Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 62-48 (56%) +10.02 Current Wagers Miami -3 Fresno State +12 Army -6.5 Northwestern -3 Clemson -7 Western Michigan -16 Miss St. +8 Colorado -7 Utah +5 Washington +22.5 VTech -2.5 Nevada -1 Cal -13.5 Oklahoma -14 T A&M -17 FSU +7.5 Arkansas +1.5 Texas -17 UNLV -6 Stanford -19 LSU -27 Boise -7 Ball State +8 Pitt -7 Clemson Under 45 UNC Under 42 ECU +7.5 Miami (oh) +17 Iowa -5 Akron -4 S.Miss -15.5 Oregon -5 Oregon -5 K-State +12.5 Nebraska +5 Notre Dame -10 Toledo +21 West Virginia +7 Washington State +7 Idaho +3.5 Marshall +3 UCF +4 Rice +32.5 Tulsa +17.5 Louisville +14.5 Kent +3 New Mexico +17.5 Oregon State +1 Arkansas Over 53.5 NFL Colts -3 Denver -3 Bears +8.5/ Giants +8.5 Jax -3 LOOKING FOR (waiting on): Northern illinois (want 14) Temple +31 Duke +24 Utah State +21 NMSU +14 EMU +24 ULM +21
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 62-48 (56%) +10.02- UPDATED FOR THE WEEK If you want explanations, this is my weekly column: http://www.tomahawknation.com/2009/9/17/1034259/for-entertainment-purposes-only
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 62-48 (56%) +10.02- UPDATED FOR THE WEEK Adding NFL: Bears +8.5/ Packers -2.5 Giants +8.5/ Packers -2.5
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 62-48 (56%) +10.02- UPDATED FOR THE WEEK Do you actually bet on all of these games? If so, you must either A. bet 5$ a game or B. have a huge bankroll with a bookie?
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 62-48 (56%) +10.02- UPDATED FOR THE WEEK If you've been playing for a while you can get credit accounts. Define huge bankroll? I don't put all this time into this for nothing.
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 62-48 (56%) +10.02- UPDATED FOR THE WEEK UCLA/ Kstate Under 43.5
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 62-48 (56%) +10.02- UPDATED FOR THE WEEK I don't know if he bets on all the games, any games, no games...honestly I don't know what anyone is actually doing....even all these touts and shit that claim 80% bullshit....what I do know is that his system is based on variance, point spread numbers, standards of deviation, etc....that are increased by sample size...so, that makes more games in play, if not ALL games in play. The idea isn't to go 3-0 or 6-2 or something....it's to go 30-20 every single week. It's like pot odds in poker.....the math will always win out.
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 62-48 (56%) +10.02- UPDATED FOR THE WEEK I also watch almost every cfb game, while the game is competitive, on my computer, either myself, or through someone else whose football knowledge I trust.
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 62-48 (56%) +10.02- UPDATED FOR THE WEEK Curious about the Oregon St write up in which you refer to the beavers as having an NFL caliber QB....uh who would that be?
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 62-48 (56%) +10.02- UPDATED FOR THE WEEK That's what my pac 10 boy tells me and he's been great over the years. I'm still skeptical. I do love Stanford's QB
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 62-48 (56%) +10.02- UPDATED FOR THE WEEK Ya Luck is gonna be a good one. I just don't really think Canfield or Moievo (sp?) are NFL caliber QBs. Canfield has a pretty weak arm IIRC. I do like Pike from Cincy however.
