Official Horse Racing Thread

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by mtsucalico85, Apr 9, 2015.

  1. buckwild

    buckwild #BucketsGetsBuckets
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    So, they do drug test tho? Is it a they don't test before, but do after?
     
  2. Gallant Knight

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    Kentucky is the most lax jurisdiction when it comes to drug testing

    so guessing this was not good if he’s having a press conference in half an hour
     
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  3. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
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    I told my buddy all day to bet against Bob is dumb. He just cheats better. I ended up betting on Mandaloun.
     
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  4. Gallant Knight

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    If Medina is indeed DQ I may file some lawsuits against him
     
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  5. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
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    me too. I want me Mandaloun 100 win bet.
     
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  6. Gallant Knight

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    Medina confirmed drug overage
     
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  7. Paddy Murphy

    Paddy Murphy Well-Known Member
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    Also had Mandaloun win bet. Please add me to class action.
     
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  8. Gallant Knight

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    Baffert not allowed to enter horses at Churchill while investigation is ongoing
     
  9. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
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  10. Bruce Wayne

    Bruce Wayne Billionaire Playboy
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  11. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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  12. Daddy Rabbit

    Daddy Rabbit But the second mouse gets the cheese
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  13. Irish226

    Irish226 Well-Known Member
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    Just looked and I had (2) $1 trifecta wager that had 7-9-14 and a $2 exacta with 7-9. Is there a ballpark estimate input in what those would’ve paid out? I know it’s contingent on the bet pool, but wasn’t sure if there was an easy way to get a decent idea.
     
  14. UKupNorth

    UKupNorth Well-Known Member

    Please add me to class action lawsuit. I also had Mandaloun for $100 to win.
     
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  15. mal630

    mal630 Well-Known Member
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    We won't retroactively get paid on Mandoloun win bets correct?
     
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  16. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
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    Correct, results are final for bet slips.
     
  17. Daddy Rabbit

    Daddy Rabbit But the second mouse gets the cheese
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    #3817 Daddy Rabbit, May 10, 2021
    Last edited: May 10, 2021
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  18. seanofthedead86

    seanofthedead86 Well-Known Member
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    So he's 100% a cheater
     
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  19. Gallant Knight

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    Yes and has been for a long time
     
  20. Daddy Rabbit

    Daddy Rabbit But the second mouse gets the cheese
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  21. bertwing

    bertwing check out the nametag grandma
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  22. Upton^2

    Upton^2 blocked just a park away, but I can't really say
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  23. seanofthedead86

    seanofthedead86 Well-Known Member
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    Baffert cancel cultured himself. Fucking libs.
     
  24. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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  25. Gallant Knight

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    Mike smith is so washed what is Baffert doing
     
  26. seanofthedead86

    seanofthedead86 Well-Known Member
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    Wait, if Baffert admitted Medina Spirit was treated with a banned substance then why does he still get to race in The Preakness?
     
  27. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
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    Do Jockeys get drug tested? Bob probably has him on the proper regiment now.
     
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  28. Gallant Knight

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    Anyone going to the Preakness? I’ll be there
     
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  29. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
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    I will be at the local bar with all the tracks on tv all day so send us some winners.

    Have fun. Hope it’s a great experience for you.
     
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  30. Gallant Knight

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    Spent a bunch of money on the most expensive tickets available so I hope so too!
     
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  31. DuffandMuff

    DuffandMuff Well-Known Member
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    I was at a wedding in Orlando back in March. A bunch of people went to a bar after the wedding party and I struck up a conversation with a guy there. Said he was from Ocala. Horse trainer of course. I asked him, "So Baffert cheats right? He has his horses on roids?"

    Guy just let out an uneasy laugh and didn't say anything. That was enough for me.
     
  32. UKupNorth

    UKupNorth Well-Known Member

    Bump for any plays tomorrow. TIA!
     
  33. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    I don't plan on playing the undercard since I'll be working all day tomorrow. But here are my Preakness thoughts:

    Of the two Baffert's, I definitely prefer Medina Spirit (3) over Concert Tour (10). Baffert horses coming out of the Derby to the Preakness fair much better historically than his new shooters (insert Baffert joke here), and frankly Medina Spirit has just run better races than Concert Tour has. His failure to hold on to 2nd in the Arkansas Derby is a giant red flag to me, and going longer doesn't seem better for him. And that Arkansas Derby is the only time he has faced any adversity. If Concert Tour finishes in the top 2, I will lose. Maybe I could use him in 3rd or 4th in supers, but that is about it.

