Official Horse Racing Thread

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by mtsucalico85, Apr 9, 2015.

  1. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
    Virginia CavaliersDallas Cowboys

    I might be drinking and watching TVG betting $2 exactas
     
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  2. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
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    I did not have Superfecto at Gulfstream. Not a great start.
     
  3. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    I'm not a fan of the current price, but I like Captain Don (2) in this spot. I don't think it will be a slow pace, but I don't think it will be all that fast, either, and I expect him to be on or near the lead. The horses coming out of his last race (Captain Don, Bebop Shoes (3), and Tempt Fate (4)) seem to be taking most of the money, and I just like Captain Don the most of the group (though I would use Tempt Fate in exotics as well). The two price horses that intrigue me are My Golden Diablo (12) and Call Me Derby (10). I prefer My Golden Diablo of the two, but both are usable. My plan will be to play exactas/trifectas centering around Captain Don and My Golden Diablo, along with horses like the 4 and the 10.
     
  4. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
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    I’m Tempting Fate
     
  5. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
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  6. Gallant Knight

    Donor
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    Same
     
  7. Gallant Knight

    Donor
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    ?
     
  8. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
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    Horse got all twisted in the gate at Tampa
     
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  9. Gallant Knight

    Donor
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    Wow great ride by the bug
     
  10. Gallant Knight

    Donor
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    Sister in law has an mfa in art got her to do a couple of quick paintings of us in the winners circle

    8F18FD9D-22F3-4264-9B36-74CE748A70AD.jpeg D373AD11-F3A2-496B-8775-928A70FA7126.jpeg 0698E657-AE11-4D4B-A568-3296E80B436E.jpeg
     
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  11. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    I like Major Attraction (7) in race 4. Don't think the price difference between him and Bank (11) should be this large, even if Bank did finish ahead of Major Attraction last time out. I am interested in seeing how J Z My Man (8) runs, but I would put him behind the other two. Will just go with a win bet on Major Attraction.
     
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  12. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
    Virginia CavaliersDallas Cowboys

    5 American dollars on Quality Warrior
     
  13. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
    Virginia CavaliersDallas Cowboys

    Mfer
     
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  14. Gallant Knight

    Donor
    Arkansas RazorbacksHouston AstrosAston Villa

    Asmussen saves his best horses for under cards on big days

    nor surprising he won both maiden races
     
  15. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Pretty deep allowance field that is the quality of a stakes field. There are several ways to go - horses like Bankit (9), Endorsed (11), and Pirate's Punch (12) all look logical - but I will go with Two Thirty Five (8). He cut back to 1 1/16 miles last time out from his poor performance in the Santa Anita Handicap, and I think that is his best distance. I do expect there to be a more contested pace here, which should benefit him a bit, but he also at least has enough tactical speed to have the chance to get the jump on horses like Bankit or Endorsed, who should come from further back.
     
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  16. Gallant Knight

    Donor
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    I’m on bankit
     
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  17. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    He'd be second for me.
     
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  18. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
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    Chris and Dave about to shock the world
     
  19. Gallant Knight

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    Horses better days are behind him

    hell of a claim by Danny Caldwell though
     
  20. Gallant Knight

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    Vic Stauffer is so bad Jesus
     
  21. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    I thought he was fine (though not great) in his Hollywood Park days, but definitely a downturn in quality since arriving at Oaklawn.
     
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  22. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    For Race 6, I don't have a strong opinion in this field. If Friar's Road (4) runs back to his last start, he'll be tough, but he's not the type of horse I want to play at close to even odds. He is the most likely winner, but I'm not betting him at that price. Second Line David (2) is a little interesting to me, even though he is jumping up in class and going blinkers on is not necessarily a strong move for Joe Sharp. I just have trouble finding anyone else I love in this field. Tonaltarian (12) is somewhat interesting, and the distance should be favorable for him, but he has zero early speed. He's more of a exotics play than a win candidate.
     
