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Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FriendsofJtyler, Sep 30, 2012.
Good tool I came across:
Thanks for posting that.
Absolutely. It's one of my favorite bets. Win Win.
In a big game, bet against your team. Nothing crazy, just enough to make a loss a little better and a win is still a win is big game for your team.
I basically broke even, but I felt like shit doing it. I only place my bets shortly before the games (owing to being overseas and having to use my brother as my bookie) and for some reason I jumped on some of the earlier games at the last minute and promptly dug myself into a hole. Then I got nervous about all of my later bets and only placed a few of them. I hit on all of those, but wouldn't you know it that I would have hit damn near every single one of the games I'd circled. I should have just stuck to my original plan. No more impulse bets from me!
I still like this under fwiw.
Like the Under 45.5 in TCU/ISU game. Both teams play good defense and both have had some offensive struggles this year
I've bet Penn State every game this year and am 4-1 in doing so. I like them this week at -3
My leans this week:
Utah St. +7 @ BYU
Arkansas St. (pick) @ FIU
Duke -1.5 v. Virginia
UCLA -2.5 @ Cal
The worst feeling in the world is when you lose the game but cover the spread when you bet against your team.
texas will limit WVU offensive snaps with ball control. it held oklahoma state well under its average.
oklahoma state was still able to score alot bc they hammered us with their run game (we had shit tons of missed tackles, and at least 2 led directly to long TD runs). WVU running game is non existent.
wait for this # to go up then jump on under.
I watched Texas give up 31 points to Ole Miss. I'd take the over against WVU if it was 80.
So did I. Where did you play?
But my goal is to get enough sports gambling then move to Vegas and do it for a living. I know its dumb but its something I want to do
i have to think vegas has accounted for the fact that wvu scored 70 last week, and texas has scored 45 and 60 something in the previous two weeks.
they know people are going to bet the over.
Im more of a tourney player. made 22k on FTP when I was 19. Played alot of 1-2 cash games that acted like 2-5 tables at local dog tracks and crazy 1-2 home games where there is 5k on the table by 5am. my first tourney in vegas I chopped for 4k. One of my poker friends is John Dolan( he was a local dealer before he cashed big online and started playing full time in Biloxi and doing the WSOP circuit and eventually placing 6th in the WSOP Main Event and has made 1 mil this year. have a couple other friends that have alot of 20-60k cashes. Our big problem is we are a bunch of degenerate gamblers and blow it on stupid shit
my general rule is that if a total is in the 70s or higher, take the over or nothing at all. they set the total that high for a reason, and I'd be willing to bet it hits more often than not when it's that high. I'm looking at you MAACtion weekdays
anyone acting on USC-UTAH
Yeah, I think that's true with every over/under, though. I'm certainly aware that there's a risk, but I think a single score game in the high 30's and low 40's is hardly unrealistic. I'd be more shocked if both teams stayed under 38 when we're talking about the 63rd and 108th scoring defenses facing the 3rd and 9th scoring offenses.
This. Old roommate used to play at cash games all over town and played online damn near everyday for a while. normally played in big guaranteed tourneys. We had about 15 people at my house one night with his laptop streaming to the TV in the den watching him. Had been in a $100K guaranteed (i think) tourney for going on 9 hours. Ended up getting down to heads up vs. 1 guy and they had same amount of chips and split the pot for ~$13K a piece. Won $8K 5 days later in a smaller guaranteed tourney.
Won both of these tourneys in October and was broke again by late January (he didn't have a job though). Just lost 2K a couple times with our bookie and went on a 3 week road trip through biloxi, nola, houston and back through.
edit: Tegg. ^^^ d. forrer ^^^ luckiest poker player I've ever watched / played with regularly. Don't get me wrong he knows his shit, but for the most part he gets handed every dollar he spends by mom/step-dad so when you're not working for the money you're gambling it's a lot easier to throw it in the pot and not give a shit
I like the u48. Curious to hear if others think that looks good too before I pull the trigger.
I took USC at 13.5
I liked it, too.
I predict a 31-10 score... something around there
At 15 we were playing like $10 tourneys with friends then at 18 I went to Hard Rock in Tampa and hit the Bad Beat jackpot for $22k. Thats when I started to become a degen.
