Week 9 College Football

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by Nantucket, Oct 21, 2012.

  1. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
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    Alabama Crimson TideNew England Patriots

  2. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
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    Alabama Crimson TideNew England Patriots

    just for talking points, here are a few of the GOY lines released before the season started:

    Clemson -7.5 @ Wake Forest
    Louisville -7 vs Cincinnati
    Nevada -1.5 @ Air Force
    Georgia -1 vs Florida (neutral site)
    Nebraska -1.5 vs Michigan
    Wisconsin -6.5 vs Michigan St
    UNC -7 vs NC State
    Oklahoma -9 vs Notre Dame
     
  3. 20/20/20/20

    20/20/20/20 running thru the house with a pickle in my mouth
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    Nebraska CornhuskersCharlotte HornetsCleveland BrownsDetroit TigersNebraska Cornhuskers alt

    I mentioned it in the Week 8 topic, but I will be playing Michigan if they are anything less than -7 (and I expect it will be around a pickem).
     
  4. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
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    Alabama Crimson TideNew England Patriots

    Michigan +2
     
  5. 20/20/20/20

    20/20/20/20 running thru the house with a pickle in my mouth
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    Nebraska CornhuskersCharlotte HornetsCleveland BrownsDetroit TigersNebraska Cornhuskers alt

    Yep, that will be a play for me.
     
  6. 20/20/20/20

    20/20/20/20 running thru the house with a pickle in my mouth
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    Oklahoma is -10 vs Notre Dame
    Kansas State -8 vs Texas Tech
     
  7. 20/20/20/20

    20/20/20/20 running thru the house with a pickle in my mouth
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    Nebraska CornhuskersCharlotte HornetsCleveland BrownsDetroit TigersNebraska Cornhuskers alt

    Initial Leans
    Michigan +2 @ Nebraska
    South Carolina -14 vs Tennessee
    Minnesota +6 vs Purdue
     
  8. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
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    like all 3 of those, good eye
     
  9. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    Early early likes:

    Washington +21 v. Oregon State (anyone that watched that OSU/BYU game knows the Beavers had no business covering that game. Think they are the most overvalued team in CFB at this point outside of ND. Washington is a very good home team and covers at an unreal clip in Seattle. Definitely my favorite play at first glance).

    Iowa State pk v. Baylor (Baylor has struggled on the road and has one of the worst defenses in CFB giving up 44 points per contest. Iowa State was in a bad spot last weekend against OSU on the road against a team out for serious revenge as the Cyclones derailed their title hopes in 2011. Now back at home playing a Baylor team on its FOURTH road trip in five games).

    Georgia Tech -1.5 v. BYU (BYU had the luxury of getting almost two TDs against a extremely overrated ND team last week and looked good. But travel is going to start to wear on them. Provo --> South Bend, South Bend --> Provo, Provo --> Atlanta. That is some serious serious travel. Last time we saw travel like this we saw what happened...WVU got boatraced by Texas Tech).
     
  10. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
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    Alabama Crimson TideNew England Patriots

    good stuff
     
  11. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
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    Alabama Crimson TideNew England Patriots

    if I see Washington +21, I will have a large play there
     
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  12. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    Jesus, I'm an idiot. :facepalm:

    Was looking at Washington State not Washington. Looks like OSU is -4 v. Washington. That line feels really dirty. Obviously not as inciting as +21 :loldog:

    Sorry about that fellas.
     
  13. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    IF you have a Betonline account take Fresno State +8 right now!

    Line is all messed up. They posted the wrong line. It should be at -13 (where it is at Bookmaker). That's 21 free points it they honor it.
     
  14. bRamonceTaylor

    Donor

    J.W. Walsh out for the season. Anybody know what Lunt's status is for Saturday?

    EDIT: And the line just went from 8.5 to 9.
     
  15. Beagle

    Beagle Many, many french fries
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    Southern Mississippi Golden EaglesNew Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Saints

    Early stuff I like:

    Louisville -4
    Ball State -5
    Rice -1
    Florida -6
    New Mexico +13
    Toledo -8
     
  16. bRamonceTaylor

    Donor

  17. Blue Circle

    Blue Circle Creepin

    Also on GT, BYU doesn't face any option teams I don't believe. Really tough to prepare for GTs style of blocking in just 1 week.
     
  18. Blue Circle

    Blue Circle Creepin

    I'm sort of biased here as I am a Clemson fan but I wouldn't touch that South Carolina game. As good of a defense as SCAR has, Tennessee can still put up some points. The injuries are mounting up for SCAR and Spurrier has started a QB controversy which has spelled disaster for him a lot of times. SCAR offense is very suspect right now.

    Not saying to take Tennessee but I won't be touching this game.
     
  19. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    Big USC fan, but I would look at U of A straight up to be honest with you.
     
  20. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    Boise State Wyoming under will get a look on Wednesday
     
  21. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    Washington line reminds me of WVU @ Texas Tech
     
  22. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    Strongest lean for me so far is Ole Miss.
     
  23. 20/20/20/20

    20/20/20/20 running thru the house with a pickle in my mouth
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    Just locked in Michigan +3 for 2 units.
     
  24. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    Also, right back to ASU after a week's hiatus.
     
  25. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    Okie St -9 v TCU reeks. Seems way too high, like Iowa state last week
     
  26. bRamonceTaylor

    Donor

    You saying you like OSU?
     
