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Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Dec 15, 2017.
Picks are 2-3, minus a unit plus juice.
When System A is favoring a side by 3+ points, its 5-2 ATS. Its 6-4 overall this year.
I like tech’s motivation. also feel like tech d is underrated and given the time to prepare will be able contain flowers. Plus...Charlie strong.
San Diego st done well against option. Fading army hard.
I’m in 100% agreement with dome here
No pick from me on the Birmingham bowl. Sloppy conditions. Might neutralize Flowers.
I’m here in BHM right now and the rain is almost out of here and they play on turf.
Rain is gonna be gone by 2nd quarte most likely. Still gonna be wet.
Armed Forces Bowl
**San Diego St. -7
With A and B agreeing here surprised it’s not a bigger play.
Hate putting too much on big public favorites. Typically not a good recipe for bowl season.
The in-game feel here screams Texas Tech, but Texas Tech under Kingsbury has a transcendent ability to fuck up, cash in, and completely quit. There's perhaps no coach in history who motivates his players to play like they want him to get fired.
Not to mention Kingsbury himself quits. I've seen them not use their timeouts down 10 with 3 minutes left multiple times this year.
So I can't trust that what I'm seeing here early will continue.
I’m with you on SDSU -6.5. Gonna be a long day for Army D containing their run game. Also like Toledo o61.
Locking these in.
some good live betting opps if you feel this way
USF: "Man, running down their throats was too easy. Let's try throwing some low percentage shots to the endzone in the wetness and into the wind."
Played o59.5 live
Hot take here: Quinton Flowers kind of sucks.
Jesus Christ Texas Tech
This South Florida play calling is really special.
This USF game feels like a double ot blowing past the under type game
Give me all the USF ML +150 right now.
BOOM!! Give me that OVER!
Crazy fucking game
Army is a lot better than San Diego State.
Really think this is worth paying attention to for rest of the way
None for me on the late game.
Fuck that 2 pt conversion by Army
Welp. That sucked. 4-2 now in Bowl picks.
****Fresno St. +2
Sunday, 12/24/2017 8:30 PM
HAWAII BOWL - Aloha Stadium - Honolulu, HI
Fresno State aims for 10th win in Hawaii Bowl
Fresno State coach Jeff Tedford has rejuvenated the Bulldogs' program, similar to how he made California competitive against the Pac-12 powers.
The Bulldogs, historically a struggling program against major competition, head to the Hawaii Bowl to play a competitive Houston program that has a good track record when facing Power 5 opponents.
Tedford is the coach who gives the Bulldogs (9-4) the confidence they need. He led Cal to eight bowl games, winning a school-record five of them.
Fresno State has the opportunity to win a 10th game in the Dec. 24 contest, which was unfathomable to start the season as Tedford took over a program that went 1-11 last year and fired coach Tim DeRuyter four games before then end of the season. The eight-win difference from last year is the greatest increase in the FBS this year.
Tedford played and coached at Fresno State before returning this season.
"Our approach has been about one game at a time the whole time," he said. "It hasn't been about the number of wins. Not everybody has an opportunity to get double-digit wins. We have the opportunity to do that.
"It's still about one game. Now, because it could be No. 10, will that be nice as far as how history records this 2017 year? Yes. But it's still about one win. It's about one more opportunity for us to play together. It's about a chance to send the seniors out successfully. We're looking at it that way, mainly."
Houston (7-4) is also playing under a new coach, Major Applewhite, who is coaching in his first bowl. Making his task even more challenging, Applewhite will handle the offensive play calling in the Hawaii Bowl.
The Cougars are in search of a new offensive coordinator following the departure of Brian Johnson to Florida. Applewhite does not plan to fill Johnson's spot until after the Hawaii Bowl.
"There's a fine line between waiting too long and there's also a fine line between going too fast," Applewhite said. "There's some good prospects. We just want to take our time."
Applewhite is counting on Houston to continue its strong finish to the regular season. The Cougars won three of their past four games.
They have played two Power 5 opponents this season. They beat Arizona, which will be playing in the Foster Farms Bowl. Their 27-24 loss to Texas Tech in September snapped a streak of victories over Power 5 teams that included Oklahoma, Florida State, Louisville twice and Pitt.
The Cougars have overcome the adversity brought to Houston by Hurricane Harvey in early September. Applewhite mentioned the chance to finish the season in a paradise tropical location such as Hawaii is a fitting way to end the turbulent season that also featured three close losses to Texas Tech, No. 25 Memphis (42-38) and Tulsa (20-17).
"I've been to Hawaii and know the hospitality is first-rate, so they'll have an outstanding time," Applewhite said. "I just told the guys that (there are other teams that) go out there with this goal and, at the end of the year, don't get there. So, don't take anything granted.
"Let's finish strong with our finals. Let's finish strong this semester, and then let's go get ready for a great Fresno State team."
Fresno State has not won a bowl game since 2007, when it beat Georgia Tech 40-28 in the Humanitarian Bowl in Boise, Idaho. Its most recent bowl game did not go well -- a 30-6 loss to Rice in Hawaii in 2014 that dropped the school to 10-13 in bowl games.
Houston is 11-13 in bowls and will be playing in one for the fifth straight year.
The Cougars appear to have fit pieces together on the offensive side of the ball while starting their third quarterback this season in D'Eriq King. King, a sophomore, has been more efficient and less turnover-prone than Kyle Allen or Kyle Postma. He has provided Houston with a dynamic dual threat since making his first start Nov. 4 against East Carolina.
King completed 73 percent of his passes for 832 yards with four touchdowns and one interception and rushed 29 times for 212 yards and five touchdowns. He has 15 pass plays of 20 or more yards, including touchdowns of 61, 62 and 75 yards.
"One of the coaches I worked for said, 'If you're not giving it to people that score, what are you doing?' We are going to continue to feature guys like D'Eriq. He's a very tough player," Applewhite said.
Houston defensive tackle Ed Oliver is a 290-pound sophomore who is the Defensive Player of the Year in the American Athletic Conference and won the Outland Trophy on Thursday night as the nation's best interior lineman on offense or defense.
Oliver owns 37.5 tackles for loss in 24 career games.
He will try to attack steady Fresno State quarterback Marcus McMaryion, formerly of Oregon State. McMaryion has only four interceptions in 303 passing attempts.
The spread hasn't mattered yet this bowl season. All underdog covers have been outright wins as well. Was tempted to take Fresno St. +115.
If you can get it at 49 I like the over as well. All books I've seen went from 49 to 51+ in the past hour.
Heart of Dallas Bowl
****WVU/Utah Over 56
Jumping on these now. Both defenses were weak away from home. Yes, WVU missing Grier and RB, but they should able to throw to keep it from becoming a huge blowout favoring the under. I expect a 10-14 pt Utah win. 41-27 area. Utah should be able to move the ball with ease.
Took a little Fresno +135 also
lol great for the over
Fresno not so much
Jesus. We’re gonna lose the over on that stupid unsportsmanlike on the coach
Helllllllll yeaaaaaa had parlay on Fresno plus 3 over 52 and in game Fresno minus 3.5
Count it. One for the good guys
I went ML from the start. Sitting around the fire yelling at my parents house and my mom goes so you gamble now huh
merry Christmas indeed