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 62-48 (56%) +10.02- UPDATED FOR THE WEEK 1-0 to start the week
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 63-48 (57%) +11.02- UPDATED FOR THE WEEK Adding NIU +13 Temple +31 Duke +24.5 E.Mich +24
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 93-72 (57%), +15.72 Week 3 Miami -3 110 100 W Week 3 Army -6.5 110 100 W Week 3 Clemson -7 110 100 W Week 3 Colorado -7 110 100 W Week 3 Washington +22.5 110 100 W Week 3 Cal -13.5 110 100 W Week 3 Oklahoma -14 110 100 W Week 3 Boise -7 110 100 W Week 3 Ball State +8 110 100 W Week 3 Clemson Under 45 110 100 W Week 3 Iowa -5 110 100 W Week 3 Oregon -5 110 100 W Week 3 Oregon -5 110 100 W Week 3 Nebraska +5 110 100 W Week 3 Louisville +14.5 110 100 W Week 3 NIU +13 110 100 W Week 3 Temple +31 110 100 W Week 3 Western Michigan -16 110 100 W Week 3 Miss St. +8 110 100 W Week 3 FSU +7.5 110 100 W Week 3 LSU -27 110 100 W Week 3 Pitt -7 110 100 W Week 3 Washington State +7 110 100 W Week 3 Idaho +3.5 110 100 W Week 3 Marshall +3 110 100 W Week 3 UCF -4 110 100 W Week 3 Rice +32.5 110 100 W Week 3 Arkansas Over 53.5 110 100 W Week 3 Stanford -19 110 100 W Week 3 UCLA/ Kstate Under 43.5 110 100 W Week 3 K-State +12.5 110 100 W Week 3 Miami (oh) +17 110 -110 L Week 3 Nevada -1 110 -110 L Week 3 T A&M -17 110 -110 L Week 3 Duke +24.5 110 -110 L Week 3 E.Mich +24 110 -110 L Week 3 Akron -4 110 -110 L Week 3 S.Miss -15.5 110 -110 L Week 3 UNC Under 42 110 -110 L Week 3 ECU +7.5 110 -110 L Week 3 Fresno State +12 110 -110 L Week 3 Utah +5 110 -110 L Week 3 VTech -2.5 110 -110 L Week 3 Toledo +21 110 -110 L Week 3 Tulsa +17.5 110 -110 L Week 3 Northwestern -3 110 -110 L Week 3 Arkansas +1.5 110 -110 L Week 3 Kent +3 110 -110 L Week 3 New Mexico +17.5 110 -110 L Week 3 Oregon State +1 110 -110 L Week 3 Notre Dame -10 110 -110 L Week 3 Texas -17 110 -110 L Week 3 West Virginia +7 110 -110 L Week 3 UNLV -6 110 -110 L Week 1: 20-24, -6.3 Week 2: 39-22 +16.32 Week 2 NFL: 3-3, +0.0 Week 3: 31-23 +5.70 Season College: 90-69 (57%), +15.72 Season NFL: 3-3, +0 Season Total: 93-72 (57%), +15.72
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 93-72 (57%), +15.72 Week 4 plays SO Carolina +4.5 Nevada +8 Wake +3 Minnesota +2 Wisconsin -1.5 Boise State -14 Iowa State -9 Memphis -2.5 So Miss +14 Rice +8.5 Florida -23 Georgia -12 North Carolina +3 NCST PK Stanford -6.5 Miami (OH) +9 Purdue +8 Houston PK New Mexico -8 Oregon St +3 FAU -5 Nebraska -26.5 Navy -26.5 Arkansas State -1 MTSU -7
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 93-72 (57%), +15.72 *Week 4 bets in* USC -43 NFL 6pt Even money Teasters Titans +8.5/ Seattle +8.5 Titans +8.5/ Denver +7.5 Titans +8.5/ Indy +8 Titans +8.5/ Dallas -2.5 Seattle +8.5/ Denver +7.5 Seattle +8.5/ Indy +8 Seattle +8.5/ Dallas -2.5 Denver +7.5/ Indy +7.5 Denver +7.5/ Dallas -2.5 Indy +8/ Dallas -2.5
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 93-72 (57%), +15.72 *Week 4 bets in* NFL Zona -1 Oakland PK San Diego -6 Buf +6 Wash -6 NYJ -2
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 93-72 (57%), +15.72 *Week 4 bets in* What's your take on the following two teams: Idaho Indiana just curious to get different opinions. (And I don't mean just for this week, I mean season long)..
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 93-72 (57%), +15.72 *Week 4 bets in* Bottom 10 team in FBS, but not quite as bad as North Texas or WKU. They are so isolated though, nobody gets excited to play in IDaho. Indiana is weird, clearly the worst B10 team, but they can sneak a cover now and then. I really will consider +21.5 For my money, there are FBS teams probably the bottom 30: Indiana, Duke, Cuse, Washington State, Colorado.
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 93-72 (57%), +15.72 *Week 4 bets in* I ask because they're both undefeated ATS and both are thought to be TERRIBLE.....yet, as an example, Idaho beat SDSU (now they may be pretty bad too) but I know a lot of people expected them to maybe be middle of the MWC....then Indiana has put up some decent offensive performances so far....Why Forcier is getting all this hype, I'd say Chappell has been just as impressive...but neither team gets any attention and I'm just wondering if there will continue to be value on them..
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 93-72 (57%), +15.72 *Week 4 bets in* I'll probably be on Indiana. Not sure I can trust Idaho away from home. What of Illinois? That came out at +19 and I missed it badly.
