Week 9 CFB / Week 8 NFL

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by NDXOS, Oct 27, 2015.

  1. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    Week 1 4-6
    Week 2 5-5
    Week 3 5-5
    Week 4 8-2
    Week 5 6-4
    Week 6 4-6
    Week 7 4-6
    Week 8 7-3
    --------------
    Total 43-37 53.75 %

    Early leans...

    CFB

    UMass +4 at Ball State
    Clemson -10.5 at NC State
    CMU -3.5 at Akron
    UGA at UF -2.5
    UCF +26 at Cincinnati
    Syracuse +20 at FSU
    WKU -23.5 at ODU

    NFL
    NYJ -2.5 at OAK
    GB at Den +3
    Indy at Car -6.5
    Az -4.5 at Cle
     
    #1 NDXOS, Oct 27, 2015
    Last edited by a moderator: Oct 27, 2015
  2. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    Already locked

    College

    UNC -2.5
    Iowa -16
    PSU -6
    Vandy +14
    Temple +10.5

    NFL

    Bears +115
    Giants +3.5
    Browns +5


    Leans

    Raiders ML
    Steelers ML
    Cal +6
     
  3. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    Coming out firing. Nice.
     
  4. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    Early leans...

    CFB

    UMass +4 at Ball State
    Clemson -10.5 at NC State
    CMU -3.5 at Akron
    UGA at UF -2.5
    UCF +26 at Cincinnati
    Syracuse +20 at FSU
    WKU -23.5 at ODU
    FIU -3.5 at FAU
    ECU -7 at UCONN
    USF at Navy -7
    Ole Miss -7 at Auburn
    UGA at UF -2.5 (BIG)
    ND at Temple +10
    ULM at ULL -11.5
    VT -2.5 at BC
    Boise State -20 at UNLV


    NFL
    NYJ -2.5 at OAK
    GB at Den +3
    Indy at Car -6.5
    Az -4.5 at Cle
    Min -1 at Chi
    TB at ATl -7
    NYG +3 at NO
     
    #4 NDXOS, Oct 27, 2015
    Last edited by a moderator: Oct 27, 2015
  5. LeVar Burton

    LeVar Burton Knee deep in a dynasty, ROLL TIDE!
    Kansas JayhawksAlabama Crimson Tide

    CMU -3
    Buffalo -7
    Ball St/UMass O65
     
  6. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
    Donor
    Florida State SeminolesChicago CubsChicago BearsMiami Heat2pac

    As an invested fan, you might want to ignore this, but I'm going to be all over Syracuse +20 over fsu. Emotional last second loss last week, Clemson on deck next week...we would still win, but 20 is too many points in this spot.
     
  7. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    I do agree on the idea.. I just think Syracuse is really bad. I think FSU can win 34-10 something like that. Thought about Cuse +20 but won't be a play for me this week. Good luck though.
     
  8. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    ESPN Chalk. Kinda feels like they mailed it in this week...

    2015 season record:
    Fallica: 33-19-3 ATS (last wk: 3-3-1)
    Coughlin: 20-17-2 ATS (last wk: 3-2)

    2014 season record:
    Fallica: 44-40 ATS (52.4 percent)
    Coughlin: 45-28-1 ATS (60.8 percent)

    Note: Against the spread (ATS)/total picks are in bold. Odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

    Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-10) at Temple Owls
    Fallica: It's not quite Boston College-esque, but Temple's offensive/defensive efficiency splits are dramatic. The Owls are 10th in defense, but 89th in offense. And four of Temple's wins have come over teams that have two wins or fewer, including a 25-23 nailbiter vs. UMass in mid-September (a week later the Irish beat UMass 62-27 in what could have been a look-ahead spot for the Irish). Ten years ago this week Temple was 0-9 -- and steamrolling to an 0-11 mark (outscored 498-107 on year) -- so the program has made colossal steps forward. But I don't see how the Owls will match up in the trenches or score many points at all. The defense will keep the Owls in it for a while, but ultimately the Irish will pull away to a comfortable win.

    ATS pick: Notre Dame 31, Temple 13

    [​IMG]
    Harris: Early betting notes for CFB Week 9
    Will Harris offers his betting takeaways from Week 8 of the college football season, looks at the early line intel for Week 9, analyzes the best and worst two-loss teams and Miami's potential.

