FSUsem's 2017 College Bowl Season Picks & Discussion (Picks: 15-16, System A: 23-16)

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Dec 15, 2017.

  1. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Down to -12.5 now hahaaha
     
  2. RogueDeadGuyAU

    RogueDeadGuyAU Well-Known Member
    Auburn TigersPhiladelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia 76'ersPhiladelphia EaglesAtlanta United

    May just jump on SM ML :awesomeface:
     
  3. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    did some fsu players die or something?
     
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  4. rezy

    rezy Member
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    Looks like we are only going to have 3 wrs on scholarships available
     
  5. rezy

    rezy Member
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    And it’s now at 11.5
     
  6. steamengine

    steamengine I don’t want to press one for English!
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  7. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    i bet fsu at 15 and 13.5...

    i am a fucking idiot.
     
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  8. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    I see Southern Miss at 10.5 at my book. Jesus balls. I'm now considering a big leverage play on So Miss (straight up) in my big money pool. Can gain a game on the field. 5 points of movement in an hour or so. Yeesh.
     
  9. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    i am not sure i have ever seen a steam like this.
     
  10. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Screen Shot 2017-12-27 at 12.36.57 PM.png

    %s have stayed relatively the same.

    Edit: Columns are % of tix on side, % of $ on side, % of tix on total, % of $ on total
     
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  11. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    fsu staying at 7 1H is very interesting.
     
  12. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    some dude on OB saying that the line fell after FSU players not playing was announced. anyone heard this?
     
  13. devine

    devine hi, i am user devine
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    I took fsu -12
     
  14. devine

    devine hi, i am user devine
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    I’m an idiot
     
  15. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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  16. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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  17. devine

    devine hi, i am user devine
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    Everything’s fine
     
  18. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Foster Farms Bowl
    **Purdue +3

    Another system play. Purdue's defense is no joke. They've struggled on offense against teams with good defenses. Arizona does not have a good defense. I like Purdue to keep pace with Arizona and perhaps win this one outright. Unless Tate goes off...

    Screen Shot 2017-12-27 at 12.57.03 PM.png
     
  19. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

     
  20. dome foam

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    pinny at 13. the rest at 11.5. also interesting.
     
  21. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    I think the Purdue ability to stop the run will be the underrated skill here. Also not wild about Arizona away from home. There are lots of teams in the Pac-12 with dramatic home/away splits. Arizona has lost some of its bite away from home.
     
  22. dome foam

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    probably a good opportunity for live betting. i think we will be able to tell very early on if purdue can stop the zone read. if the purdue DEs can't contain, it won't be close.
     
  23. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Thomas not playing has been known, at least by everyone following the team
     
  24. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    yeah i figured that.
     
  25. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Noonie Murray not playing is a new development
     
  26. The Hotch

    The Hotch Well-Known Member
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    Re: Arizona our defense better than years past in the sense that they actually get pressure, sacks, and turnovers from time to time. Very much a bend but don’t break philosophy so Purdue will get yards and points. Defense is very young - three true frosh starters and they’re all pretty good, especially LB Schooler.

    If Purdue’s D can limit our typically good run game Purdue wins. Tate can throw somewhat well but he’s prob not winning this game with his arm, which he’ll need to do if run game limited. Az is 3rd nationally in rushing offense and 110th in passing.

    I’ve done very little research on this game but am curious to see whether UofA comes out with passion/energy after giving away the ASU game and am curious to see how Purdue’s DL plays and what kind of speed the entire defense has. I see one of two outcomes... AZ wins by a couple scores or Purdue wins close... I’m thinking the latter occurs but don’t take my word as gospel.
     
    FSUsem likes this.
  27. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Looking into the game the one area I saw where Arizona's defense can (and needs to) find success is pressuring the QB.
     
  28. bakonole

    bakonole Well-Known Member

    Took the U48.5 in the Independence bowl. Just a fade play based off of Sem's percentages above
     
  29. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    holy fuck fsu :facepalm::facepalm::facepalm::facepalm::facepalm::facepalm::facepalm::facepalm::facepalm:
     
  30. dome foam

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    2 personal foul penalties in first minute.

    punt returner catches ball at the 1.

    i'm dying.
     
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  31. Malik Zulu

    Malik Zulu your girl chose me

    This is classic FSU if you've been following them.

    You can't script more dumb shit in a two minute span.

    At least we tried to block the punt, Jimbo didn't do that in 10 years....he didn't like returning them either, so
     
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  32. Big Aristotle

    Big Aristotle Member

    I flipped and took southern miss +12 and ML.

    LEGGO
     
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  33. Malik Zulu

    Malik Zulu your girl chose me

    For those that took the ML on SoMiss, you might hit a home run there.

    What was the ML at kick?
     
  34. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    FSU is a mess.
     
  35. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    lol this game is already just the worst.
     
  36. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
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    I got it at +375 at around 1130 this am
     
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  37. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    why do i have to be such a degenerate to submit myself to watching this trash. whyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
     
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  38. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    I got it at +435
     
  39. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    does fsu run screens? it would be an auto td.
     
  40. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    FSU will have a hard time moving the ball if Southern Miss figures out where the line of scrimmage is.
     
  41. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    that's right...suck it so miss ML bettors! :dblnick:
     
  42. rezy

    rezy Member
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    Fsu -7 first half going to be in good shape with the missed extra point
     
  43. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    :awesomeface:
     
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  44. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    why in the fuck would you say this?!?!
     
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  45. steamengine

    steamengine I don’t want to press one for English!
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    Oops
     
  46. rezy

    rezy Member
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    I’ll see my self out
     
  47. rezy

    rezy Member
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    I think our -7 is safe now
     
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  48. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    i am so looking forward to the 2H when i can bet so miss and get off this stupid game.
     
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  49. rezy

    rezy Member
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    I have FSU at 11.5 and 14 also, going to let that ride and just double down on the 2H under
     
  50. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    probably a wise move. i think the 2H line will be like FSU -6.5 so it will be enticing to middle.