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 93-72 (57%), +15.72 *Week 4 bets in* Yeah I'm thinking Illinois might prove to be one of the worst teams in the B10...
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 93-72 (57%), +15.72 *Week 4 bets in* Fuck, did you know this? As I mentioned in yesterday’s News & Notes, Akron was playing without their QB Jacquemain who was suspended. Matt Rogers had 4 interceptions, most of them with long returns. Indy returned the opening kickoff 91 yards for a TD. They had 61/13pl and 53/13pl drives result in a 25 yard FG and an interception at the 3 while Akron got a 49 yd TD pass and Indiana only led 10-7. Akron blocked a punt for a TD late 2Q and Indy would drive 77/12pl for a TD with :33 left in the half. Indy led 17-14 and had a 214-100 yard edge. Indy extended it to 38-14 with Akron taking over with 4:53 left and driving 77/9pl for a TD with :34 left.
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 93-72 (57%), +15.72 *Week 4 bets in* Minnesota/ Nwestern Over 48 TCU/ Clemson Under 42.5 UNC/ Gtech Under 46.5 Ariz/ Oregon State Under 44
Re: MBKRoger's Football Season Thread: 93-72 (57%), +15.72 *Week 4 bets in* Season College: 90-69 (57%), +15.72 Season NFL: 6-7, -1.2 Season Total: 96-75 (56%), +14.52
Re: MBKRoger's Lock City Football: 96-75 (56%) +14.52 Units *Week 4 bets in* Here's what I have so far S Now I'm adding: Boston College +1 110 Illinois +14.5 110 Temple -2.5 110 Bowling Green +17 110 Ohio +24 (-114) 114 ECU -10 110 Cincinatti -16.5 110 Marshal +3.5 110 UAB +14.5 110 SDST +17 110 Wyoming +4 (+100) 100 USF +14.5 110 USF +14.5 110 ColSt +17 110 Vtech +3 110 Vtech +3 110
Re: MBKRoger's Football: 96-75 (56%) +14.52 Units *Week 4 bets in* Three More Iowa/PSU under 41 110 Arizona +3 -115 -115 WKU +28.5 (-105) 110 What I am waiting on: Nwestern PK Indiana +21 MichSt +3.5 Clem -2 Akron +17 Miss St +13 LSU -11 Vandy -6.5 Ball State +35 Alabama -17 NIU -16.5 Kent -6.5 Louisville +14.5 UTEP +37 New Mex State +10.5 ULLaf +28.5
Re: MBKRoger's Football: 98-76 (57%) +16.52 Units *Week 4 bets in* Adding Northwestern +1.5 NIU -16.5
Re: MBKRoger's Football: 98-76 (57%) +16.52 Units *Week 4 bets in* MBK, do you like the over tonight?
Re: MBKRoger's Football: 98-76 (57%) +16.52 Units *Week 4 bets in* http://www.rockmnation.com/2009/9/25/1054357/nevada-beyond-the-box-score-preview 34-28 IMO. You?
Re: MBKRoger's Football: 98-76 (57%) +16.52 Units *Week 4 bets in* yes, I like it but I am nervous as with 99% of my opinions
Re: MBKRoger's Football: 98-76 (57%) +16.52 Units *Week 4 bets in* Vanderbilt -6.5 UTEP +37 Iowa +10 UL Lafayette +28.5
MBKRogers/ TN Football Thread 146-109 (57%), + 28.14 Okay, so all the bets through week 4 were in my previous thread: http://www.the-mainboard.com/index.php/topic,14845.0.html I lost my password before and can't remember what e-mail I used. This is MBKRogers under my new name. All bets were posted in the previous thread. This will be my new thread. College Football Week W L Net Result Week 1 20 24 -6.3 Week 2 39 22 16.32 Week 3 31 23 5.7 Week 4 38 29 6.02 Total 128 98 +21.74 NFl Week W L Net Result Week 2 3 3 0 Week 3 3 4 -1.2 Week 4 12 4 7.6 Total 18 11 6.4 Total Football: 146-109 (57%), + 28.14 I didn't hit any openers this week, so this will be a much smaller week.
