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Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by mtsucalico85, Apr 9, 2015.
I might be drinking and watching TVG betting $2 exactas
I did not have Superfecto at Gulfstream. Not a great start.
I'm not a fan of the current price, but I like Captain Don (2) in this spot. I don't think it will be a slow pace, but I don't think it will be all that fast, either, and I expect him to be on or near the lead. The horses coming out of his last race (Captain Don, Bebop Shoes (3), and Tempt Fate (4)) seem to be taking most of the money, and I just like Captain Don the most of the group (though I would use Tempt Fate in exotics as well). The two price horses that intrigue me are My Golden Diablo (12) and Call Me Derby (10). I prefer My Golden Diablo of the two, but both are usable. My plan will be to play exactas/trifectas centering around Captain Don and My Golden Diablo, along with horses like the 4 and the 10.
I’m Tempting Fate
Horse got all twisted in the gate at Tampa
Wow great ride by the bug
Sister in law has an mfa in art got her to do a couple of quick paintings of us in the winners circle
I like Major Attraction (7) in race 4. Don't think the price difference between him and Bank (11) should be this large, even if Bank did finish ahead of Major Attraction last time out. I am interested in seeing how J Z My Man (8) runs, but I would put him behind the other two. Will just go with a win bet on Major Attraction.
5 American dollars on Quality Warrior
Asmussen saves his best horses for under cards on big days
nor surprising he won both maiden races
Pretty deep allowance field that is the quality of a stakes field. There are several ways to go - horses like Bankit (9), Endorsed (11), and Pirate's Punch (12) all look logical - but I will go with Two Thirty Five (8). He cut back to 1 1/16 miles last time out from his poor performance in the Santa Anita Handicap, and I think that is his best distance. I do expect there to be a more contested pace here, which should benefit him a bit, but he also at least has enough tactical speed to have the chance to get the jump on horses like Bankit or Endorsed, who should come from further back.
I’m on bankit
He'd be second for me.
Chris and Dave about to shock the world
Horses better days are behind him
hell of a claim by Danny Caldwell though
Vic Stauffer is so bad Jesus
I thought he was fine (though not great) in his Hollywood Park days, but definitely a downturn in quality since arriving at Oaklawn.
For Race 6, I don't have a strong opinion in this field. If Friar's Road (4) runs back to his last start, he'll be tough, but he's not the type of horse I want to play at close to even odds. He is the most likely winner, but I'm not betting him at that price. Second Line David (2) is a little interesting to me, even though he is jumping up in class and going blinkers on is not necessarily a strong move for Joe Sharp. I just have trouble finding anyone else I love in this field. Tonaltarian (12) is somewhat interesting, and the distance should be favorable for him, but he has zero early speed. He's more of a exotics play than a win candidate.
Not going to try and beat Gamine (8) here. She looks strong.
Both Gamine and Speech ran huge races there.
Thought Speech had it
I'll go with Benintendi (1) in Race 8. Don't love that he has finished 2nd three straight times as the favorite, but I do like the way he has been working leading into the race, and the price will be much more appetizing than a horse like Moretti (10), who I don't see as materially better than Benintendi.
My horse sleeps with the fishes
Will probably pass this race. Fearless (3) is your most likely winner, but don't really want to take him at even money, and there isn't any other horse that looks like strong value to me.
That’s going to pay. Ha
Another race I don't have a strong opinion on, but one price horse I want to use a bit is the 4 horse, Villainous. May take a small shot with him, though won't be too invested in this race.
NBC is about to air the simulation of the Triple Crown winners. I'll go with Citation over Secretariat.
I put $50 on Seattle slew +450, as secretariat was -135. There was a bump in there... can I send in my objection?
That was too easy.
No competition but Charlatan didn’t have to work at all after the first turn.
Of all the races my top pick hits, it is the one where I end up spreading 6 horses deep. I'll take it.
On the 14th at oak lawn I had the winner and the tri. Huge payout.
Nice! What put you on that horse?
20 to win.
had $5 on tri box.
my buddy was over and hit the pick 5 with him and paid 940.
No, what made you bet on him? Nothing really stood out to me other than coming off a win. Awesome hit tho
biggest reason was he won last time out at 1 3/4. The top betting favorite pulled and faded and the 2nd finished 2nd. That was the biggest reason.
As awful as the first 10 races of the card went for me, I would have ended up in the positive on the day if I could have gotten that 14 horse home instead of finishing 2nd. Needed him to complete the Pick 4.
In the 1st part of my 18 pick 5 I had 2 and 7. 11 won and 7 got 2nd. That would of been huge too.
had an overall neutral day until the last one.
How much money did mattress mack give fs1 and nbcsn to constantly play Runhappy ads and highlights?
He is the king of marketing
It all came together for me once I realized he was the owner of the horse.
Houston legend. Really great guy
Disappointed that from all the highlights they showed on NBCSN, they never showed Runhappy's maiden race. Top 5 all time entertaining maiden breaking performance.
LOL. That’s awesome.
Anyone betting today’s races at Gulf Stream?