    Coughlin: I'm worried that the Temple fan base is -- and was -- more concerned with whether or not College GameDay was coming to Philadelphia for the game, rather than the opponent that was invading the City of Brotherly Love this Saturday. I have been a huge fan of both these teams all year and they have two of the best defenses in all of college football. The question is: how will Temple go about this game offensively? Will the Owls come out and take shots down the field and try and get the Irish on their heels? Or will they play conservative and rely on their defense to win the game? My other question is with all the noise from Owls fans, will Temple even have a home-field advantage, knowing how there are Notre Dame fans all over the country? Golden Domers cover here.

    ATS pick: Notre Dame 34, Temple 20

    Washington State Cougars (+12) vs. Stanford Cardinal
    Fallica: In Stanford's seven-game winning streak over Washington State, the Cougs have scored more than 17 points only once - a 38-28 loss in 2010. In the three years under Mike Leach, the Cougars have scored exactly 17 points each time. But this might be the year where Washington State puts a scare into Stanford. The Cardinal are just 50th nationally in defensive efficiency and have been winning with offense. Christian McCaffrey will get his yards, but so will Luke Falk. The Cougs are 4-0 ATS as a 'dog this year with three outright wins. Stanford wins, but it's closer than the experts think.

    ATS pick: Stanford 40, Washington State 31

    Coughlin: Leach said this week that Cougars home games are like Woodstock back in 1969. If that's the case, then look out -- things are going to get weird in Pullman. I have played at Wazzu: It's a great home-field atmosphere when the team is playing well; it gets dark there at like noon; and you have to walk like a mile to get to the field, which resulted in a couple of our guys getting lost on the way to the field pregame - but that's a story for another time. Things are going well for the Cougs this year and this will be built up like their Super Bowl as first place in the Pac-12 North is on the line, which is the first time in a long time for the Cougs this late in the year. Falk comes into the game leading the conference with passing yards with 2885. I expect the Stanford secondary to be tested like it hasn't been yet this year. Leach will pull out all the stops in this game. Stanford wins, but Wazzu covers here.

    ATS pick: Stanford 38, Washington State 28

    Georgia Bulldogs (+2.5) vs. Florida Gators
    Fallica: Last year, Florida's win over Georgia was one of the most unexpected results of the year based on how both teams had been trending. 418 rush yards? Really, Georgia? I would have to think that is a major motivating factor heading into this season's matchup. Both teams were idle last week and it should serve both well -- Florida coming off a hard-fought loss at LSU and Georgia an ugly win over Missouri. The winner here is likely a near lock for the SEC title game in Atlanta. I expect both defenses to play well and it could come down to a late FG -- and if it does, the Bulldogs have the edge. Underdogs have had the edge in this series lately, so I will let history and an edge in the FG unit make the call for me.

    ATS pick: Georgia 24, Florida 21

    [​IMG] Wondering which side to take? Check out PickCenter and do your research before making that critical decision. PickCenter[​IMG]

    Coughlin: I know all the money is on Florida already, and I don't care. This pick is totally based on the eye test. We all know everyone thinks the best front seven defensively in the country is Alabama, but I would be on the short list of people that would prefer the Gators front seven when it comes to rushing the passer. I think the defense from Gainesville is good enough to dictate what Georgia can and can't do offensively. I also know that the favorite is not the right side usually in this rivalry, but I don't care.

    ATS pick: Florida 20, Georgia 13

    Texas Tech Red Raiders (+3) vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys
    Fallica: Oklahoma State has been vulnerable all three games away from Stillwater this year, including a sluggish season-opener at Central Michigan. Texas Tech nearly pulled a home upset of TCU earlier this year and after allowing 63 last week in Norman, the Red Raiders should put up a much better defensive effort. I've been in Lubbock Halloween weekend and it was unlike anything I've ever seen (the weekend Tech upset Texas). The Cowboys are 7-0 but haven't beaten at team with a winning record this year -- in fact only Central Michigan is even .500 -- and they aren't a top 20 team efficiency-wise in any unit. One of the Big 12 unbeatens goes down Saturday.

    ATS pick: Texas Tech 45, Oklahoma State 38

    Tulane Green Wave (+30.5) at Memphis Tigers
    Fallica: Whether Memphis reaches a New Year's Six game or not hinges on the next three games for the Tigers -- Navy, at Houston and at Temple. I expect Memphis to go through the motions here, and that still might be good for a 31-point win, but Tanner Lee should help the Green Wave put up enough points to keep it within the number. The Tulane defense only allowed 291 yards to Navy last week. Hey, it's something to build on!

