CFB Week 2 (09/09/17)

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by Ndirish123, Sep 4, 2017.

  1. Ndirish123

    Ndirish123 Active Member

    CFB Week 2 (09/09/17)

    Some early leans

    Neb at Oregon -9.5 (moved up to -14)
    Iowa -2.5 at Iowa State
    IU -3 at UVA
    UTSA +17 at Baylor
    Stanford +7 at USC

    Week 1: 6-4
    YTD: 6-4
     
    #1 Ndirish123, Sep 4, 2017
    Last edited: Sep 4, 2017
  2. The_QCT

    The_QCT Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersCleveland BrownsChelseaInternazionaleCleveland IndiansUnited States Men's National Soccer TeamCharlotte FC

    Early leans (nothing locked in yet)

    Clemson -6.5
    Stanford +7.5
    Louisville -6

    Week 1: 4-1
    Year: 4-1
     
  3. Ndirish123

    Ndirish123 Active Member

    Looks like the Bear at ESPN Chalk went 7-3. Stanford Steve went 3-1-1.

    I will try and keep this running each week.

    Bear
    Week 1: 7-3
    YTD: 7-3

    SS
    Week 1: 3-1-1
    YTD: 3-1-1
     
  4. Ndirish123

    Ndirish123 Active Member

    Some other ones I like...

    ODU -3 at UMASS
    Okla +7 at Ohio St
    Scar +2.5 at Missou
     
  5. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Love it or leave it!
    Donor
    Iowa HawkeyesChicago CubsCarolina PanthersKansas City ChiefsCarolina HurricanesPGABig Ten Conference

    When do these get announced?
     
  6. Ndirish123

    Ndirish123 Active Member

    Podcast is Wednesday I think?
    They they post it on Chalk that day.

    I think Juan said he could post those and Phil Steele's picks.
     
    hawkeyeOUTeast likes this.
  7. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Usually the podcast comes out late Wednesday and the picks are posted on the website the following day.
     
  8. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    4-1 last week - plays from OP in that thread + A&M/UCLA over

    Already on

    Clemson/AU Under 53.5
    UGA +4.5

    Waiting on Bama 1H to see what comes out
    Also may take Slaw moneyline and Ohio State. Possibly parlay these two MLs
     
  9. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    I have already locked in Ohio State -7 and I am with TLAU on the Slaw ML. Going to look more at it later today.
     
  10. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    How far does Florida State fall in Week 2 Vegas ratings?
    How far do Jimbo Fisher's Seminoles fall in our latest Vegas rankings? Kim Klement/USA TODAY Sports
    10:26 AM ET
    • [​IMG]
      Phil SteeleESPN Staff Writer

    Week 2 of the college football season brings my second weekly Vegas power ratings for 2017. Each week, I will provide the top 25 teams from one of my nine sets of power ratings closest to Vegas, and compare my ratings to those of both the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook (Westgate is providing their ratings each Sunday night) and ESPN FPI.

    Here are the top 25 teams for Week 2:

    ADVERTISEMENT
    All odds referenced below are courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

    [​IMG]
    1. Alabama Crimson Tide (Rating: 142.7)

    Alabama beat No. 3 Florida State by 17 points, and the Tide's overall power rating moves up to 142.7. FPI still has the Tide three points behind Ohio State. Alabama would be favored over every team in the country at a neutral site.


    [​IMG]
    2. Ohio State Buckeyes (Rating: 138.9)

    FPI rates the Buckeyes as the best team in the country. Right now, Ohio State is favored in every game on its schedule. Ohio State started slow versus Indiana but ended up winning on the road by 28. The Buckeyes can improve their numbers in a big way this week with an impressive win over Oklahoma.

    [​IMG]
    3. Clemson Tigers (Rating: 137.1)

    There were some questions about the Clemson QB situation, but Kelly Bryant was impressive last week. The Tigers make the biggest jump in the ratings as they climb four spots from No. 7. This week's game versus Auburn will be a better test for the inexperienced QB and skill players, but it is in Death Valley.

    [​IMG]
    4. Penn State Nittany Lions (Rating: 136.9)

    In my preseason article for ESPN Insider on strengths and weaknesses of the top-25 teams, it was tough for me to find a weakness in this deep squad, and the Nittany Lions opened with an impressive 52-0 shutout of Akron. FPI bumped them from No. 9 to No. 6, and Westgate has them at No. 7.

