FSUsem's 2018 College Bowl Season Picks & Discussion (16-16-1, Up One Whole Unit! (minus the juice))

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Dec 14, 2018.

  1. TDCD

    TDCD Handling the Fisher account
    Donor
    Florida State SeminolesConnecticut HuskiesBoston Red SoxNew England Patriots

    I see the sheet is big on UGA but I think I'll pass on that one - statistically they are the play but SEC teams have a track record of mailing it in for non-playoff NY6 games.
     
    bstaple12 likes this.
  2. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    like UCF today.
     
  3. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    Texas line crashing down.
     
  4. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    ***Mississippi St -7
    ***UCF +8
    *****UCF/LSU Over 57.5
    ****Washington +7
    **Georgia -11.5
     
  5. tiger tommy

    tiger tommy Well-Known Member

    Let's finish strong
    :ballin:
     
  6. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Moneyline parlay for Washington and UCF is returning a little over 10:1. Great value for teams going against opponents with suspect motivation.
     
    undrtow and tiger tommy like this.
  7. tiger tommy

    tiger tommy Well-Known Member

    Penn St down to 4.5
     
  8. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Knock on wood if you are with me
    Staff Donor TMB OG
    Auburn TigersLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles RamsAnaheim DucksManchester United

    Joe Burrow likely out could hurt the over. Pick 6 is a silver lining.
     
  9. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    RIP joe burrows
     
  10. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Knock on wood if you are with me
    Staff Donor TMB OG
    Auburn TigersLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles RamsAnaheim DucksManchester United

    These refs are trying to keep LSU in it
     
  11. tiger tommy

    tiger tommy Well-Known Member

  12. CUAngler

    CUAngler Royale with Cheese
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersAtlanta Braves

    Big big big
     
    tiger tommy likes this.
  13. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    UCF sucks
     
    tiger tommy likes this.
  14. GovNole

    GovNole Well-Known Member

    Washington down to +4.5. Big line movement today.
     
  15. animal_mother

    animal_mother Well-Known Member
    Clemson TigersTennessee TitansLiverpool

    Was Washington @ +7 any time today?
     
  16. GovNole

    GovNole Well-Known Member

    Yes, I actually saw it at 7.5
     
    animal_mother likes this.
  17. TDCD

    TDCD Handling the Fisher account
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    Florida State SeminolesConnecticut HuskiesBoston Red SoxNew England Patriots

    I got -120 at +7 on bovada an hour ago
     
    The Hebrew Husker likes this.
  18. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Its +7 on Bovada and like 5.5 on Pinnacle.
     
  19. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Welp lets hope OSU takes the foot off the gas or something, fuck this has been rough.
     
  20. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Please stand and get us outta here with a cover.
     
  21. CUAngler

    CUAngler Royale with Cheese
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersAtlanta Braves

    Nobody breathe
     
  22. GovNole

    GovNole Well-Known Member

    This is 42 seconds from a miracle.
     
  23. TDCD

    TDCD Handling the Fisher account
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    Florida State SeminolesConnecticut HuskiesBoston Red SoxNew England Patriots

    never in doubt.
     
    tiger tommy likes this.
  24. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    My girlfriend is wondering what the fuck is going on because I was laying facedown on the floor when that dude got to like the 40
     
    letan, tiger tommy and TDCD like this.
  25. TDCD

    TDCD Handling the Fisher account
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    Florida State SeminolesConnecticut HuskiesBoston Red SoxNew England Patriots

    nice little run of backdoor covers for me with OU and washington. 2 games I'd written off by halftime
     
    The Hebrew Husker likes this.
  26. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    In all that chaos I forgot I took the under too.
     
    tiger tommy likes this.
  27. CUAngler

    CUAngler Royale with Cheese
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersAtlanta Braves

    Oh yeah. Couldn't have slid a greased needle up my b hole during that return
     
  28. animal_mother

    animal_mother Well-Known Member
    Clemson TigersTennessee TitansLiverpool

    I was too chicken shit to take the live bet @ wash +10.5. Congrats gents
     
  29. GovNole

    GovNole Well-Known Member

    Anyone playing 2nd half?
     
  30. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    I took the in game under 61.5 after the last score
     
    tiger tommy likes this.
  31. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    hey guys remember this post?
     
