Week Night games: Week 12

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FadeMe, Nov 1, 2011.

  1. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
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    Line started at UCF -3. Not at UCF -1.5. Seems like public road underdog to me.
     
  2. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    I could be nuts...but here is my card.

    Miami +14.5
    Miami U 48
    UCF -2
    UCF U 49
    FSU/BC U 46
     
  3. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    I haven't finalized it yet, but I think my plays will be:

    Akron +14
    UCF -1.5
    UCF OVER 49
    BC +14.5
    FSU under 46
     
  4. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    public is determined by percentage not line movement...but yes...it seems to be...so I made a play on ucf.
     
  5. Tricky Gator

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    Florida Gators

    is the fsu game the only game that will be on tv?
     
  6. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    I thought UCF was on ESPNU?
     
  7. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
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    it's on cbssportsnetwork here.

    probably idiotic of me, but took the over 46 on FSU-BC. seems like the type of team where FSU blows them out gets return TD's and pick 6 TD's.
     
  8. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    oh well..can't win em all.
     
  9. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
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    yeeeahh, so why not fsu -14.

    this was a flat out steal.
     
  10. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    Really glad I talked myself into betting FSU- 7 1/2 for the half.
     
    Clubber Lang likes this.
  11. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
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    indeed. they must have thought the whole game would have played out as ugly and slow as the first 5 minutes did. shit, might even see a wild BC score here if they can hold on in the red zone.
     
  12. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    3-2 works for me.
     
  13. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Rough night last night for me. There's always tonight.

    USC @ Colorado +21/57.5

    Central Michigan @ Kent State -1.5/43.5

    When I looked last night, CMU was a public road underdog. I'll probably play them. USC should run through CU. The Buffs just aren't very good.

    First glance, I like USC and Kent State, and looking at the under in the USC game.
     
  14. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
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    80% on USC, yet line has gone down .5. Take Colorado.
     
  15. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    yea colorado has lost 6 straight ATS. figure they gotta cover eventually right?
     
  16. Tricky Gator

    Donor TMB OG
    Florida Gators

    besides this board do yall use any other sites to get betting tips?
     
  17. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    madjacksports.com: thunder, LBD, nbakid, boxandone are all very solid regular posters there

    therxforum.com: can go to the "service plays" forum and get all the Tout picks that normally have to be paid for. on the CFB forum I really only look at FTK69 he made a killing for me in bowl season last year and is doing very well again this year

    covers.com is a shit show with all the people there trying to gain credibility as a good capper
     
  18. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    I find a lot of sites are just guys not much more versed than myself, taking themselves too seriously...at the end of the day, it's betting on sports...it's not that big of a deal...obviously a lot of it comes from the nature of the exercise being very egocentric and the level of self-satisfaction that comes from a winning streak is greater than most other activities where you probably had help, etc...Anyway, I like the conversations, so I make the rounds to various boards..

    Rxforum
    SBR

    mostly.
     
  19. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    Lot of truth there. 99% of posters on sportsbetting boards are average joes like us that post picks for fun. there are a few guys out there that win on a consistent basis year after year. normally if you make an intro thread and ask, people will be honest and tell you who the legitimate winners are on the board
     
  20. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    Tonight...I am on Kent -1** and U 43** and Colorado +21
     
  21. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    Definitely like Kent....will stay away from Crado, though I think they may be the closest to lock the entire week.
     
  22. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    they fit a bunch of angles....hope for an ugly back door cover
     
  23. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Covers was so much better 3-4 years ago. Now, it's ridiculous, and most of the people I followed have left and gone to other sites. It helps when places like here have people willing to share information that isn't available to everyone. And, outside one crazy 3-page argument in King's thread, everyone is here to help and try to win.

    I just try to read as much info as I can and make the best decision from what I gather.
     