    [​IMG]
    5. Oklahoma Sooners (Rating: 136.8)

    The Sooners opened their season by taking down UTEP 56-7 and now have to travel to Columbus. These power ratings would have them as 7.35-point underdogs to the Buckeyes when you factor in my 5.25 home-field edge. Both the Westgate and FPI have the Sooners rated as the No. 3 team in the power ratings.

    [​IMG]
    6. USC Trojans (Rating: 136.1)

    The Trojans beat Western Michigan by 18 but led by only four with four minutes left. Their overall power ratings slipped, as they dropped from No. 4. The Westgate still has them at No. 4, but the FPI keeps them out of the top 10 at No. 12. USC faces a big test this week versus Stanford.

    [​IMG]
    7. LSU Tigers (Rating: 135.4)

    My main set of power ratings does not have the Tigers this high, but the Westgate has LSU at No. 5. The Tigers earned an impressive shutout of BYU with a 479-79 yard edge.

    [​IMG]
    8. Wisconsin Badgers (Rating: 135.3)

    The Badgers trailed Utah State 10-0 in the second quarter but scored the game's final 59 points and move up one spot in the power ratings. FPI has Wisconsin at No. 7, and Westgate has them at No. 8.

    [​IMG]
    9. Oklahoma State Cowboys (Rating: 134.7)

    Oklahoma State won by more than expected against Tulsa last week, and it was enough to improve the Cowboys' power rating after they were No. 14 last week. They have quarterback Mason Rudolph, running back Justice Hilland wide receiver James Washington all back to form a high-octane offense.

    [​IMG]
    10. Auburn Tigers (Rating: 133.9)

    The Tigers showed they have a strong defense by holding Georgia Southern to 78 total yards in their 41-7 rout. They are considered the biggest threat to Alabama in the SEC and have a huge test this week versus Clemson. If they grab the road win, they could move as high as No. 3 next week. Westgate has them at No.10.

    [​IMG]
    11. Michigan Wolverines (Rating: 133.7)

    Florida was without 10 suspended players, including their top RB and WR, but it was still a very impressive win for Michigan, and the Wolverines jump five spots. FPI still has them at No. 15, but Westgate has them at 11.

    [​IMG]
    12. Washington Huskies (Rating: 133.6)

    Washington was expected to wallop Rutgers but won 30-14 as a four-TD favorite. Despite winning, the Huskies dropped a couple of points in the power ratings and six spots in the rankings.

    [​IMG]
    13. Stanford Cardinal (Rating: 131.9)

    Stanford had a bye last week, so the team's power rating did not change. FPI ranks the Cardinal all the way up at No. 5, while Westgate has them ranked at No. 13. They could make a big jump by beating USC this week.

    [​IMG]
    14. Florida State Seminoles (Rating: 131.7)

    Had the Seminoles suffered only a loss on the field against Alabama, they would still be in the top eight, as at one point they had four turnovers in five plays and still lost by only 17. Losing QB Deondre Francois, however, drops them out of the top 10.

    [​IMG]
    15. Miami Hurricanes (Rating: 130.9)

    The Hurricanes did not beat Bethune-Cookman by as much as expected, so their power ratings dropped, and they slipped two spots in the rankings. FPI has them at No. 25, and the Westgate has them at No. 16.

    [​IMG]
    16. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Rating: 130.5)

    The Irish were impressive last week in their win over Temple and move up one spot in the rankings. The Westgate has them at No. 17, and FPI has them at No. 14. A win over Georgia this week would have them on the rise.

    [​IMG]
    17. Kansas State Wildcats (Rating: 129.3)

    Bill Snyder has one of his most experienced squads ever, and I consider Kansas State a prime contender for the Big 12 crown. My ratings have the Wildcats higher than Westgate (20) and FPI (29) do.

    [​IMG]
    18. Georgia Bulldogs (Rating: 128.5)

    The Westgate has Georgia at No. 21, and the FPI has the Bulldogs all the way up at No. 13. The Bulldogs had an impressive win over Appalachian State last week but have a question mark at QB with Jacob Eason out indefinitely.

    [​IMG]
    19. Louisville Cardinals (Rating: 127.1)

    Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson had a solid opener, and the Cardinals rank No. 15 in the Westgate rankings and No. 22 in the FPI. However, the Purdue game was closer than expected.

    [​IMG]
    20. Oregon Ducks (Rating: 126.9)

    When a team scores 77 points, it generally moves up the rankings. Oregon was not in the top 25 last week but is now No. 18 at the Westgate and No. 16 according to FPI. No wonder they went from four-point favorites over Nebraska in the summer to 14-point favorites this week.

