Only thing that truly makes me think about taking NIU is the fact they played a lot harder non conference schedule.
5-2 best bet = *** N texas L tulane W fresno st W E mich W app st W uab W sd st L marsh*** fiu byu memphis army*** troy la tech*** boise st ga tech cal temple*** miami baylor aub wvu nevada wash st mich va*** alabama*** clem cinn*** pitt mich st mizzou utah texas a&m miss st kentucky lsu washington georgia
More random info I came across Teams that rush the ball with great success have a history of performing very well in bowl games against the point spread. In the last seven seasons, 59 of 70 teams which have ranked in the top ten of rushing yards per game in their respective season have qualified for bowl games. Of the 59 teams, 35 teams have covered the point spread in their bowl game - a win rate of 59.32%, 6.92% above break even. To further press the market inefficiency, bettors can put these teams into teasers. The same 59 teams teased 6.5 points have resulted in a win 47 times - a win rate of 81.35%, 10.25% above break even. Bowl Season Bets (based on article above) 12/15 Georgia Southern PK 12/19 Ohio -3 12/22 Memphis -3 12/22 Army -3 12/26 Georgia Tech -3 12/27 Wisconsin +3.5 12/29 Clemson -11.5 1/1 Central Florida +8