    Midnight Bourbon (5) seems like the logical alternative to the two Baffert's, but he seems like he is everybody's wise guy horse, and the way things are going, he may go off as 2nd choice to Medina Spirit (as of a couple hours ago, he actually was the early betting favorite). He should be more forwardly placed than he was in the Derby, but I don't think he's as quick as either Baffert horse is. If both him and Medina Spirit are going to be close in price, I'll take Medina Spirit over him pretty comfortably.

    My goal is to try and get one of these two longer shots into the exotics: Risk Taking (9) and France Go de Ina (7). Risk Taking disappointed in the Wood Memorial as the favorite, finishing 7th. He didn't exactly get off to the smoothest of starts that race, but beyond that I didn't think he had a poor trip...he just didn't fire that day for whatever reason. I was a big fan of his coming into and out of the Withers, which he won easily against admittedly a mediocre field. He's one of the few horses where I think going longer will help him in this race, and he's been working well coming into the race. If you can look past his Wood Memorial, I think there is a fair amount to like with him, and his non-effort in the Wood will make him a much more appealing price. I'm not sure how good France Go de Ina is, to be honest. He did have a troubled trip in the UAE Derby, breaking slow and then getting caught in traffic a bit before finishing a non-threatening 6th. He has shown that he can placed a little more forwardly based on his Japanese races, but this is a whole different ball game from a pace perspective. I guess this is more of a "I know what these other horses are, and I'm not interested in them" kind of opinion. He needs to break well, but if he can accomplish that, I'd rather roll the dice at getting him in the number at what may be the longest odds on the board than I would on horses like Unbridled Honor (8), Rombauer (6), or Keepmeinmind (2).

    One final horse to touch on would be Crowded Trade (4). I don't love him, as I have serious distance questions with him as well, and of the two Chad Brown horses, I prefer Risk Taking. I could maybe see using him in 3rd/4th in supers, but that would be the extent of my interest in him, and even that is limited.

    Overall, I have a hard time finding the alternative to beat Medina Spirit, and will lean on him on top pretty heavily in my exotics.

    Preakness selections:
    1. Medina Spirit (3) 9-5
    2. Risk Taking (9) 15-1
    3. Midnight Bourbon (5) 5-1
    4. France Go de Ina (7) 20-1
     
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  34. Gallant Knight

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    If we get 5-2 on Medina that is insanity
     
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  35. Gallant Knight

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    If we get 5-2 on Medina that is insanity
     
  36. Sammy Meatballs

    Sammy Meatballs Pete Gelding
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    its a folding chair with a working restroom at pimlico
     
  37. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Based off of the Black Eyed Susan-Preakness Double will pays, Medina Spirit is the 3rd choice. For a $2 Double, Midnight Bourbon would pay $46.80, Concert Tour would pay $59.60, and Medina Spirit would pay $64.

    I have trouble seeing him not being bet more than Concert Tour at the end of the day, but it seems like it's a realistic scenario that Midnight Bourbon is the favorite, and that is just dumb.
     
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  38. Gallant Knight

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    I’m in the chalet
     
  39. Gallant Knight

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    I mean if he is 3-1 I’ll be betting every dollar I have left on him

    Thats insane this is like a n2x field with the derby winner
     
  40. Sammy Meatballs

    Sammy Meatballs Pete Gelding
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    A folding chair, working restroom and open bar.
     
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  41. Gallant Knight

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    Damn

    1F00CDAC-E6C7-466D-AD1D-E781C4FDD7F2.png 386EBCC9-0366-4522-9B9D-3CD5527DABB0.png
     
  42. Hogview

    Hogview Fan of the Green board, Razorbacks
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  43. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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  44. Gallant Knight

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    People betting on what they want to happen instead of what will happen

    if Hozier runs up the track in the Ske Barton in an hour it might be even more on Medina
     
  45. mal630

    mal630 Well-Known Member
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    Probably going to do a tri box with 5 horses and see what happens.
     
  46. sc_chant

    sc_chant Be A Dog
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    Whos our picks today? Its been a while since I've done horses
     
  47. Gallant Knight

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    Eww
     
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  48. Gallant Knight

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    The chalet is fucking sick
     
  49. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
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    No way Out of Sorts didn’t win the last race at Pimlico. I want to see the photo.
     
  50. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
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    I stand corrected.
     
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