    [​IMG]
    21. Virginia Tech Hokies (Rating: 126.1)

    Virginia Tech beat a solid West Virginia team on Sunday but stayed at the same spot in the ratings. FPI has the Hokies down at No. 30, and Westgate has them at No. 19. They play Delaware this week, so don't expect much movement.

    [​IMG]
    22. TCU Horned Frogs (Rating: 125.7)

    In my opinion, TCU has the best defense in the Big 12. Westgate has the Horned Frogs at No. 24, and FPI has them at No. 18. They have a very tough road trip to Arkansas this week.

    [​IMG]
    23. Washington State Cougars (Rating: 125.6)


    Mike Leach beat an FCS foe for the first time in three years, and his Cougars move up two spots in the rankings after that 31-0 victory over Montana State. Westgate has the Cougars at No. 22, and FPI has them at No. 26.

    [​IMG]
    24. Florida Gators(Rating: 125.5)

    It will be interesting to see if the Gators are a much stronger team when they get back those 10 suspended players, including their top RB and WR. Both Westgate and FPI have them at No. 23.

    [​IMG]
    25. UCLA Bruins (Rating: 123.9)

    For most of the game Sunday, the Bruins did not look like a top-25 team. Thanks to their miracle comeback, they have a win over Texas A&M under their belts. Westgate has them at No. 26, and FPI has them at No. 20.
     
    Ndirish123 likes this.
  11. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
    Donor
    Florida State SeminolesChicago CubsChicago BearsMiami Heat2pac

    Probably a dumb question, but who is slaw?
     
  12. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Arkansas.
     
    TheGodfather likes this.
  13. LeVar Burton

    LeVar Burton Knee deep in a dynasty, ROLL TIDE!
    Kansas JayhawksAlabama Crimson Tide

    FSU -33.5
    Wisconsin -31.5
    PSU -21
    Ohio State -7.5
    Fresno State +42.5
     
  14. Ndirish123

    Ndirish123 Active Member

    I also like FSU. Not a big deal but the game did get moved to a noon est kick.
    I think that defense is so good that ULM might not get to 10 pnts.
     
    LeVar Burton likes this.
  15. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Not a single MAC bet :resolve:
     
    Corky Bucek and LeVar Burton like this.
  16. Jt272929

    Jt272929 TMB only ISU Fan.

    What are thoughts on the Penn State - Pitt game. 22 points seems like a huge spread for a rivalry game.
     
  17. LeVar Burton

    LeVar Burton Knee deep in a dynasty, ROLL TIDE!
    Kansas JayhawksAlabama Crimson Tide

    Trace McSorley is 6-0 ATS as ranked vs unranked opponent
     
    Jt272929 likes this.
  18. The Fuck Lion

    The Fuck Lion Well-Known Member
    Donor
    North Carolina TarheelsOakland A'sPGALiverpool

    Western Michigan +7
    As mentioned Ohio State -7.5
    Also got on Clemson -4.5 and Georgia +4
     
  19. The_QCT

    The_QCT Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersCleveland BrownsChelseaInternazionaleCleveland IndiansUnited States Men's National Soccer TeamCharlotte FC

    .
     
    #20 The_QCT, Sep 6, 2017
    Last edited: Sep 7, 2017
  20. DuffandMuff

    DuffandMuff Well-Known Member
    Tampa Bay Lightning

    Did really well last week simply following along with that ESPN writer that I mentioned in the first week thread

     
  21. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

  22. Ndirish123

    Ndirish123 Active Member

    Got ya. Thanks for clarifying.
     
  23. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Also guess I should note, the column plays are all mentioned in the podcast so it's not like you miss out. There's just a chance they add a couple while recording that aren't in the column that could go 0-3 or something.
     
  24. animal_mother

    animal_mother Well-Known Member
    Clemson TigersTennessee TitansLiverpool

    Anyone seen if Covers released another tickets vs money chart this week? I'm only seeing NFL shit from them?
     
  25. LeVar Burton

    LeVar Burton Knee deep in a dynasty, ROLL TIDE!
    Kansas JayhawksAlabama Crimson Tide

    Not an espn insider
     
  26. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Nothing yet. I follow William Hill's twitter that's where it usually originates.
     
    animal_mother likes this.
  27. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    After an exciting opening weekend of college football, our experts are back with their Week 2 picks. Every Thursday, Phil Steele, Stanford Steve and Chris Fallica will pick two common games and then as many wild-card games as they choose. It's all here in one file, for your perusing pleasure.

    Here are the best bets for Week 2 of the college football season.

