Why would you ignore the market cycle? Covid 2020 gives you a plain as day "bottom" for all asset classes during global panic. Go back with perfect hindsight. What asset class would you buy? And if you think central banks are eventually going to have to pivot back to looser monetary policy (b/c duh and lol at hiking much above what they're at now without breaking global financial markets), then what asset would you buy? Or just realize that the 200 WMA of btc is up and to the right and dollar cost averaging into an asset that performs orders of magnitude better than damn near any other asset class during loose monetary policy is a pretty simple thesis.