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  23. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Not going to try and beat Gamine (8) here. She looks strong.
     
  24. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
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    8-12 exacta
     
  25. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Both Gamine and Speech ran huge races there.
     
  26. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
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    Thought Speech had it
     
  27. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    I'll go with Benintendi (1) in Race 8. Don't love that he has finished 2nd three straight times as the favorite, but I do like the way he has been working leading into the race, and the price will be much more appetizing than a horse like Moretti (10), who I don't see as materially better than Benintendi.
     
  28. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
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    My horse sleeps with the fishes
     
  29. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Will probably pass this race. Fearless (3) is your most likely winner, but don't really want to take him at even money, and there isn't any other horse that looks like strong value to me.
     
  30. HoosDaMan

    HoosDaMan Grumpy
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    That’s going to pay. Ha
     
  31. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Another race I don't have a strong opinion on, but one price horse I want to use a bit is the 4 horse, Villainous. May take a small shot with him, though won't be too invested in this race.
     
  32. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    NBC is about to air the simulation of the Triple Crown winners. I'll go with Citation over Secretariat.
     
  33. LSUTigers1986

    LSUTigers1986 Well-Known Member
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    I put $50 on Seattle slew +450, as secretariat was -135. There was a bump in there... can I send in my objection?
     
  34. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    That was too easy.
     
  35. Paddy Murphy

    Paddy Murphy Well-Known Member
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    No competition but Charlatan didn’t have to work at all after the first turn.
     
  36. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Of all the races my top pick hits, it is the one where I end up spreading 6 horses deep. I'll take it.
     
  37. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
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    Pittsburgh PenguinsOhio State BuckeyesPittsburgh SteelersCincinnati Reds

    On the 14th at oak lawn I had the winner and the tri. Huge payout.
     
  38. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
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    Real MadridJacksonville JaguarsFlorida GatorsTampa Bay Rays

    Nice! What put you on that horse?
     
  39. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
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    20 to win.

    had $5 on tri box.

    my buddy was over and hit the pick 5 with him and paid 940.
     
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  40. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
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    Real MadridJacksonville JaguarsFlorida GatorsTampa Bay Rays

    No, what made you bet on him? Nothing really stood out to me other than coming off a win. Awesome hit tho
     
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  41. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
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    biggest reason was he won last time out at 1 3/4. The top betting favorite pulled and faded and the 2nd finished 2nd. That was the biggest reason.
     
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  42. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Nice hit.

    As awful as the first 10 races of the card went for me, I would have ended up in the positive on the day if I could have gotten that 14 horse home instead of finishing 2nd. Needed him to complete the Pick 4.
     
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  43. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
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    In the 1st part of my 18 pick 5 I had 2 and 7. 11 won and 7 got 2nd. That would of been huge too.

    had an overall neutral day until the last one.
     
  44. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
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    How much money did mattress mack give fs1 and nbcsn to constantly play Runhappy ads and highlights?
     
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  45. Gallant Knight

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    He is the king of marketing
     
  46. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
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    Real MadridJacksonville JaguarsFlorida GatorsTampa Bay Rays

    It all came together for me once I realized he was the owner of the horse.
     
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  47. Gallant Knight

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    Houston legend. Really great guy
     
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  48. mtsucalico85

    mtsucalico85 Well-Known Member
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    Disappointed that from all the highlights they showed on NBCSN, they never showed Runhappy's maiden race. Top 5 all time entertaining maiden breaking performance.

     
  49. Paddy Murphy

    Paddy Murphy Well-Known Member
    Atlanta BravesCarolina PanthersWofford TerriersUnited States Men's National Soccer TeamLiverpoolCharlotte FC

    LOL. That’s awesome.
     
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  50. b7

    b7 Well-Known Member
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    Pittsburgh PenguinsOhio State BuckeyesPittsburgh SteelersCincinnati Reds

    Anyone betting today’s races at Gulf Stream?