    ATS pick: Memphis 49, Tulane 21

    Air Force Falcons (-7) at Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
    Coughlin: Week after week this season I have found Rainbow Warriors trying to find themselves into our "Bad Beats" feature on SportsCenter, which even included a team playing them that kicked a last-minute field goal to cover 21.5 points on the infamous island. So, in regards to games on the island, if there was one team you could trust to travel to Honolulu and take care of business on the field, it would be a service academy, right? Now, would you be worried if I told you the Falcons have not led for a second of the 180 minutes they have played away from their home field? Don't worry, fly with the Falcons.

    ATS pick: Air Force 31, Hawaii 19

    Illinois Fighting Illini at Penn State Nittany Lions (-5.5)
    Coughlin: Well it's not a chance to get a landmark victory, so you have to like James Franklin and the Nitts this Saturday, right? You tell me, name the big win the program has with him as head coach? Ok, there isn't one. So, Franklin will have his guys fired up enough to avenge a loss in Champaign ... yes, they lost to Illinois last year. They're giving less than a touchdown, and there aren't many better in this spot than Franklin. Take the home team here.

    ATS pick: Penn State 24, Illinois 14
     
    LeVar Burton likes this.
  9. Irish226

    Irish226 Well-Known Member
    Donor

    What makes you say that? I like most of the plays, especially

    TT +3
    UGA +2 1/2
    Wazzu +12
     
  10. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    Not the plays them selves... doesn't have as many picks as the past, write ups kind of seem shorter and not as in depth.
     
  11. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    Week 1 4-6
    Week 2 5-5
    Week 3 5-5
    Week 4 8-2
    Week 5 6-4
    Week 6 4-6
    Week 7 4-6
    Week 8 7-3
    --------------
    Total 43-37 53.75 %

    10 plays for this week.

    CMU -3 at Akron
    FIU -3 at FAU
    ULM at ULL -11
    WKU -23.5 at ODU
    Buf -7.5 at Mia (OH)
    Boise St -19.5 at UNLV

    NYG +3.5 at NO
    SD at Balt -3
    Min at Chi +1
     
    #11 NDXOS, Oct 29, 2015
    Last edited by a moderator: Oct 29, 2015
    LeVar Burton likes this.
  12. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    Add Den +3.
     
  13. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    like penn st this weak. also GT under. still looking at others.

    on ga state tonight.
     
    LeVar Burton likes this.
  14. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    Ga Southern?
     
  15. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    state, sorry,
     
  16. colonelrascals

    colonelrascals Mayonnaise-colored Benz, I push miracle whips
    Donor
    Texas Tech Red RaidersHouston AstrosHouston RocketsTennisTottenham HotspurTexas Tech Red Raiders alt

    where are you getting these lines.
     
  17. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    I'm in a pickem pool where the lines are sent out late Wednesday/Thursday morning and they lock in. Not the most up to date admittedly .

    And I'm only at 53%. I'm a square I know.
     
    #17 NDXOS, Oct 29, 2015
    Last edited by a moderator: Oct 29, 2015
    colonelrascals likes this.
  18. colonelrascals

    colonelrascals Mayonnaise-colored Benz, I push miracle whips
    Donor
    Texas Tech Red RaidersHouston AstrosHouston RocketsTennisTottenham HotspurTexas Tech Red Raiders alt

    won both my bets tonight
     
    goose likes this.
  19. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    Lost Buffalo -7. Brutal loss. Up 12 with 2 minutes left, stupid PI call and a Mia (OH) TD.
     
  20. colonelrascals

    colonelrascals Mayonnaise-colored Benz, I push miracle whips
    Donor
    Texas Tech Red RaidersHouston AstrosHouston RocketsTennisTottenham HotspurTexas Tech Red Raiders alt

    ga southern and western mich was a nice take for me
     
    NDXOS likes this.
  21. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    Week 1 4-6
    Week 2 5-5
    Week 3 5-5
    Week 4 8-2
    Week 5 6-4
    Week 6 4-6
    Week 7 4-6
    Week 8 7-3
    --------------
    Total 43-37 53.75 %

    10 plays for this week.

    CMU -3 at Akron
    FIU -3 at FAU
    ULM at ULL -11
    WKU -23.5 at ODU
    Buf -7.5 at Mia (OH) LOSS
    Ole Miss -7 at Auburn

    NYG +3.5 at NO
    SD at Balt -3
    Indy +6.5 at Car
    GB at Den +3
     
  22. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    is editing disabled in here now or something? I added Jets -3 and Texans -4..
     
  23. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    It was for me for a bit.
     