Started sports gambling and been doing it ever since.
I don't really understand this whole RLM thing but the total has dropped from 79 to 75 with 92% of the money on the Over. Should I take this as a sign that the Under is (or was) the play?
I've missed a couple Royal Jackpots by one card one of them being for 75k at west palm kennel club and one where my opponent had my card for 30k
yes. wouldnt surprise me if RAS has the under
my thinking is the game is going to be like the WVU-Maryland game in a range of 60-70pts
Yea this was back 4-5 years ago. 2-5 back when the limit was only $100 buy in lol. I was SB with 6d7d and it was limp pot all around. flop was 3d4d5d. I almost shit my pants with that flop. Checked all around. turn was a Kc. checked all around again. river was a 3c. So I am just hoping someone has a 3 to get some money out of this hand. I bet $25, Big Blind raises to $75. everyone folds I had, i shipped for 200 and he called. he had Ad2d. So he got 44k. It was the craziest thing ever.
RAS doesn't release their totals until tomorrow.
RAS = Right Angle Sports? (had to do some googling). Do they have a big effect on the lines? Sorry for the amateur hour questions...I've only recently dived into betting on games after some success in friendly pickem leagues.
that would be so awesome to happen to me
but it wont
I think Texas is much, much more capable of scoring than Maryland. Maryland won the time of possession in that game and had nearly half of their passing yard total through 4 games in that one game. WVU's defense is bad enough to allow Texas to score at will, and I'm confident WVU will score a few as well. I'd like the over more if it was lower, but I'm still a fan of this bet.
Yes. They move every line 3-4 points when one of their plays is released.
yes....they will move a line 3-4 points.
As a 18 year old it was the greatest thing in the world. I bought so much stupid shit. Wish I'd have been smarter and saved some haha
Put the house on Alabama in 2007 and we almost beat them. I felt like a beaten dog.
Micheal Bennet (uga's #1 wr) done for the year. acl
I liked Syracuse earlier this week and it's moved 3 or 4 points (depending on the book) since open across 0.
Didn't see any big injuries. Has to be a monster steam move backing the Orange.
Tailed that steam and took Syracuse at pickem.
Texas -7***. I cannot help but think this is Texas v. Texas Tech. For many years under Leach and some Holgerson, Tech would roll teams into town with ridiculously efficient passing offenses, crap defenses, and lots of hype for the game. And then Texas would roll.
The fact that the line is so high is a good thing. I think people have seen the Texas D underperform all year, and WVU put up ridiculous numbers, and that will result in a close game.
WVU will score, that is inevitable. But I think we have enough on D to create issues for WVU, and we have the perfect type of offense to control the ball and take it out of Smith's hands.
I am on your side, but Holgerson is much better now than Leach was at Tech. He has adapted his Offense to in ways that Leach wont. Again, I will be on Texas because the public is all over WV, dog, and higher ranked.
I'm on Texas as well. Mostly bc I think Wv is a bad football team.
WVU is a bad football team? Really? They have the #3 offense in the country and best player in the country right now. Bad defense, absolutely.
Will lose 3 or 4 times over the next couple of months imo
agree....the leach/Holgerson offense is dependent on the QB having a good day. That isnt possible for 12 games a year. At OSU, they could run the ball to bail out the QB. At WV, not so much.
That will be the game the average Joe in Vegas will bet WVU all day and the sharps will be on Texas
Agree. Lower ranked team favored over higher ranked team by a touchdown and without their starting RB. Squares will be all over WVU. With that line being that high, Vegas wants joe public to back the Mountaineers.
some of those games OU lost straight up. but i would say the majority of the time i bet against them, they have won the game, but not covered the spread.
Tech has moved to +6.
Iowa St has dropped to +10
I'm quickly turning into a degenerate:
TCU - Iowa State u44.5
Utah St - BYU u46
Utah St +6.5 (BYU)
La-Monroe - MTSU o66.5
Arkansas - Auburn u54.5
Penn St -3 (Northwestern)
Kansas St -24 (Kansas)
A&M -12 (Ole Miss)
A&M - Ole Miss u66.5
Washington +24.5 (Oregon)
Duke -1.5 (UVA)
Vandy - Missouri u44.5
Texas -7 (WVU)