  27. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    Yes....just because that seems so high.
     
  28. bRamonceTaylor

    Donor

    Gotcha. I have a hard time believing Lunt will come in and be as effective as before since he's had a month off, though. Maybe Vegas is expecting a big let down game from Boykin after a tough loss and on his first road start.

    Just a tough one to make sense of.
     
  29. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    If the public is all over tcu, then I will be on osu
     
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  30. bro

    bro Hey Hermano
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    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersDenver NuggetsBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    I feel like I have a good feel on Big Ten games... but I never know how Minny is going to play
     
  31. bro

    bro Hey Hermano
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    I like

    Ville -4.5
    Clemson -13
    Indiana +1
    Northwestern -6.5
    MARYLAND +1 at BC.... I'd play this ASAP
    A&M -14
    Mich St -6.5
    Oregon -45.5
    Kentucky -15.5
    USC -6.5
    KSTATE -7
    USF - 5
    Ole Miss +6
    Michigan -3
    Troy -7.5
     
  32. bro

    bro Hey Hermano
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    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersDenver NuggetsBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    new to betting, what does 2 units mean
     
  33. bRamonceTaylor

    Donor

    you set your own value for what a unit is. It can be $10, $25, $100, etc. whatever. The way I look at it, is to use it as a measure of somebody's confidence in their bet. Ex. someone bets 1 unit on a game is less confident than someone who bets 3 units.

    Lots of times people will represent them with *'s. So: Texas/KU(+22)*** would mean someone picked KU +22 and put 3 units on them.

    Sorry if you already knew some of this. I asked the same question a year or two ago.
     
  34. bro

    bro Hey Hermano
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    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersDenver NuggetsBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    I didn't know. I usually just bet 5-10 dollars

    didn't know about units. thanks
     
  35. bRamonceTaylor

    Donor

    I didn't know either, and I'm not a seasoned bettor, so the vets itt can correct/expand upon what I posted.

    I learned a lot from captbunch on the Texas board last year, particularly about playing vs. the public and home dogs. Using the gambling board a lot more this year and while I haven't had a great season so far, have learned a lot about different philosophies from the different posters.
     
  36. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
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    I like Michigan +3 but I don't like that it's 115/100
     
  37. chuckles

    chuckles Well-Known Member
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    Florida GatorsAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Michigan +3 (Nebraska)
    Maryland +1 (BC)
    Iowa St -2.5 (Baylor)
    La Tech -29 (NMSU)
    Oregon St -4 (Wash)
    Rutgers -13 (Kent St)
    GT -2 (BYU)
    Arizona +6.5 (USC)
    Boise St -16.5 (Wyoming)
    Texas -22 (Kansas)
    Mass +32.5 (Vandy)
     
  38. bro

    bro Hey Hermano
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    am I missing something on that Maryland line?
     
  39. chuckles

    chuckles Well-Known Member
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    As in why do I like it or why on earth is BC favored? BC sucks something awful. Any ACC followers know of any major injuries to Maryland?
     
  40. bro

    bro Hey Hermano
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    as in why the fuck is BC favored
     
    chuckles likes this.
  41. chuckles

    chuckles Well-Known Member
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    Florida GatorsAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    No clue. If I didn't feel ACC teams were inconsistent as all hell (i.e. very hard to predict) I'd put a decent amount on that line. It's early but my biggest play of the week may be La Tech over NMSU. NMSU lost to Idaho 18-26, the same Idaho team that La Tech just skull fucked 70-28.
     
  42. Pac_Lion

    Pac_Lion Mr. Rubber Burnerr
    Penn State Nittany LionsNew York MetsNew York KnicksNew York JetsNew York RangersChelsea

    Here for my weekly take Penn State plug. 6-1 this season ATS. Line started at +2.5 and now has moved to -2.5. It's a night game and our super bowl. We gunna win
     
  43. Trofie

    Trofie Well-Known Member
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    Neb will beat Michigan.
    But fuck Bo
     
  44. MBTigerAC

    MBTigerAC New Member

    Maryland QB Perry Hillis was injured against NC St. MRI on his knee today. No word on his status at this point. Remember MD's returning starter was injured in the preseason so they'll basically be going with the 3rd string guy if Hillis is out.
     
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  45. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    once you bet baseball for a little while -115 doesn't even phase you.

    with the family here on Michigan. think that is a good pick

    Kstate and Washington as well

    Probably gonna take UF
     
  46. chuckles

    chuckles Well-Known Member
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    Florida GatorsAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Thanks. I'll keep an eye out on the Maryland injury report.
     
  47. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
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    i am thinking the same thing.
    really want to bet tcu here.
     
  48. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
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    ole miss now up to 6.5...moved 2 pts.
     
  49. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    Backing double digit road favorites with bad defenses is a good way to burn a hole in your pocket, but...

    Screw it, Clemson -13 it is.

    We have covered 4 straight and I think our weak schedule is undervaluing us a tad in Vegas. Chad Morris was not happy in his post game interview after VT (a game we covered easily) and I think our offense will look much strugger on Thursday.

    Homer alert so take that with a grain of salt. I'm just tired of not backing Clemson and missing out on some serious cash.
     
  50. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    Was one of the first plays that caught my eye. Probably will be with you on this one.