    Last Week ATS:

    Phil Steele: 2-6
    Stanford Steve Coughlin: 3-1-1
    Chris Fallica: 7-3

    Note: Lines from Westgate SuperBook as of Wednesday morning.

    Common games
    [​IMG][​IMG]

    No. 5 Oklahoma Sooners at No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (-7)
    Steele: Last year, a young Ohio State team played its best game of the season in a 45-24 win at Oklahoma with a 443-403 yard edge. Ohio State was the least experienced team in the nation entering the season last year, but it has 15 returning starters and ranks No. 38 on my experience chart this year. This is a great matchup of Ohio State's No. 2 defensive line and Oklahoma's No. 1 offensive line - not to mention the dueling pair of Heisman-contending quarterbacks. This is the first big game for Sooners head coach Lincoln Riley, while Urban Meyer is 19-7 against top-10 teams in his career.



    [​IMG]
    CFB betting look for Week 2: Jump on UCF bandwagon
    Will Harris identifies games to watch for Week 2 of the college football season, including a UCF-Memphis showdown and the intriguing matchup between Oklahoma and Ohio State.

    • [​IMG]
      How far does Florida State fall in Week 2 Vegas ratings?
      Which college football teams are strongest in the eyes of Vegas experts? Phil Steele provides his updated ratings for the top 25 teams, as Florida State falls down the list after losing QB Deondre Francois for the season.



    ATS pick: Ohio State
    Score: Ohio State 38, Oklahoma 28

    Fallica: Baker Mayfield had his way with one of the worst teams in the country last week, but I expect this game to be much different. Although the OU offensive line is expected to be one of the better ones in the country, it will have its work cut out for it against an Ohio State defense that should be ready to roll at home under the lights. Running on the Buckeyes will be nowhere near as easy as running on UTEP was a week ago, and though Indiana had some success throwing in the first two-and-a-half quarters or so against Ohio State, the OU receiving corps is inexperienced outside of tight end Mark Andrews. Oklahoma suffered a pretty big loss in the secondary, and that will help the Ohio State passing game. Although the Buckeyes didn't complete a lot of deep throws, they did give Parris Campbell and others chances to make plays. It is also clear that J.K. Dobbins is a difference-maker at running back. I don't think it will be as easy as last year's 45-24 rout, but I'll still side with the Buckeyes here.

    ATS pick: Ohio State
    Score: Ohio State 38, Oklahoma 28

    ADVERTISEMENT
    Coughlin: Last year's game, in which Ohio State went into Norman and embarrassed the Sooners in front of their home crowd, will be thoroughly discussed this week. But you could make the case that the Sooners were a better team at the end of the season. Does any of that stuff matter this Saturday in Columbus? We will have to wait and see. What I do expect is OU's rookie head coach, Lincoln Riley, to have a very good game on the offensive side attacking the Buckeyes' defense. This is a huge spot for Riley, knowing what happened last season and knowing how good of an impression he can make on his fan base in what would be the best road win of this early season. Sooner QB Baker Mayfield feasted on inferior competition last week, lighting up the UTEP Minersfor 329 yards and three touchdowns on 19-of-20 passing in just one half of football. The issue for the Sooners is their defense, as you can expect a way more polished offense from the Buckeyes. Expect more of what you saw in the second half in Bloomington rather than the first half from J.T. Barrett and his supporting cast. However, I do feel that the Sooners will keep the game close before ultimately losing in the fourth quarter.

    ATS pick: Oklahoma
    Score: Ohio State 34, Oklahoma 30

    [​IMG][​IMG]

    No. 14 Stanford Cardinal at No. 6 USC Trojans(-6.5)
    Steele: Stanford has won seven of the past nine in the series, including last season's matchup. The Cardinal have 16 returning starters and are No. 49 on my experience chart, while USC has just 12 returning starters and is No. 72. These were two of the hottest teams at the end of last season, with USC winning its last eight and Stanford winning its last six. USC struggled more than the final score indicated against Western Michigan last week, leading by only four with four minutes left. Western Michigan ran for 263 yards and 5.5 yards per carry, so Stanford shouldn't have any trouble on the ground.

