 32 Dem). Also, please god don't let it come down to AZ in 2020. With the way we count votes here(it's a great system, voting is easy and efficient but the paper ballots take forever to verify and count) Trump will have the nutjobs spitting blood if it's close here on election night
What also makes Ohio a little unique is that most of its media markets border another state, with Indiana, Michigan, and Pennsylvania being pretty critical as well. Toledo is essentially Detroit. Cincinnati has 500,000 people living within 30 miles in Indiana and Kentucky. Youngstown-Steubenville get the Pittsburgh/Western PA market as well as significant population for WV in the Wheeling/Weirton part of the panhandle. In a Presidential year, you have millions in five other states where both sides double dip on media buys and appearances.
So Trump is mad he is going to fail his take-home perjury test that he has known has been coming all semester, but hired Rudy Giuliani as his tutor.