  24. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    RUSH is the only person I look at on Covers. but he's been cold this year
     
  25. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    My book has dropped the line 1.5 points. I could see USC struggling to over last week's loos to Stanford. USC is 102nd in the nation in pass defense. That's really all CU has going for them right now.
     
  26. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    He's been really cold. I was just telling my old roommate last night that I don't remember the last time I hadn't seen him post a winner. And I think he posted a winner last night. I think you might know my old roommate. He was a Sigma Chi.
     
  27. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

  28. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
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    Alabama Crimson TideNew England Patriots

    I spend my time between CTG and theRX. TheRX has lost a lot of sincere talent over the past few years and seems to be moving into Covers territory as far as being overrun with idiots. I just started at CTG this year, and the quality of discussion over there is very good. For whatever reason, I haven't spent much time at SBR
     
  29. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

  30. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    that didnt go so well.....on to tomorrow. hope the dogs are barking!
     
  31. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    well, if Kiffin doesn't go for it on on 4th and 3, you probably get a backdoor.
     
  32. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Yeah, I already didn't like Kiffin. After last night, I hate him now!
     
  33. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
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    Probably also helps that no one here is betting tens of thousands across multiple sites either. That alone would make me not wanna share any info at all w/ anyone.

    Is TheRX one that is/was run by a guy who called himself The Doctor back in the late 90's/early 2000's?
     
  34. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Week 11: Full of MAC games

    11/8/11

    Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green +5/65.5
    Points should be scored in this game. Neither defense is very good. NIU's offense is very balanced. BGSU is a decent passing team. I like the over. I lean towards NIU, but I don't like betting against the home dog.

    Western Michigan @ Toledo -11.5/69
    It's really hard for me to see how this game stays under 80. Both offenses are very good, with good balance. Neither defense is really good. I feel like I'm repeating myself. I like the over and Western Michigan. Should be an entertaining game.
     
  35. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    small play on BG +6 (bodog). Expo MACtion dog system + a few other guys I look at like it
     
  36. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    parlayed the overs on both games and money line on bowling green. 70 to win 635. also bet the overs.
     
  37. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
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    western michigan +12.5. big play and billy walters has played this as well
     
  38. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    how do you know billy walters picks?
     
  39. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
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    i get them from time to time from a friend who would know.
     
  40. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    have heard same thing.

    could just be an internet rumor, bc line didnt move very much. but still.....
     
  41. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
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    it is not a rumor, but i do know it wasn't a large bet
     
  42. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    wasnt doubting you. i have been told some of his plays before only to find out they weren't.
     
  43. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Miami (OH) @ Temple -13/44

    Leaning Miami and the over. Miami throws the ball well and is 4-1 since starting 0-4. Miami can't run the ball, especially against Temple's defense.

    I think this could be another shootout in the MAC. If Miami can slow down Temple's run game and force Coyer to beat them throwing the ball, Miami has a chance to win outright.
    Temple 27- Miami 20
     
  44. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Good night last night.

    Three games tonight:

    Ohio @ Central Michigan +7/59.5

    Houston @ Tulane +34.5/76

    Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech PK//50

    Side Leans: C Mich +7, Houston -34.5, GT PK.

    Totals: Ohio over, UH under, GT over
     
  45. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
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    my guy has UH at 37.5 bc we've been killing him all year on them. what a fuck...i feel like taking it just to spite him.
     
  46. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    After looking at this game a little, I think UH still covers. But there might be 100+ points scored in this game.
     
  47. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
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    Tulane won't score more than 20
     
  48. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    My reasoning is UH might score 70 which would give Tulane a bunch of possessions. UH's defense is decent, but I wouldn't be surprised to see Tulane score 24-28. I think the game will hit the over.
     
  49. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    Got 2 units on UH-34 1/2. And a 3 team parlay with UH-34 1/2, Ga Tech and the over at 46 for the game.
     
  50. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Plays: Houston -34.5
    Ohio -6.5
    Ga Tech +1.5
    Ohio over 58.5
    Ga Tech under 49.5