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Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by Tobias, Feb 22, 2018.
Early teens? Damn, you got an early start.
Runs in the family
Hot start to the day and the NBA dogs are looking good so far!! Now that I have a few drinks in me the Kings +3 are making a lot more sense..
How bout those jackets!!!
i listened to my gut on uva being too good to be true and took the cards. didnt do the same for state/gt
even on the day tho bc the cavs are toast
Took these along with the Manchester City, UAB 1H, and GT bets mentioned earlier. 6-0 so far and Crabbe has 9 pts through one quarter.
I did end up taking the Kings but I figured they would be wearing those pimp light blue uniforms. They came out in black, fucked.
Nice pick fading the Wahoos. Being a contrarian will usually pay off in the long run betting across all sports. If 70% of the public is backing Team A and the lines moves two points in the other direction, I am betting Team B every single time. The key is to not let it get to your head when you miss a few of them.
devine and i are taking Washington -3 for late night paction
join us bb
I have to pass on that one due to Reverse Line Movement. Good luck though boys, fuck em up
Holy fuck...that one goes in the bad beats thread. Sorry boys.
Glad I didn’t take the t wolves but also mad I didn’t take the trailblazers second half, so that’s a wash.
8-0 day on posted plays, I’ll try not to fuck it up tomorrow.
I want to take Pistons ML -140 @ magic so badly but it is such a trap. Feels like if I don't buy the ticket then they will cruise, but if I do Fournier will drop 35
EDIT: Fuck it, I am in for 1U. Last night all the big public plays were losers (Cleveland, Miami, Brooklyn), maybe ol Joe Public is due for a win.
initial leans ----
I don't foresee any make-or-break line movement between now and 5pm so I am going to see where the money is coming in on these and hope that we're on the minority side.
Detroit ML -140
Toronto -2 -150
GSW/ATL Under 226
Several very square plays, which goes against my betting morals, but as I mentioned earlier I feel like public players are due to cash a few tickets tonight after getting their asses whipped yesterday evening. I would not recommend tailing tonight, I don't love the card but couldn't avoid betting volume after an undefeated Thursday.
Good luck boys. Clear eyes, full heart, etc.
Pistons blow a 7 point lead down the stretch and have scored a whopping 0 points through 4 minutes of OT. Tough beat but shouldn’t have bet into a trap.
Jesus Christ warriors just dicked around and blew the cover too. Tough night
Edit: they dicked around enough to let the hawks back in to the game, fouling ensues, and the under is fucked too.
Edit 2: the under held up but fucked tonight.
Raptors currently collapsing
Highs and lows
What a lame night. 2-3 finish but should have been 4-1.
Per espn, the Pistons has an 89.6% win probability with FOUR FUCKING MINUTES TO GO up 7.
Dallas (-1) had a 91% win probability up 11 with 10 minutes to go.
Warriors were up 14 with 4 to go but I’m not even going to butch about that.
Rockets ML/Purdue ML/Duke ML/Jazz ML/Virginia ML parlay +195
Also took Jazz +5 forgot to list that.
*currently 13-13. Regardless, late listing so lacks credibility. My bad
2-2, +0.6 units on the night
Not betting on the thunder is so hard
Wizards line a sucker line tonight?
80% of the public backing them...
Suns continue to cash tickets (barring a meltdown in these last six minutes)
I’m playing Bucks, Pacers, Raptors
May have just jinxed Los Suns
Need them to keep scoring.
I have over 224 and I’m kicking myself for not taking the live under 236 in 3Q. Time to sweat this one out.
Suns must be tired everything is short
One thing i love doing, on Bookmaker they give you live other baskeball and taking Under in Quarters. Just keep track of the game and get a good number. Make some good money on that.
FUERZA REGIA DE MONTEREY at MOGI DAS CRUZES
3/4/2018 5:15:29 PM
Another positive day Sunday. Had Boston and Portland last night but didn’t post.
Tobias I think we are supposed to be backing Charlotte tonight. The public is hammering Philly and Embiid likely won’t play. Kemba and Dwight should both feast.
Charlotte +3 (-125)
Toronto -12 (-120)
OKC +5 (-125) (TwoPoor i can’t fucking help myself)
EDIT: Doesn’t look like Embiid is even on the injury report. FUCK IT
Get it together bro
Don’t care how tired Portland is or how bad GSW has been at home as a double-digit favorite, it’s really tough to pass on the Blazers and Dubs, at home, with the public backing sub-.500 teams on the other side. Rare that GSW is the minority play, and says a lot about public perception right now. I’ll take both and see what happens.
Guys, I have a problem...I can’t stop losing money on the Thunder. Is there like an OKC-specific gambling help line that I can call?
1-2 on posted picks, hit live over 211 and 220 (luckily) to break even going into the night session. I lean LAC but am staying away from the TNT game
I've tried to tell you man
fuck the thunder
EDIT: apparently it didn’t DP. Played Denver (-1/2), Pistons (+7 -135) and Utah ML (-145)
Hedged pistons with raptors +7 at half and just hedged again with raptors -1.5
Love the pistons tonight. Big on -175, also took spread at -4 -120
2-0 on the night
Suns 1H +6 -115
Suns +12 -135
Profitable night, also hit on Tatum over 20.5 total points+rebounds and Celtics first to 20.
Just hedged Suns +12 with Celtics -8.5 live, would love to hit the middle but would gladly walk away 5-1.
The Suns have been so good to me this year.
Damn, suns hit a three with 14 seconds to go go cut it to 8 then didn’t foul!!! Almost hit a middle for a perfect 6-0 night. Should have stuck with my gut!!
Heat +4 -120. LeBron has not been kind to me this year but I love this bet (not to mention the RLM).
I want to bet the Spurs but think I will stay away, you just never know what you're getting when the Wizards take the court.
Pacers 2H -9 (even for game)
2-0 on posted plays but caught a really shitty break on a Bucks bet, they absolutely fell apart down the stretch. Really dislike them.
running hot, let's keep it going
Hornets ML -115
Tobias these are plays you would enjoy
i won’t be making that bet bc there is nothing that involves the hornets that i could possibly enjoy
sam shakusky how are the warriors only -2 tonight against the pacers? 80% of the public on them so it seems too good to be true
Sportsbook BEGGING you to take the Raptors on Friday. Making the Wizards a 2 point favorite
Hard for me not to jump on the Cavs tonight
I only play totals on nba. Been doing it since college.
Hard for me not to take the raptors in a nice spot tonight with a large play. What's the deal here?
As a fan I am bias. If you put history into the mix, I would never take the Raptors in the playoffs. But this year just seems different. If they come out and beat them again at home this will show everyone this isn't the same old Raptors. I just cant trust them yet.
BTW the totals market has changed for you eh. 10 years ago you were getting totals for Memphis & San Antonio games in the high 170s. Completely different game now
Completely. It's changed over the past 3 years. It's be a rocky adjustment. Overs were very plentiful when I'd make a play. That's all I played for a while (find a specific spot you like and are good at and stick with etc), but vegas adjusted and I'm playing unders now.
Going to the Wiz Raptors game tonight with zero rooting interest. Give me a total, don't want to have to bet against the home team and be that guy.