    ATS pick: Stanford
    Score: USC 27, Stanford 24

    Fallica: This is one of the bigger differences of the week between our FPI numbers and the Vegas spread, as FPI has the Cardinal a 3.5-point favorite here. I'd feel much more confident if USC had blown out Western Michigan, driving this number down and priming the Trojans for a better performance. But the Cardinal were my pick to win the Pac-12, so I can't pass up the opportunity to take what I deem to be a better team getting nearly seven points. Sam Darnold wasn't at his best in the opener, and his offense now faces a much better and much more physical defense than it did last week. If the Broncos ran for 263 yards and 5.5 yards per carry against Southern Cal last week, Bryce Loveand Cameron Scarlett could have a lot of success on the ground. Stanford has won seven of nine in the series, and the two losses each came by a field goal. With extra rest following the trip to Australia, David Shaw and staff should have a solid game plan to attack USC and slow down Darnold.

    ATS pick: Stanford
    Score: Stanford 34, USC 27

    Coughlin: Plenty has been said about the effort of USC last week in its win over Western Michigan: "They were going through the motions" and "They were looking ahead to Stanford" or "They looked uninspired." Well, I'm here to tell you that after watching almost every snap of that game, I came away really impressed with the team from Kalamazoo, Michigan. The Broncos are a tough, versatile team that was in a tie game at the Coliseum in the fourth quarter. I think the USC win last week was more impressive than many perceived it to be from just seeing the score. On the other side, people could not be more impressed with the effort of Stanford in its game in Australia against Rice. There cannot be teams worse than the Owls, after seeing how they performed. I'm still not a believer in the Stanford offense, mostly because it hasn't seen even close to an average defense since QB Keller Chryst took over last season, beating teams such as Oregon State, Rice, Oregon, Cal and Arizona. The Trojans will be fired up, and the Coliseum will be rocking on Saturday night. I expect a huge game from Sam Darnold and my most underrated running back in the country, Ronald Jones (159 rush yards and three touchdowns last week). I'm not sure the Cardinal are ready for this stage. Men of Troy prevail and cover.

    ATS pick: USC
    Score: USC 34, Stanford 20

    Friday games
    [​IMG][​IMG]

    Memphis Tigers at UCF Knights (-2.5)
    Coughlin: The last time these two teams played was in 2013, and there were NFL first-round quarterbacks squaring off in Blake Bortles and Paxton Lynch. UCF won that game, but a lot has changed since then, including both head coaches no longer being at the schools. This game has been moved up to Friday night due to Hurricane Irma, and I do think that is a factor in this game. UCF played last Thursday night, so they have had more time to prepare than the Tigers, who played on Friday night. Plus, the Golden Knights will be at home. Many thought Memphis would be the biggest threat to USF in the American Athletic Conference during the preseason, but I think this is a chance for UCF to show why it might be the best team in the league. I could not be more impressed with how polished the offense looked behind true sophomore QB McKenzie Milton, who threw for 360 yards and four touchdowns, and I could not be more sold on what the new UCF coaching staff has transformed this program into. I think the home team makes a statement and covers the points.

    ATS pick: UCF
    Score: UCF 41, Memphis 28

    [​IMG][​IMG]

    Ohio Bobcats at Purdue Boilermakers (-4)
    Fallica: Expect Purdue to be heavily backed here off the close call versus Louisville. The Boilermakers appear on their way to being improved with Jeff Brohm, Tony Levine and Nick Holt. This will be just the second time in the past 35 games that Purdue is favored, with the other being a 10-point win last season over Nevada after coming in as a 3.5-point favorite. I'd be a little hesitant in laying points here, though, as a dive inside the box score from last week shows that Purdue was outgained by 180 yards and committed four turnovers. Louisville really hurt itself with three lost fumbles, and there is no guarantee that "turnover luck" will continue. Purdue lost at home to MAC teams in 2013, 2014 and 2015 (didn't play a MAC team last year), while the Bobcats have been pesky underdogs against Power 5 teams the past two seasons, losing by nine points to Tennessee as 27.5-point 'dogs and beating Kansas by 16 as 2.5-point 'dogs last season, along with losing by a field goal at Minnesota in 2015 as 7.5-point underdogs. Ohio has one of the better defenses in the MAC, especially in the secondary, and Frank Solich has an experienced group overall, one that might be the MAC favorite this year. Take the points, as well as a small stab on the money line.

    ATS pick: Ohio
    Score: Ohio 28, Purdue 27

    Saturday games
    [​IMG][​IMG]

    Louisiana Monroe Warhawks at No. 10 Florida State Seminoles (-32)
    Steele: This is a huge sandwich game for Florida State, as the Seminoles just had their titanic opener against Alabama and have Miami on deck. Florida State was playing Alabama even but had four turnovers in five plays after a blocked punt, fumbled kickoff and back-to-back interceptions. I projected that Alabama would average 526 yards per game, and the Seminoles held them to 269 yards and 13 first downs. They just need to get talented true freshman James Blackman up to speed and confident. In its first season under Matt Viator last year, ULM lost to Oklahoma by 42 and Auburn by 51. With the Seminoles off a loss and urgent to get the offense rolling, I like Florida State here.