Re: MBKRogers/ TN Football Thread 146-109 (57%), + 28.14 Week 5 Georgia -2.5 Syracuse +7 Minnesota -2 Buffalo +8.5 Army -6 Georgia Tech -4 Michigan State +1 (+100) Northern Illinois -6.5 Bowling Green -2.5 UNLV +3.5 Idaho +4 Iowa State -2 Memphis +7.5 (+100) New Mexico +35.5 (+103) Rice +14.5 SMU +28 (-113) SDSt -16.5 (-105) Games I am waiting on/ Numbers I want WVU -17 Louisville +7 Utah State +24.5 Marshall +3 Northwestern +7.5 Wake Forest +3 Maryland +14 Virginia +14.5 Ball State +7 (or moneyline) Kentucky +17.5 Vady +10 Miami (OH) +28.5 Notre Dame -12.5 Duke +17.5 Miami +7.5 Illinois +7.5 Oregon State ML Washington State +34 ucla/stanford… Indiana +17.5 Ark TAM Overrr Arkansas +2 Tennessee PK Cal ML? Or +4.5 +100? UTEP +17 Iowa/Ark State Under?
Re: MBKRogers/ TN Football Thread 146-109 (57%), + 28.14 NFL 6-PT Even money (+100) teasers Jax +8.5/ Balt +8.5 100 Jax +8.5/ Wash -1 100 Jax +8.5/ Miami +8.5 100 Jax +8.5/ Denver +8.5 100 Balt +8.5/ Wash -1 100 Balt +8.5/ Miami +8.5 100 Balt +8.5/ Denver +8.5 100 Wash -1/ Miami +8.5 100 Wash -1/ Denver +8.5 100 Miami +8.5/ Denver +8.5 100 NE -1 (-113) 113 KC +10 110 New Orleans -6.5 (-107) 107 Pitt -6 110
Re: MBKRogers/ TN Football Thread 146-109 (57%), + 28.14 very pleased to see you on Buffalo and Idaho as well.. (funny that I asked about Indiana and Idaho last week, and both went on to extend to 4-0 ATS....And BOTH should have won their games outright)...I'm on Idaho until someone catches on..
Re: MBKRogers/ TN Football Thread 146-109 (57%), + 28.14 loved temple last week. I like Idaho as a home team, reluctant as a road team. Indiana scared me last week and I never got on b/c no 21.5
Re: MBKRogers/ TN Football Thread 146-109 (57%), + 28.14 Can someone give me a reason why you guys are taking Ball St against Toledo thanks
Re: MBKRogers/ TN Football Thread 146-109 (57%), + 28.14 Toledo is overrated, but I have not played them yet.
Re: MBKRogers/ TN Football Thread 146-109 (57%), + 28.14 Toledo may be overrated but Ball st. is downright miserable......am I not right here? I think i am the only person who likes Toledo here.
Re: MBKRogers/ TN Football Thread 146-109 (57%), + 28.14 West Virginia -16.5 (-103) UAB +10 Louisville +7 Utah State +24.5 USF/ Syracuse Under 46.5 Colorado Under 55 Marshall +120 Northwestern +7.5 NCST/ Wake Over 46 Clemson/ Maryland Under 48.5 Virginia +14 Virginia Under 42.5 Ball State +180 Miami (OH) +29 Notre Dame -12.5 Duke +17 Alabama/ Kentucky Under 47 Miami +7.5 E. Mich +215 LSU/ UGA Over 51.5 Gtech/ MisSt. Over 46 Oklahoma/ Miami Under 49.5 Illinois +7.5 (+100) Michigan +127 Oregon State +171 UCF -7 (-101) Texas Tech -35 (+100) Arkansas PK +100 Arkansas/ T A&M Over 66.6 Tennessee -1.5 Cal +4.5 +100 Arkansas State +21.5 Ark State/ Iowa Under 45 +100 Still want Maryland +14 Kentucky +17.5 Vady +10 Washington State +34 ucla/stanford… Indiana +17.5 UTEP +17
Re: MBKRogers/ TN Football Thread 146-109 (57%), + 28.14 Damn WVU and their fucking gayness. Adding 6 pt even money 2 team teasers NYG -2.5/ Jax +8.5 NYG -2.5/ Balt +8.5 NYG -2.5/ Wash -1.5 NYG -2.5/ Miami +8.5 NYG -2.5/ Denver +8.5 HOU -2.5/ NYG -2.5 HOU -2.5/ Jax +8.5 HOU -2.5/ Balt +8.5 HOU -2.5/ Wash -1.5 HOU -2.5/ Miami +8.5 HOU -2.5/ Denver +8.5
Re: MBKRogers/ TN Football Thread 146-109 (57%), + 28.14 Vady +10 -104 Washington State +35 -106 Indiana +17.5 -106