Gambling Thread

For reference for outlandish that u4.5 being +100 is

 

RIP Arizona State on MGM, that one's gone

 

Got the first half under for GT FSU

u 27.5

 

let’s ride

 

FSU -10.5
SMU -27.5

 

I got GT +10.5
SMU -14 1H

Also added GT team total o24.5 live and now I am sad

 

GT +230

 

Solid work.

 

1-0 on reverse jinx bets

 

Think I am done gambling with cfb after hitting GT ML, 10.5, 11.5, king O50.5 and the game under.

 

Bet first half of GT FSU under snd lost on that bullshit 1 second put back on and 59 yard FG

 

Thought hard about betting NM and the points. Really glad I decided not to


ok, SMU -27.5

 

Lol in no way was the 1 second bullshit.

 

Also would have hit if FSU kicked the first XP (assuming everything else happens the same blah blah)

 

I guess if you have a ref waiting to hear your TO call and blowing the whistle regardless it’s not bullshit

 

I mean, the coach is gonna be in position in that instance. And upon review he was down with three seconds left and Norvell was right in the refs ear. TO was called with two seconds, so they actually got less time than they should have. 6:11 is the start of the play.

 

What apps/sites do people here use for gambling? Never been a big gambler, not really planning on becoming one. But I get a little itch every year about this time. Usually just go to the casino and place a couple futures bets but the options are generally pretty weak on CFB here. Idk just curious.

 

It varies a lot by the state you live in and your goal. Some people on this thread only have one option. Some of the rest of us use 10 plus books

 

Gotcha. Wasn't sure if there was a consensus. In AR I've got 2 casinos with their own apps, both kinda meh from everything I've read and seen. Guess I should look into the legality of oos options.

 

It really depends on your goal. If you're just trying to have a silly $5 bet every weekend so you enjoy your viewing experience, it's not worth wading into the illegal waters. But if you're trying to win, line shopping is a huge part of it

 

i use bet365 and love it

 

It's not dumb when you bet on a hit and the guy never sees a pitch

That's a player friendly house rule

 

tbh i don’t use them much but they have plenty of bet boosts and free bets when betting $25 or more on sporting events

 

bro what do you think about Keon over 4.5 TDs?

 

i bet on frances tiafoe to win

he was up 6-4 6-1 and 1-0 until the opponent retired.

my bet got voided -_-

 

Going over 69 for LSU/USC and over 57 for Tennessee/Chattanooga

 

nothing out of the ordinary

I'd probably take UGa to cover. below are my SU picks for the 10 games I zero'd in on this week and you can see my expected score. So I like Stanford, Vandy, SC, and BC to cover

I don't buy the UF/UM line. I'm of the belief if you think UM wins, they likely win comfortably; a close ugly game favors UF likely winning outright

I would favor unders early in the season. It seemed to be a trend last week and wouldn't be shocked if it continues. it sure felt like a lot of disjointedness in the offenses and maybe some can be attributed to adapting to the new in helmet comms actually slowing teams down a tad

also I'll add that if you put any stock into team talent, it would advise you to go with UF and ND as they are ranked ahead of UM and A&M. but it's a marginal difference, so take that at your own risk. using team talent to pick games in 2023 would have yielded 70% accuracy straight up and 50% ATS

 

Add an implied odds calculator to this sheet and you have a stew goin

 

What’s the heat map/chart top right?

 

Much like one of the team sheets, just showing most likely record as each game is played

Based on game probabilities, my picks this week are most likely to go 8-2/7-3

So going into the LSU/SC game, I'm probably 6-2 through the first 8 games

 

like this?

 

I meant one that automatically converts that 63% means -170

 

gotcha

so like this? I built in a 4.5% vig too

 

yup, something like that. I wouldn't build in vig though. at least for the use-case I was discussing. I was thinking you want a "good until" price

 

vig removed. I appreciate the feedback

cleaned it up a litte

 

Notre Dame ML (large)

 

Brother coming to this thread for helpful gambling advice is a big time losing proposition like 9/10 times

 

I disagree, it's just that most people don't care for or want helpful advice, they want to be entertained