Had a tornado in Palm Coast (Florida) this morning, about an hour north of me, storms didn't appear that bad but the damage is legit
Weathermen/women all nearly obsolete now per WaPo. Why your weather forecasts may soon become more accurate Google has produced a weather forecasting model using artificial intelligence with better accuracy, faster speed and lower costs, study finds November 14, 2023 at 10:00 a.m. EST GraphCast forecast of atmospheric pressure. (Google DeepMind) A new computer model to predict the weather built by Google and powered by artificial intelligence consistently outperforms and is many times faster than government models that have existed for decades and involved hundreds of millions of dollars in investment, according to a study published Tuesday. The Google model even displayed accuracy superior to the “European model,” widely considered the gold standard. The study, published in the journal Science, showed the AI model to be more accurate for forecasts of both day-to-day weather and extreme events, such as hurricanes and intense heat and cold. Its stellar performance and promising results from other AI models like it may signify the start of a new era for weather prediction, although experts say it doesn’t mean AI is ready to replace all traditional forecasting methods. Google DeepMind’s AI model, named “GraphCast,” was trained on nearly 40 years of historical data and can make a 10-day forecast at six-hour intervals for locations spread around the globe in less than a minute on a computer the size of a small box. It takes a traditional model an hour or more on a supercomputer the size of a school bus to accomplish the same feat. GraphCast was about 10 percent more accurate than the European model on more than 90 percent of the weather variables evaluated. The study’s results are similar to those in an academic article published in August to the online database arXiv. “To be competitive with arguably the best global prediction system, if not outperforming it, is astonishing,” Aaron Hill, lead developer of Colorado State University’s machine learning prediction system, said in an email. “You can safely add GraphCast to a growing list of AI-based weather prediction models that should see continued evaluation for their application in industry, research and operational forecasting.” AI weather models have drawn increasing attention from government weather agencies because of their speed, efficiency and potential cost savings.
Currently reading a paper on the 26-28 April 2011 outbreak. An estimated 300 tornadoes over 19 states. Of those 300 tornadoes, 33 had pathlengths exceeding 25 miles, 8 had pathlengths >50 miles, and 3 had pathlengths > 100 miles. 64 were rated strong (ef2-3) and 15 were rated violent (ef4-5). Absolutely nuts
They just mentioned tracking some debris clouds or whatever but I wasn’t in the room to see where it was.
They just said there was a large, violent one on the ground in Madison TN just north of me. Hit right at night and in an area with a lot of shopping areas. So many people were out shopping and can’t see the thing since it’s night. It could be really bad there.