    ATS pick: Florida State
    Score: Florida State 49, ULM 7

    [​IMG][​IMG]

    San Diego State Aztecs at Arizona State Sun Devils (-3.5)
    Steele: Arizona State is 10-0-1 in this series, including a 34-13 win in the last meeting in 2007. The Aztecs are 3-21 in road openers, with all the wins against non-Power 5 schools. San Diego State is just 3-9 in nonconference away games under head coach Long, who uses these games to get ready for conference play. The Sun Devils are No. 54 on my experience chart and have added some solid junior college transfers, while San Diego State is just No. 115 on my experience chart. In 2015, the Aztecs won 11 games but lost 35-7 on the road to California in an early nonconference game. This game is far more important to Arizona State, and the Sun Devils were much more impressive than the 37-31 final score last week, as they allowed 225 yards and 18 points after leading 37-13 with nine minutes remaining.

    ATS pick: Arizona State
    Score: Arizona State 35, San Diego State 24



    [​IMG]
    CFB betting look for Week 2: Jump on UCF bandwagon
    Will Harris identifies games to watch for Week 2 of the college football season, including a UCF-Memphis showdown and the intriguing matchup between Oklahoma and Ohio State.

    • [​IMG]
      How far does Florida State fall in Week 2 Vegas ratings?
      Which college football teams are strongest in the eyes of Vegas experts? Phil Steele provides his updated ratings for the top 25 teams, as Florida State falls down the list after losing QB Deondre Francois for the season.


    [​IMG][​IMG]

    Toledo Rockets (-10) at Nevada Wolf Pack
    Steele: Toledo is just 4-10 in road openers, and that record drops to 2-9 against non-MAC opponents. Additionally, Toledo is 1-7 in Mountain and Pacific time zones since 1996, with the lone win coming at Wyoming in 2012. Nevada made my most-improved teams list. I like the starters for Nevada, and the team's lack of depth won't affect them early in the year. Plus, the Wolf Pack have the edge on defense.

    ATS pick: Nevada
    Score: Toledo 33, Nevada 30

    [​IMG][​IMG]

    Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Boston College Eagles (-1.5)
    Steele: Boston College is 7-3 in this series. This should be a lower-scoring game, as Boston College has my No. 24-rated defense and Wake Forest has my No. 41-rated unit. The past seven meetings have all gone under the Las Vegas total, with the combined score being 33.1 points per game. Eagles redshirt freshman quarterback Anthony Brown won the starting job and showed moxie last week, throwing the game-winning touchdown pass with less than three minutes to play. Wake Forest is just 1-7 in road openers.

    ATS pick: Boston College
    Score: Boston College 23, Wake Forest 17

    [​IMG][​IMG]

    Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Syracuse Orange (-9.5)
    Steele: This is the first meeting between these schools. Middle Tennessee is just 3-19 in road openers and has dropped four straight games against Power 5 schools by 20 points per game the past four seasons. Syracuse is in its second season under head coach Dino Babers, and after drastic changes on both offense and defense last year, the Orange have 19 returning starters and are No. 24 on my experience chart. The Orange will be focused coming off an FCS matchup last week and with only Central Michigan on deck. Middle Tennessee has my No. 122-rated defense and comes in off a 22-point loss to Vanderbilt last week after being outgained 367-215.

    ATS pick: Syracuse
    Score: Syracuse 44, Middle Tennessee 30

    [​IMG][​IMG]

    Fresno State Bulldogs at No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (-43.5)
    Fallica: This is all about the circumstances of the game, as the Tide have a huge come-down from the season opener against Florida State. Under Nick Saban, Alabama has covered versus a Power 5 team in the opener six previous times, but the Tide failed to cover in the following game in all six instances, five of which came against Group of 5 teams with the Tide favorites of at least 28 points. Fresno State might have lost 13 straight against FBS foes, but they managed to cover seven of their past nine games last season as underdogs. New coach Jeff Tedford has a bunch of starters back on offense, and the Bulldogs should be good for a garbage time score to keep this within the number.

    ATS pick: Fresno State
    Score: Alabama 45, Fresno State 7

    [​IMG][​IMG]

    UAB Blazers at Ball State Cardinals (-14.5)
    Fallica: Our numbers have Ball State as a nine-point pick in this one. After a close call versus Illinois last week, I wonder if the Cardinals might be a little flat after seeing their upset bid come up just short. This isn't a team used to being in the role of double-digit favorites; in the past three years, Ball State has been a double-digit favorite just three times and hasn't covered any of them. The Cardinals should win, but I expect the Blazers to keep it within the number.

    ATS pick: UAB
    Score: Ball State 30, UAB 20

    [​IMG][​IMG]

    Iowa Hawkeyes (-2.5) at Iowa State Cyclones
    Fallica: I was in on Iowa last week, as I thought the Hawkeyes could control the line of scrimmage versus their Mountain West foes. They did, but they were very sloppy with the football, and quarterback Nathan Stanley was under more pressure than one would have expected. Iowa State will likely be a much more balanced offense and a tougher task to slow than Wyoming. The Hawkeyes beat Matt Campbell's team 45-3 last season in Campbell's first season in Ames, and I expect payback to be on the Cyclones' minds. Iowa State was a very good underdog as the season progressed, covering four games as double-digit 'dogs versus Baylor, Kansas State, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State. Three of those four losses were by a touchdown or less, with ISU having a real shot to win. With improvement expected in year two under Campbell, it is reasonable to expect Iowa State to have a chance to win as a slight home 'dog, Remember, in 2015 when the Cyclones were 3-9 and some people thought Iowa was in the mix for a CFP shot, this game was tied at 17 with about two minutes remaining before Iowa scored two late touchdowns for a very deceiving 31-17 final.

    ATS pick: Iowa State
    Score: Iowa State 28, Iowa 24

    [​IMG][​IMG]

    Northwestern Wildcats (-3) at Duke Blue Devils
    Coughlin: Northwestern had to come from behind to win its first game, while Duke scored 60 points and gave up only seven. Perhaps the Wildcats thought a little too much of themselves coming into this season, as many picked them as possible participants in the Big 10 title game, and thought they could coast to a win in their first game. They trailed at the half to Nevada by 10 points, all the while being 24-point favorites. Still, there is plenty to like about this Northwestern team, with a veteran quarterback in Clayton Thorson, who is fresh off a 352-yard effort through the air with two touchdowns and two rushing scores. Alongside him is running back Justin Jackson, who just became 15th on the Big Ten's career rushing list with 4,238 yards. Jackson is the second active leading rusher in FBS behind only Oregon's Royce Freeman (4,296), and he leads all active FBS players with 885 career carries. I'll go with the notion that the Wildcats have found their stride and have too much offense for the Blue Devils to handle.

    ATS pick: Northwestern
    Score: Northwestern 31, Duke 21

    [​IMG][​IMG]

    No. 23 TCU Horned Frogs (-3) at Arkansas Razorbacks

    Coughlin: This might be the best matchup of the day before the night slate's ranked-on-ranked contests get underway. Last year, Arkansas won in Fort Worth in double-overtime 41-38. As plenty of you know, these two head coaches, Bret Bielema and Gary Patterson, are easily two of my favorite head coaches in the sport. Both do a great job getting their teams ready to play in tough atmospheres and instilling their teams with what it takes to overcome adversity, as seen by the Razorbacks' coming from behind in this game last season. It wasn't the best week for college football teams in the great state of Texas, leaving Hurricane Harvey out of it, with Texas, Texas A&M and Baylor all suffering tough losses. The Horned Frogs took care of business, dominating Jackson State and giving up not much more than 1 yard per play. Knowing this week will be a lot tougher, I think Gary Patterson has this team in a spot to open a lot of eyes, as long as QB Kenny Hill takes care of the football (13 INTs last season). I like the balance of TCU better than Arkansas, and I expect the boys from Fort Worth to go on the road and cover.

    ATS pick: TCU
    Score: TCU 30, Arkansas 21
     
    TheGodfather likes this.
  28. Ndirish123

    Ndirish123 Active Member

    Week 1
    Steele 2-6 YTD 2-6
    Stanford Steve 3-1-1 YTD 3-1-1
    Bear 7-3 YTD 7-3

    Week 2

    Steele
    Ohio St -7
    Stanford +6.5
    FSU -32
    Az St -3.5
    Nevada +10
    BC -1.5
    Syracuse -9.5

    Stanford Steve
    Ohio St -7
    Stanford +6.5
    UCF -2.5
    Northwestern -3
    TCU -3

    Bear
    Oklahoma +7
    USC -6.5
    Ohio +4
    Fresno St +43.5
    UAB +14.5
    Iowa St +2.5

    Let me know if you guys see any errors.
     