  24. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
    Donor
    Florida State SeminolesChicago CubsChicago BearsMiami Heat2pac

    Went 2-1 last night (unc/ore ml wins, WV +13 loss)

    Playing cuse +21, ND - 10, and UF - 3 tomorrow.
     
  25. Long Ball Larry

    Donor
    Alabama Crimson TideMiami Dolphins

    Phil Steele's picks: Minn, UGA, Iowa, ND (ND is his top play)
     
    goose likes this.
  26. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
    Donor
    Florida State SeminolesChicago CubsChicago BearsMiami Heat2pac

    Added Texas Tech ml over okie St
     
  27. colonelrascals

    colonelrascals Mayonnaise-colored Benz, I push miracle whips
    Donor
    Texas Tech Red RaidersHouston AstrosHouston RocketsTennisTottenham HotspurTexas Tech Red Raiders alt

  28. Goose

    Goose Hi
    Donor
    Ohio State BuckeyesCincinnati BearcatsCincinnati RedsCincinnati BengalsDayton FlyersTiger WoodsFC CincinnatiBarAndGrill

    [​IMG]
     
    #28 Goose, Oct 31, 2015
    Last edited: Oct 31, 2015
    LeVar Burton likes this.
  29. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    goose likes this.
  30. LeVar Burton

    LeVar Burton Knee deep in a dynasty, ROLL TIDE!
    Kansas JayhawksAlabama Crimson Tide

    I had a 3 team ML parlay last night that looked like this:

    TENN
    ND
    DUKE
    ~115 to win 100

    Yeah kind of sucks.
     
    goose likes this.
  31. Don't Hate Me Bro!

    Don't Hate Me Bro! Wigglin my toes on a mink rug...
    Indiana HoosiersNotre Dame Fighting IrishChicago CubsIndianapolis Colts

    Panthers/Colts U23 1st half for 1.1un
     
    Long Ball Larry likes this.
  32. cal2431

    cal2431 Well-Known Member

    Like this bet, what's your thought process on it?
     
  33. Don't Hate Me Bro!

    Don't Hate Me Bro! Wigglin my toes on a mink rug...
    Indiana HoosiersNotre Dame Fighting IrishChicago CubsIndianapolis Colts

    Panthers D matches up really well personnel wise (obv) with lockdown corner, good safety play, fast LB.

    The Colts also keep trying to establish the run early (without much success) taking some pressure off Luck and his bum shoulder, which hopefully eats clock/limits scoring opps.

    Panthers O is meh, start notoriously slow, and not many big play types. Colts D isn't that bad.

    I could see Carolina with some early success using a scripted series, but think Panthers D is better than Colts O and Panthers O not prolific enough to score a bunch basically.
     
    Long Ball Larry and cal2431 like this.
  34. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

  35. Goose

    Goose Hi
    Donor
    Ohio State BuckeyesCincinnati BearcatsCincinnati RedsCincinnati BengalsDayton FlyersTiger WoodsFC CincinnatiBarAndGrill

    Took moncrief at O 4.5 catches
     
    Don't Hate Me Bro! likes this.
  36. bstaple12

    bstaple12 Nole World Order
    Atlanta BravesAtlanta FalconsFlorida State Seminoles

    Cotchery and Corey Brown under receiving yards both appeal to me
     
  37. 1

    1 A real fan. GBR!
    Staff Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersTiger WoodsPGA

    Couldn't decide on the game tonight with the actual lines. My head says Panthers cause they're 5-1 ATS this year and playing at home. All my normal places/sources I look say take Indy. Ended up just doing a 2 bet teaser. Small play.

    Indy +11
    o39.5
     
    Long Ball Larry likes this.
  38. 1

    1 A real fan. GBR!
    Staff Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersTiger WoodsPGA

    This didn't look like it was going to happen for a hell of a long time last night.

    Easy cover. :smug:
     
    Long Ball Larry likes this.
  39. NDXOS

    NDXOS Guest

    Week 1 4-6
    Week 2 5-5
    Week 3 5-5
    Week 4 8-2
    Week 5 6-4
    Week 6 4-6
    Week 7 4-6
    Week 8 7-3
    Week 9 6-3-1
    --------------
    Total 49-40 55 %

    10 plays for this week.
    6-3-1

    WINS IN BOLD

    CMU -3 at Akron
    FIU -3 at FAU
    ULM at ULL -11
    WKU -23.5 at ODU
    Buf -7.5 at Mia (OH)
    Ole Miss -7 at Auburn

    NYG +3.5 at NO
    SD at Balt -3 PUSH
    Indy +6.5 at Car
    GB at Den +3