FSUsem's 2016 Bowl Season Picks & Discussion (12-11, +0.9 Units)(12/30 & 12/31 picks pg 14)

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Dec 6, 2016.

  1. LeVar Burton

    LeVar Burton Knee deep in a dynasty, ROLL TIDE!
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    You either aren't serious or you weren't watching.
     
  2. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    On the road but it didnt seem to make sense. What happened?
     
  3. LeVar Burton

    LeVar Burton Knee deep in a dynasty, ROLL TIDE!
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    4th and 18 from 19 yards out.
     
  4. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Would like to see the math on what the best route was. Cant imagine making a 40 yard field goal and not letting them get a first down, then driving for a TD would be a higher percentage than one TD and a 2 pt conversion
     
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  5. TLAU

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    odds of converting a 4th and 18 per the search I did are a little under 10%
     
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  6. LeVar Burton

    LeVar Burton Knee deep in a dynasty, ROLL TIDE!
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    What is happening to MTSU?!? :tebow:
     
  7. The Hebrew Husker

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    21 unanswered.

    Neat.
     
  8. TLAU

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    wow. MTSU offense has their heads up their ass.
     
  9. The Hebrew Husker

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    Hopefully Hawaii turns it over a couple times fuck
     
  10. TLAU

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    just heard MTSU and the name Tony Franklin and now it all makes sense
     
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  11. The Hebrew Husker

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    This is a fucking debacle.
     
  12. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Hawaii just does not give one single fuck this game
     
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  13. The Hebrew Husker

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    I feel like we're due
     
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  14. colonelrascals

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  15. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    ***Boston College +2
    ****NC State -5.5
    ***NC State/Vandy Over 45
     
  16. dome foam

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    going against the sheet on Maryland. bc is dog shit. Good defense, but inflated numbers. And no offense to speak of. public bets seem to be on Maryland, but no rlm.
     
  17. The Hebrew Husker

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    That Maryland offense is pretty bad though. They went like 4-5 games without a TD.

    Is their starting QB back?
     
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  18. The Hebrew Husker

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    Anyone have thoughts on the early game? system A says Miami OH, but I like Miss State here. Only question is are they motivated? Do they mail it in after the Ole Miss win?
     
  19. dome foam

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    I like Miami oh
     
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  20. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Yeah that's sort of why I stayed away. On top of playing a MAC school, their bowl destination is beautiful north Louisiana. Can't imagine MSU will be too amped but they are the superior team.

    Edit: Obviously confused bowl location with the night game. Etiher way, looks like motivation is lacking from MSU
     
    #270 FSUsem, Dec 26, 2016
    Last edited: Dec 26, 2016
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  21. The Hebrew Husker

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    I'll stay away see if there's a live bet I can lose some money on once it begins and I get a feel.
     
  22. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Is Maryland not dog shit? They're 0-7 ATS against bowl teams. Are their numbers not inflated? They're averaging 470 yards of offense against non bowl teams but only 314 yards of offense against bowl teams. The Maryland defense is giving up 3.7 ypr against non bowl teams but 5.5 against bowl teams. Their FBS wins come against teams with an average of 3.4 wins on the year. Boston College has the best win between the two teams at NC State.

    To say that Maryland is going to cover because BC is inflated means you just haven't looked at Maryland. I think BC is the right play, but if Maryland covers its not going to be because BC has inflated numbers...Marylands numbers are much more inflated.
     
  23. TLAU

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    MSU is awful and I planned on taking the MoH ML and spread but missed it. Hope they don't score on this opening drive so I still get a good live line
     
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  24. Stone Cold Steve Austin

    Stone Cold Steve Austin Tickler Extraordinaire
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    I had no idea this started so early. Shame on me.
     
  25. TLAU

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    Same here I thought standard 11c

    Managed to get +380 and +10.5 after the opening FG but missed on 1H under
     
  26. The Hebrew Husker

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    Damn it's +110 now live. Maybe MSU can score and I can lock it in haha
     
  27. dome foam

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    Ok?
     
  28. The Hebrew Husker

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    I think there's a reason the spread is 1.5/2 or whatever. Both these teams suck ass.

    The one thing that scares me a little bit is when I saw Maryland play live in Lincoln they really spread it out lots of plays to the outside. I'm not sure if BC has athletes on D to make plays when they're spread out. But I really haven't seen BC besides like a quarter vs Clemson
     
  29. TLAU

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    Well that was a disappointing end. ML would have been nice
     
  30. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Its not good to have misleading information in the thread, especially when people are using the information to decide who to bet on.
     
  31. The Hebrew Husker

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    Well, lets hope BC keeps this up...
     
  32. Corky Bucek

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    And there's a 62 yard MD TD run
     
  33. The Hebrew Husker

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    Was going to say, right on cue.

    A little bit nervous about this read game they can get going with the QB who is a better runner.
     
  34. The Hebrew Husker

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    OK save some of these points for the next game, jeez
     
  35. dome foam

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    Go fuck yourself

    it was an opinion.
     
  36. Stone Cold Steve Austin

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    Calm down
     
  37. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Your sheet is negative units...
    it doesn't hurt to have an open discussion
     
  38. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Wow. Resort to the old message board tough guy routine? You havent give that up yet?

    Anyway, telling people that one teams numbers are inflated doesnt come off as an opinion.
     
  39. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    if it's not my opinion, what is it?
     
  40. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    My picks are negative 2.7 units. The sheets System A is 8-5 vs the closing number. Feel free to create your own thread if you want to turn this into a juvenile penis contest.

    Or feel free to keep this thread going in the positive direction like everyone else.
     
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  41. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    So yeah, another BC TD.
     
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  42. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    You made a vague assertion about BCs stats (stats are generally facts, not opinions) being inflated. I made sure people knew both sides. If you really an issue with someone presenting both sides, perhaps instead of gambling you should try to get inwith Fox News.

    Again, might be time to let it go. Youre coming off like a petulant child.
     
  43. dome foam

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    you're being a cunt

    I like and follow the sheet

    I posted why I wasn't following this game. Glad I'm wrong for everyone else's sake.

    You said I was being "misleading".

    You've got your sheet up on a pedestal.
     
  44. dome foam

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    me saying that their defensive stats are inflated is not science. Simply my opinion based on their competition.

    whatever man. Good luck.
     
  45. Big Aristotle

    Big Aristotle Member

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  46. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Just step away from the phone/comp for a bit.
     
  47. dome foam

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    I thought you add all systems, not just a?
     
  48. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    I like hearing the reasoning behind the wagers placed, along with the sheet. Gives me a choice to make instead of blindly following the sheet. Team both sides of this discussion
     
  49. wolfpck

    wolfpck haters gonna hate
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    Kiss and make up guys. All here for same reasons.
     
    FSUsem likes this.