    #30 Ndirish123, Sep 7, 2017
    Last edited: Sep 7, 2017
    Corky Bucek and wolfpck like this.
  29. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    uga +4.5
    Ohio +3.5
     
  30. wolfpck

    wolfpck haters gonna hate
    Donor
    North Carolina State Wolfpack

    Ohio +3.5 @ Purdue
    Clemson -5 vs Auburn
    Fresno State +44 @ Bama
    Oklahoma +7.5 @ OSU
    BC vs Wake Under 46
     
  31. The_QCT

    The_QCT Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersCleveland BrownsChelseaInternazionaleCleveland IndiansUnited States Men's National Soccer TeamCharlotte FC

    Steve picked USC
    Bear picked Stanford
     
  32. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Love it or leave it!
    Donor
    Iowa HawkeyesChicago CubsCarolina PanthersKansas City ChiefsCarolina HurricanesPGABig Ten Conference

  33. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Bet

    Mississippi State -7 and -8
    Arkansas ML
    Ohio State -7
    Auburn +6 (homer)
    Stanford +6

    Leaning
    Minnesota +3 over Oregon State
    UGA/ND under 57
    Pitt +21 over Penn State
    BC +1 over Wake Forest
    Louisville -10

    Thoughts?
     
  34. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    on nw-2
     
  35. pennstate2012

    pennstate2012 Well-Known Whore
    Donor
    Pittsburgh SteelersPenn State Nittany LionsPittsburgh Penguins

    Homer alert, but I would be very careful with Pitt. Not only did YSU take them to OT last week, but also their best player is suspended. Franklin will look to run up the score like Michigan St last year.
     
    Juan likes this.
  36. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    FSU game just got cancelled.
     
  37. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Games I like:

    Oklahoma St -28
    Indiana -3
    Oklahoma +7.5
    Clem/AU o54
    South Carolina +3
     
  38. LeVar Burton

    LeVar Burton Knee deep in a dynasty, ROLL TIDE!
    Kansas JayhawksAlabama Crimson Tide

    Take solich and Ohio tonight. :loldog: at Purdue being a favorite.
     
  39. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Taking a small flyer on Hawaii +24, hoping for a letdown game for UCLA.
     
  40. The_QCT

    The_QCT Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersCleveland BrownsChelseaInternazionaleCleveland IndiansUnited States Men's National Soccer TeamCharlotte FC

    Ohio +4.5
    Oregon St -2.5
    Miss St -6.5
    Duke +3.5
    Wiscy - 31.5

    Week 1: 4-1
    YTD: 4-1
     
    Juan, Wilfred and The Hebrew Husker like this.
  41. Ndirish123

    Ndirish123 Active Member

    Plays for this week.

    Ohio +4.5 at Purdue
    Uab +14.5 at Ball St
    Stan +3.5 at USC
    ODU -3.5 at UMASS
    TCU -3.5 at Ark
    WMU +7.5 at Mich St
    MTSU at Cuse -8.5


    Week 1: 6-4
    YTD: 6-4
     
    #43 Ndirish123, Sep 8, 2017
    Last edited: Sep 8, 2017
    hawkeyeOUTeast likes this.
  42. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    USC -5 (this line is dirty as hell, public loading up on road dog after shaky USC performance last week)

    Mizzou -3 (Scar got dominated in every category last week in a game they should've lost. Public backing Scar. Mizzou going to put up serious points on that Scar defense, Cocks can't keep up)

    UNC +9.5 (UNC looked terrible last week, but back at home almost getting DD against a Lville team that struggled against a Purdue team whose season win total O/U was 2.5)
     
    Juan likes this.
  43. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    gotta disagree on unc...Purdue team will surprise a lot of people. look really well coached.

    I agree on USC...I think that number goes down...waiting on this one.
     
  44. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    like cuse.
     
  45. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Here you go.

     
    FriendsofJtyler likes this.
  46. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Love it or leave it!
    Donor
    Iowa HawkeyesChicago CubsCarolina PanthersKansas City ChiefsCarolina HurricanesPGABig Ten Conference

    Purdue
    NW
    Iowa
    UNC
    USC
    Oklahoma
     
  47. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Well, so much for being a contrarian on that Auburn over. Good 4-1 weekend other than that game.
     
    undrtow and The Hebrew Husker like this.
  48. The_QCT

    The_QCT Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersCleveland BrownsChelseaInternazionaleCleveland IndiansUnited States Men's National Soccer TeamCharlotte FC

    Shit the bed this week: 2-3
    YTD: 6-4