  32. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Georgia Bulldogs

    Yeah they can't all be zingers.
     
  33. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Might be time to middle at over 45.5
     
    The Hebrew Husker likes this.
  34. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Georgia Bulldogs

    Fromm's had a shitty game, but Chaney has been so fucking predictable with his playcalling. I'm probably about 95% in my run/pass guesses. Too bad I can't live bet those
     
  35. comrade static

    comrade static i love french fries
    Donor
    Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma Sooners

    No need to talk shit about someone’s gambling picks. If you don’t like or agree with it, make a good argument as to why BEFORE the game happens, or just don’t say anything.
     
  36. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    it was some hilarious homerism. I’ve done it before. just some fun shit talking. why do srs?
     
  37. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    You end up playing this?
     
  38. TDCD

    TDCD Handling the Fisher account
    Donor
    Florida State SeminolesConnecticut HuskiesBoston Red SoxNew England Patriots

    Thinking uga would play well was homerism?

    Keep the shit talking on the other board
     
    comrade static likes this.
  39. TDCD

    TDCD Handling the Fisher account
    Donor
    Florida State SeminolesConnecticut HuskiesBoston Red SoxNew England Patriots

    :badasswolf:

    Ended up going with ut ml. 2019 off to a nice little start
     
    The Hebrew Husker likes this.
  40. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    yessir
     
  41. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Same. I was on tilt after the way my bets went the last few days so I ended the night with:

    1U on Washington/OSU under
    1U on Washington ML
    3U on Washington +7
    1U on Texas ML
    2U on Texas +12.5

    I was so annoyed with betting I basically was like “I’m either winning some money or going back to even for the season...”

    Had some luck go my way.
     
    TDCD likes this.
  42. Ty Cobb

    Ty Cobb Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Does sheet show the totals for Bama/Clemson? I only see line.
     
  43. Craig Pettis

    Craig Pettis The first million is the hardest- Hitler
    Donor
    Memphis TigersTennessee VolunteersSt. Louis CardinalsMemphis GrizzliesMetal

    Any play tonight?
     
    tiger tommy likes this.
  44. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    The o/u avg for tonight is 59.1 so right around the current number of 57. Maybe a little value on the over. Seems like sharp action on the under though since its dropped from 61 despite 2/3rds of bets coming in on the over.
     
  45. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    ****Clemson +5.5
     
  46. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Correction:

    ************************Clemson moneyline

    Wow Saban is getting completely outcoached.
     
    billdozer and animal_mother like this.
  47. tiger tommy

    tiger tommy Well-Known Member

    Thanks for the sheet again this year. See you next year.

    :beerchug:
     
  48. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    *****Louisiana Tech pk em
    *****Vandy/Baylor Over 56

    *****Alabama -13.5
    *****UCF/LSU Over 57.5
    *****NC State +7.5
    ****Clemson +5.5
    ****Washington +7

    ****North Texas +7.5 (injured QB)
    ****Troy +1
    ****Arkansas St. +2
    ****Cincy -6.5

    ****UAB -1
    ****Marshall -2.5

    ****Stanford -3.5

    ***Louisiana +3.5
    ***Marshall/USF Over 51.5
    ***Georgia Tech -6
    ***Virginia +3.5
    ***Michigan -4.5
    ***Michigan/UF Under 51

    ***Oklahoma St./Missouri Under 71.5
    ***Temple -3
    ***Mississippi St -7

    ***FIU/Toledo Over 57.5 (never a doubt :awesomeface:)

    ***Western Michigan +12
    ***Memphis -3.5 (moron coaching staff)
    **App State -7
    **Purdue/Auburn Over 55.5
    **Georgia -11.5
    **Clemson -11.5

    **WashSt/Iowa St Under 56.5

    **Georgia Southern -3


    55 units won
    54 units lost

    ***UCF +8

    16-16-1
     
    GovNole likes this.
  49. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    I'm glad to have navigated through a pretty disastrous season for System A & B. Since the systems are purely statistically driven and don't take into account intangibles like weather, coaching changes, or injuries, I think the increasingly frequent intangible of star players (who are presumably responsible for the positive statistically markers) sitting out of bowl games is resulting in a poor bowl season record. Something to keep an eye on for next year.
     
  50. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG