Week 8 and a little of 9 too

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by TLankAU, Oct 17, 2011.

  1. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
    Donor

    yeah I'm cutting back to limit the # of games I pick and put more money on them. it seems to work better for me than smaller amounts spread around, lol
     
  2. Joey Freshwater

    Joey Freshwater Slingin The Pipe Since 75
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    Alabama Crimson Tide

    lol yeahhhhh I learned that too ha.
     
  3. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
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    Heh, especially if its two shitty teams I don't care about.

    Anyway, here's a screenshot I took of the odds on betonline.com to win the BCS this season. Obviously a few have been mathematically eliminated. It'll be interesting to see how much that changes up after this weekend's games.

    [​IMG]
     
  4. Joey Freshwater

    Joey Freshwater Slingin The Pipe Since 75
    Donor
    Alabama Crimson Tide

    Wow, Boise St with a better chance than Clemson? Hmm..
     
  5. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
    Donor TMB OG

    GT gets clemson this weekend.
     
  6. Joey Freshwater

    Joey Freshwater Slingin The Pipe Since 75
    Donor
    Alabama Crimson Tide

    I disagree. Georgia Tech may score on Clemson because I'm not so sure that Clemson can stop Georgia Tech all game but Clemson will score all game as well. I think that though Clemson won't stop Georgia Tech all game, they will get 2-4 stops through the game, whereas I'm not sure Georgia Tech can do that with Clemson. Clemson is as talented on offense as anyone in the country. Georgia Tech isn't. They are one dimensional. Once Clemson slow the run down and makes Washington throw, I think that's when Clemson pulls away. Washington is prone to turnovers here lately, not accurate and Clemson may not have a great defense but they seem to get turnovers and get better as the game goes.
     
  7. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
    Donor TMB OG

    Good luck to you. I got GT at +6 when it opened. If you are going to play on Clem, keep waiting. you can get 3.5 now. Wofford averaged almost 5 yards per rush against Clem, running the triple option. There is a reason this line is so low after Clem destroyed UNC and GaTech got destoryed by Miami. GT may not cover, but they are the play if you play on this game.
     
  8. Joey Freshwater

    Joey Freshwater Slingin The Pipe Since 75
    Donor
    Alabama Crimson Tide

    Oh I'm not playing the game. I haven't touched a Clemson game all year but I'm just saying I don't think Georgia Tech has the offense to keep up in this game. If the line is down to 3.5 that's tempting but I'll still stay away because...well...it's Clemson.
     
  9. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
    Donor TMB OG

    yup...that is what i am counting on. A "Clemson" game this week, on prime time, under the lights in Atlanta.
     
  10. Joey Freshwater

    Joey Freshwater Slingin The Pipe Since 75
    Donor
    Alabama Crimson Tide

    Ha, very possible. This is a game they should win, but they are Clemson. So they will choke and it will be the year their coach is on the hot seat before they are good again.
     
  11. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    Think people are vastly overplaying the Wofford game into the equation. It's pretty well known from insiders that Clemson spent veryyyy little time preparing for Wofford and focused much of that week on getting ready for Auburn.
     
  12. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    if we're gonna use "what they did against so and so" type arguments, GT lost to virginia. virginia

    virginia
     
  13. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
    Donor TMB OG

    yup....all the more reason to see the line and think something is up.
     
  14. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    i think the line has to do with the thought process "clemson gonna blow a game sooner or later"
     
  15. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
    Donor TMB OG

    georgia tech just lost to miami, and it wasn't close. think about that for one second.

    clemson will win by double digits, and it would not surprise me to see a 24 point + win.
     
  16. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
    Donor

    b b- b- b-but law of averages ....

    even if Tech is starting a younger, possibly more physically talented QB, it would be his first start and against a Top 10 team at home. If I touched the game, I think I'd take Clemson to win and buy the spread down another point to -2.5
     
  17. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
    Donor TMB OG

    Vegas doesn't like to give away money. The obvious play is Clemson, so you have to ask why? Again, Clem might win by 20+. If they do, Vegas will continue to take a bath. However, they build hotels off of these types of games.
     
  18. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    Under 48.5 miami/virginia
    Houston -27.5

    + parlay the two
     
  19. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
    Donor

    They can make money off it a lot of ways though, people taking Tech as an underdog, points spread on either team, over/under, etc. They'll make $$ no matter what.
     
  20. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
    Donor TMB OG

    85% of bets are on Clemson and 96% of parlays are on Clemson. If they cover, Vegas takes a bath.
     
  21. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
    Donor

    85%'s not bad, the 96% would be, especially if everything else in everyone's parlays hit.
     
  22. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    which site do you look at for #s? Vegas Insider? Seen a few diff % numbers folks on boards are throwing out
     
  23. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    only true if the money is split.
     
  24. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
    Donor

    or if most of the public is making what turns out to be the wrong betting choices. like with the NFL, if most of the public is taking the over on games and home teams to beat the spread, if they're wrong this weekend then vegas would make money whereas earlier in the season they were getting killed.
     
  25. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    Which in this case would be if Clemson loses.
     
    Clubber Lang likes this.
  26. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
    Donor TMB OG

    sportsinsights.com
     
  27. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
    Donor

    Even has the reflections under the phone & laptop, very Web 2.0 design.

    Actually, I like it once I got into viewing the spreadsheet for games. Didn't realize I had to doubleclick a line to see a more full view of it, but that's a nice feature.
     
  28. tnvols

    tnvols New Member
    TMB OG

    This week I am on a lot of favorites, hopefully it pans out...

    East Carolina -17
    Miami Ohio -4
    UGA -3
    Hawaii -7
    Stanford -8
     
  29. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
    Donor

    Damnit, I can't get a good read on the Argonauts-Blue Bombers game tonight. Going to have to not play it.
     
  30. InGogueWeTrust

    InGogueWeTrust Well-Known Member

    big fan of Clemson and Arky this weekend. other plays: Penn, A&M, Wisc, Stan -7, Miss St, Hawaii, UGA
     
  31. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
    Donor TMB OG

    :smug:
     
    Clubber Lang likes this.
  32. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
    Donor

    not how i expected the game to go, but still good call on that one. ended up going with the under, the team had complained about being tired past few weeks and needed a bye week earlier in the season, just didn't see them getting into a 62 total points shootout with paul johnson running the ball to keep them off the field. 5 October games is a bit brutal for any team. Can probably pull a play similar to it with a NFL team with a late-season bye week (new orleans).

    this ended up being an up and down day, hit on a few points totals and spreads, think i'm ahead like $8 total, lol
     
  33. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    Each week that passes, LV is catching up from first 4-5 where public killed them.
     
  34. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
    Donor TMB OG

    Yup. Hope public stays all over Lsu.
     
  35. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    I took LSU at +7 a week ago...would love to middle it.